Prediction Markets — The Folly of Prediction

By Stephen J. Dubner, Freakonomics, June 6, 2011 Fact: Human beings love to predict the future. Fact: Human beings are not very good at predicting the future. Fact: Because the incentives to predict are quite imperfect — bad predictions are rarely punished — this situation is unlikely to change. But wouldn’t it be nice if […]

Prediction Markets — 10 worst tech predictions of all time

By Mark Spoonauer, Laptop, Saturday Aug. 10, 2013 In the technology world, bold predictions abound, and they should. Placing big bets in one direction or another is how this industry works. Some pundits try to make educated guesses about where tech is headed, while others prognosticate in reaction to disruptive technologies that could boost (or […]

Top Featured Questions August 2013

Who will be UEFA’s Best Player in Europe 2013? Kerry: Obama has timeline for ending Pakistan drone strikes ‘very, very soon’ … when? What’s the Gold Price US-$/ounce (New York Fixing) on Aug-30-2013 ? How big will the Powerball jackpot grow? Will Anthony Weiner end his candidacy for NY mayor? When will Apple reveal a […]