Question Details

Where will UARS, NASA's defunct bus-size spacecraft, drop to earth?

Where will UARS, NASA's defunct bus-size spacecraft, drop to earth?

Asked by: Super Userkruijs in Science » Space
Settled on 09/27/2011 05:56 Settled by Super Userkruijs
Winning option:cific Ocean NASA space junk scientists believe that all - or nearly all - of the parts of their 20-year-old dead satellite safely plunged into the Pacific Ocean, likely missing land.

No injuries or damage have been reported on land, which NASA officials said was a good indication the satellite went into the ocean. That doesn't necessarily mean it all fell into the sea.

http://www.news.com.au/technology/sci-tech/satellite-was-as-big-as-a-bus-weighed-six-tonnes-but-nasa-may-never-know-where-it-crashed/story-fn5fsgyc-1226146723161

Since this market asked for the "main part of the debris", it is safe to say it went into the Pacific. In case reports emerge which show otherwise, this market will be resettled accordingly.

Predictions

North America
USA, Canada
11.0%
South America
4.9%
Atlantic Ocean
11.3%
Europe
Incl. western parts of Russia and Middle East
8.3%
Africa
15.3%
Asia
7.7%
Indian Ocean
8.4%
Oceania
7.7%
Pacific Ocean
21.6%
Arctic, Antarctic
Incl. Greenland
3.6%

Background

The defunct bus-size spacecraft is NASA's Upper Atmospheric Research Satellite (UARS), which launched in 1991 and was shut down in 2005 after completing its mission. The satellite was expected to fall to Earth sometime this year, with experts initially pegging a weeks-long window between late September and early October, then narrowing it to the last week of this month.
NASA expects at least 26 large pieces of the massive satellite to survive the scorching temperatures of re-entry and reach Earth's surface. Titanium pieces and onboard tanks could be among that debris, but the UARS satellite carries no toxic propellant (NASA used up all the fuel in 2005).

The debris is expected to fall over a swath of Earth about 500 miles (804 kilometers) long, NASA officials said. There is a 1-in-3,200 chance of satellite debris hitting a person on the ground, odds that NASA says are extremely remote. Outside experts agree.

"Look at how much of Earth is covered with water," Victoria Samson, the Washington Office Director of the Secure World Foundation, an organization dedicated to the peaceful use of outer space, told SPACE.com this week. "There's a really good chance it's going to go straight into the ocean."

http://www.space.com/12982-dead-nasa-satellite-falling-earth-sept-24.html

Find similar: uars, nasa

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   Super Userkruijs

On Friday morning, the space agency issued an update about its defunct Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite, which is dropping out of the sky more slowly than anticipated.

“Re-entry is expected late Friday, Sept. 23, or early Saturday, Sept. 24, Eastern Daylight Time,” NASA said. “The satellite’s orientation or configuration apparently has changed, and that is now slowing its descent.”

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/24/science/space/24satellite.html?hp

   Super Usergotmick

Good lord, might as well bet on everything. They really have no idea.

http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/uars/index.html

   Super Usergotmick

Starting to zero in on a re-entry prediction: http://reentrynews.aero.org/1991063b.html

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