Create a new question
how to start a discussion, so i hope this works.
RE: QUESTION CREATION:
CICI found a problem with a hurricane ? because there was a chance of an event not covered...
This kind of problem could be handled generically, by a general choice of an nth option-
"OPTION n: other or generally otherwise; none of the above; not by settlement date, or
more than one of the above, etc."
This extra chance, got some of my questions prohibited, when questioned,
despite that i found other examples of similar
questions getting through, with similar logic. Thus one
n) other or generally otherwise; none of the above; not by settlement date, or
more than one of the above, etc.
Such an nth option allows for cases when the previous options are not yet clarified,
for example,or the 1 option, the 2 option, etc.. do not fully fill the logic space, so
the n th option does this..... and if that option has little to no probability, then people won';t bet on it,
so no harm done....
So, in any case the question creator must decide whether or not an "other" option is applicable. And in case of unexpected circumstances (like "twitter" closing on the Obama twitter follower question), a market void is not a problem at all. In fact, you can post question like "If Palin runs for president, will she win the republican nomination?" with "yes"/"no" answers. It would simply be voided in case she doesn't run.
A void is not a negative outcome, and is not tracked or calculated as a ratio (as it has been on Hubdub).
an "other" option is useful, but only for those questions which actually do not become bogus with one. many questions can be constructed very well without. also, one should always try to define the most likely options to get a coverage of say at least 80%.
"none of the above" and "not by settlement date" are perfectly fine options, each. you even might consider to make two out of them. on the other hand, you could consider to specify the suspend date to be editable to meet the occurrence of the event. "more than the above" most likely is not a valid option, since it makes the option ambiguous.
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