Question Details

When will first humans live on Mars ?

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When will first humans live on Mars ?

Asked by: Super UserJosef Biesenberger in Science » Space
currently Open, suspends 12/31/2025 19:45 (in )

Predictions

Background

Mars One: A Startup To Send Humans To Mars By 2023
http://tech.co/mars-one-startup-humans-to-mars-2023-2012-08

The landing of Mars Rover Curiosity has launched a new excitement around space exploration – and not just in the US. A Dutch startup called Mars One is looking to take your curiosity even further by pledging to put humans on a one-way trip to Mars by 2023. Led by entrepreneur Bas Lansdorp, the idea is to bring small pods to Mars for humans to live in. According to the website’s posted mission:

Mars One plans to establish the first human settlement on Mars by April 2023. The first crew of four astronauts emigrate to their new planet from Earth, a journey that takes seven months. A new team will join the settlement every two years. By 2033 there will be over twenty people living, working and flourishing on Mars, their new home.

The program plans to leverage the hype of the media to raise $6 billion from private investors and supporters, which is the estimated amount needed to complete this mission. While $6 billion in funding may seem like an obstacle, the team plans to turn Mars One into a “global media spectacle,” broadcasting all aspects of the preparations and the lives of the participating astronauts (slightly reminiscent of the plot from the film The Truman Show, with the added drama of a suicide mission).

Judging by the popularity of reality TV and the latest Mars Rover launch, which at this point has a Twitter account with over 1 million followers, and the rise of crowdfunding platforms like Kickstarter and IndieGoGo, I have no doubt that Mars One, with its 10 year lead time, could build up the hype and raise all of the funds.

How does Mars One plan on doing this from a technical perspective? Surprisingly, they do not plan on building any new technology, but instead will use the technologies already out there by partnering with other companies.

Mission plan:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_One

Find similar: mars-one, space, humans, living, settlement

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   UnknownOne2013 predicted 2026 or later or never

This would require a colony. I put my thoughts down on that question.

   UnknownOne2013 predicted 2026 or later or never

They don't know how to get past the radiation belts now to safely survive outside of the ISS. All they can do is complete an expedition on Mars and return like they did with the Moon. We'll end up colonizing the Moon before anything because of this.

   predicted 2026 or later or never

Lack of magnetosphere, distance from Earth, virtual impossibility of sustainable terraforming, human psychological difficulties in extreme isolated life-threatening existence.

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