Kazakh's Profile | Knew The News - News Prediction Game

User Profile

Kazakh

Member since 12/10/2010

All time highest net worth: 89,424.72 KtN$ (reached: 03/18/2026)

Current net worth : 88,720.44 KtN$

Predictions : 22,811

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Bought: 03/24/2026 06:52

Estimate the life expectancy of Donald Trump: What age will he reach ? 92 years or even more

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @8.7% Gain: 0.00 KtN$

Current: 10.00 KtN$ @8.7% To Win: 115.76 KtN$
Bought: 03/23/2026 13:50

Will Nigel Farage ever win a seat in the United Kingdom Parliament? Not before suspension (April 3, 2053)

Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @61.3% Gain: 0.00 KtN$

Current: 50.00 KtN$ @61.3% To Win: 81.87 KtN$
Bought: 03/23/2026 12:03

Will the Democrats win a Texas U.S. Senate seat before the end of 2028? No

Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @68.1% Gain: 0.33 KtN$

Current: 50.33 KtN$ @68.5% To Win: 73.62 KtN$
Bought: 03/23/2026 11:40

Will the Democrats win the Texas presidential electoral college seats before the end of 2028? Yes

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @28.2% Gain: 0.00 KtN$

Current: 30.00 KtN$ @28.2% To Win: 107.04 KtN$
Bought: 03/22/2026 00:40

Will Bitcoin-Price climb above USD 175.000 (closing coindesk) at any day until end 2026 ? No

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @91.3% Gain: -0.02 KtN$

Current: 9.98 KtN$ @91.1% To Win: 10.96 KtN$
Bought: 03/21/2026 15:44

Will the deforestation in the brazilian amazon in the year ending July 2026 sink below 2025 value? no

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @47.1% Gain: 0.00 KtN$

Current: 10.00 KtN$ @47.1% To Win: 21.24 KtN$
Bought: 03/21/2026 15:30

After recent alltime high: What will happen next to NASDAQ 100 (^NDX) stock market Index? closing-quote for ^NDX is climbing above 26.789 ponts

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @43.4% Gain: 0.00 KtN$

Current: 10.00 KtN$ @43.4% To Win: 23.09 KtN$
Bought: 03/20/2026 10:50

Will the Patriots win another Super Bowl in the next ten years? No

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @73.9% Gain: -0.04 KtN$

Current: 9.96 KtN$ @73.6% To Win: 13.53 KtN$
Bought: 03/20/2026 09:47

Climate Change Performance Index 2027: Will U.S. improve from rank 65 ? NO

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @57.7% Gain: -0.07 KtN$

Current: 9.93 KtN$ @57.3% To Win: 17.35 KtN$
Bought: 03/20/2026 09:20

When will US Gross Federal Debt-to-GDP-ratio surpass 150% ? 2029

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @20.9% Gain: -0.07 KtN$

Current: 9.93 KtN$ @20.8% To Win: 47.99 KtN$
Bought: 03/19/2026 21:45

How many worldwide fatalities due to ACLED Armed Conflict Location & Event Data will occur in 2026? less than 210.000

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @10.0% Gain: -0.01 KtN$

Current: 9.99 KtN$ @10.0% To Win: 100.54 KtN$
Bought: 03/19/2026 21:10

What Temperature Anomaly (basis 1961-1990) will Germany get in 2026? >= +2.2°C

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @53.3% Gain: -0.03 KtN$

Current: 9.97 KtN$ @53.2% To Win: 18.77 KtN$
Bought: 03/19/2026 00:46

James Bond - Who will be the next? Sam Worthington

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @3.8% Gain: 0.00 KtN$

Current: 10.00 KtN$ @3.8% To Win: 272.21 KtN$
Bought: 03/18/2026 16:20

Will the deforestation in the brazilian amazon in the year ending July 2026 sink below 2025 value? no

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @47.1% Gain: 0.00 KtN$

Current: 10.00 KtN$ @47.1% To Win: 21.25 KtN$
Bought: 03/16/2026 21:53

When will US Retail Gasoline Price again fall below US$ 3 per gallon? later or never

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @53.1% Gain: 0.07 KtN$

Current: 20.07 KtN$ @53.3% To Win: 37.75 KtN$
Bought: 03/16/2026 18:50

How many new Nuclear Power plants will be launched worldwide in 2026 ? 8 to 12

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @38.8% Gain: 0.21 KtN$

Current: 10.21 KtN$ @39.6% To Win: 25.83 KtN$
Bought: 03/14/2026 00:47

Will Puerto Rico become the 51st state of the USA by 2029? Yes

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @44.9% Gain: 0.00 KtN$

Current: 20.00 KtN$ @44.9% To Win: 44.68 KtN$
Bought: 03/14/2026 00:30

Will Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hold the post until the end of May 2026? Yes

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @80.4% Gain: 0.12 KtN$

Current: 30.12 KtN$ @80.8% To Win: 37.32 KtN$
Bought: 03/13/2026 04:50

City Nature Challenge 2026: How may observations will the participants from Berlin report? less than 21.000

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @29.2% Gain: -0.10 KtN$

Current: 9.90 KtN$ @28.9% To Win: 34.34 KtN$
Bought: 03/11/2026 22:59

How many worldwide fatalities due to ACLED Armed Conflict Location & Event Data will occur in 2026? less than 210.000

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @10.0% Gain: 0.06 KtN$

Current: 10.06 KtN$ @10.0% To Win: 101.26 KtN$
Bought: 03/11/2026 22:10

When will European Carbon Emission Certificates cost more than 100 EUR / to CO2? later or never

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @23.4% Gain: 0.07 KtN$

Current: 10.07 KtN$ @23.6% To Win: 42.82 KtN$
Bought: 03/11/2026 10:36

Will Putin fire tactical nuclear weapons to Ukraine, Krim or one of the Baltic Countries? yes, in 2027

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @13.2% Gain: 0.18 KtN$

Current: 10.18 KtN$ @13.4% To Win: 76.37 KtN$
Bought: 03/11/2026 09:50

What time will the Doomsday-Clock (thebulletin.org) show with next update 2027? 85 seconds or less seconds to midnight

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @50.3% Gain: 0.12 KtN$

Current: 20.12 KtN$ @50.6% To Win: 39.81 KtN$
Bought: 03/11/2026 04:09

When will a Hyperloop officially be launched ? 2023 - 2024

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @7.2% Gain: -0.02 KtN$

Current: 9.98 KtN$ @7.2% To Win: 141.05 KtN$
Bought: 03/11/2026 03:50

What number of named Pacific Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2026 have? 22 or more

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @28.2% Gain: -0.06 KtN$

Current: 9.94 KtN$ @28.1% To Win: 35.50 KtN$
Bought: 03/08/2026 22:29

After recent alltime high: What will happen next to NASDAQ 100 (^NDX) stock market Index? closing-quote for ^NDX is falling below 20.987points

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @53.8% Gain: -0.02 KtN$

Current: 19.98 KtN$ @53.7% To Win: 37.27 KtN$
Bought: 03/08/2026 22:10

Will the deforestation in the brazilian amazon in the year ending July 2026 sink below 2025 value? yes

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @53.0% Gain: -0.03 KtN$

Current: 19.97 KtN$ @52.9% To Win: 37.81 KtN$
Bought: 03/07/2026 22:40

Will Turkey be or become a full member of the EU until end of 2027? No

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @36.6% Gain: 0.07 KtN$

Current: 20.07 KtN$ @36.8% To Win: 54.82 KtN$
Bought: 03/07/2026 13:25

What FOMC's target rate (BPS) will US FED Funds get in April 26 2026 Meeting? 350 - 375

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @29.1% Gain: -0.36 KtN$

Current: 19.64 KtN$ @28.6% To Win: 68.99 KtN$
Bought: 03/07/2026 13:20

Egan Bernal has won the 2019 Tour de France. How many more 'Grand Tour' races will he win? More than Eight

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @5.7% Gain: -0.06 KtN$

Current: 9.94 KtN$ @5.7% To Win: 177.49 KtN$
Bought: 03/06/2026 07:56

How many new Nuclear Power plants will be launched worldwide in 2026 ? even more

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @30.8% Gain: -0.25 KtN$

Current: 19.75 KtN$ @30.5% To Win: 65.14 KtN$
Bought: 03/06/2026 07:10

Will Bitcoin-Price climb above USD 175.000 (closing coindesk) at any day until end 2026 ? No

Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @91.2% Gain: -0.07 KtN$

Current: 49.93 KtN$ @91.1% To Win: 54.85 KtN$
Bought: 03/05/2026 23:00

Stock market crash ahead: Is the U.S. 2Y-30Y treasury-yield-spread a valid early warning indicator ? no, no correction of Nasdaq Composite IXIC more than 18% from alltime high before end of June 2026

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @10.6% Gain: 0.02 KtN$

Current: 10.02 KtN$ @10.6% To Win: 95.04 KtN$
Bought: 03/05/2026 18:28

Will there be a water-war or a terrorism-attack around GERD Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam? 2026 - 2027

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @9.3% Gain: -0.08 KtN$

Current: 9.92 KtN$ @9.2% To Win: 109.05 KtN$
Bought: 03/04/2026 11:45

Will the Number of People leaving the German Catholic Church in 2025 drop below 300.000 ? No

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @41.0% Gain: -0.50 KtN$

Current: 29.50 KtN$ @40.3% To Win: 73.48 KtN$
Bought: 03/04/2026 11:12

Will Emmerson Mnangagwa be President of Zimbabwe on 24th November 2027? No

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @35.2% Gain: 0.47 KtN$

Current: 20.47 KtN$ @36.1% To Win: 56.96 KtN$
Bought: 03/04/2026 11:10

Will U.S. join the Landmine Ban Treaty before end 2030? No / Not by suspension date

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @67.8% Gain: -0.62 KtN$

Current: 39.38 KtN$ @66.7% To Win: 59.12 KtN$
Bought: 03/04/2026 07:16

When will European Central Bank ECB cut the key-ECB-rate deposit facility to 1.75% or even lower? later or never

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @24.9% Gain: 0.12 KtN$

Current: 20.12 KtN$ @25.1% To Win: 80.72 KtN$
Bought: 03/04/2026 07:00

After recent dip below 133.3 HK-$ (after stock-split): what will happen next to BYD (1211.HK) stock? BYD stays in range between 116.7 and 150 by suspension-date

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @17.4% Gain: -0.30 KtN$

Current: 19.70 KtN$ @17.1% To Win: 116.27 KtN$
Bought: 03/03/2026 21:41

Will Tesla humanoid robot Optimus be delivered to customers outside Tesla factories before end 2026? no

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @46.1% Gain: 0.69 KtN$

Current: 40.69 KtN$ @46.9% To Win: 87.11 KtN$
Bought: 03/03/2026 21:00

How many worldwide fatalities due to ACLED Armed Conflict Location & Event Data will occur in 2026? 235.000 up to 250.000

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @31.1% Gain: -0.21 KtN$

Current: 29.79 KtN$ @30.9% To Win: 97.14 KtN$
Bought: 03/01/2026 13:08

Where will Donald Trump spend mostpart (>80%) of the rest of his life? Montenegro

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @3.4% Gain: -5.24 KtN$

Current: 4.76 KtN$ @1.6% To Win: 299.04 KtN$
Bought: 03/01/2026 12:40

Will Burkina Faso keep first rank in Global Terrorism-Index (GTI) 2026 ? NO

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @47.2% Gain: 0.04 KtN$

Current: 40.04 KtN$ @47.2% To Win: 85.18 KtN$
Bought: 02/28/2026 23:07

Will the deforestation in the brazilian amazon in the year ending July 2026 sink below 2025 value? no

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @47.2% Gain: -0.04 KtN$

Current: 39.96 KtN$ @47.1% To Win: 85.20 KtN$
Bought: 02/28/2026 22:20

Will Turkey be or become a full member of the EU until end of 2027? Yes

Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @63.6% Gain: -0.37 KtN$

Current: 59.63 KtN$ @63.2% To Win: 94.60 KtN$
Bought: 02/28/2026 21:47

What number of named Pacific Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2026 have? 22 or more

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @27.9% Gain: 0.23 KtN$

Current: 30.23 KtN$ @28.1% To Win: 108.38 KtN$
Bought: 02/28/2026 00:10

City Nature Challenge 2026: How may observations will the participants from Berlin report? 21.000 to less than 26.500

Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @40.7% Gain: -0.30 KtN$

Current: 49.70 KtN$ @40.4% To Win: 123.89 KtN$
Bought: 02/27/2026 23:30

English Premier League: Which of the ever-present clubs will be the first to leave? Manchester United

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @12.7% Gain: -0.02 KtN$

Current: 19.98 KtN$ @12.7% To Win: 159.24 KtN$
Bought: 02/27/2026 20:00

Will Kim Yo Jong become leader of North Korea? Yes

Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @69.0% Gain: -0.47 KtN$

Current: 89.53 KtN$ @68.6% To Win: 131.05 KtN$
Bought: 02/27/2026 19:40

Will Kim Yo Jong become leader of North Korea? Yes

Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @68.7% Gain: -0.10 KtN$

Current: 89.90 KtN$ @68.6% To Win: 131.59 KtN$
Bought: 02/26/2026 20:59

Will the baseline water stress of the US improve with the next issue of AQUEDUCT country rankings ? total score will go up from 2.6 = more stress

Payed: 80.00 KtN$ @57.9% Gain: 0.94 KtN$

Current: 80.94 KtN$ @58.6% To Win: 138.92 KtN$
Bought: 02/25/2026 21:00

When will the United States of America have a president with the letter Z in their surname? Before 2030

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @6.4% Gain: 0.07 KtN$

Current: 10.07 KtN$ @6.4% To Win: 158.42 KtN$
Bought: 02/25/2026 12:51

What number of Atlantic Tropical Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2026 have? 17 or less

Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @34.3% Gain: -0.54 KtN$

Current: 59.46 KtN$ @34.0% To Win: 176.95 KtN$
Bought: 02/25/2026 12:00

What number of named Pacific Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2026 have? 18 to 21

Payed: 80.00 KtN$ @46.4% Gain: -2.41 KtN$

Current: 77.59 KtN$ @45.0% To Win: 174.11 KtN$
Bought: 02/25/2026 11:15

In how many months in 2026 will the CO2 level be below 429 ppm ? in 3 months below 429 ppm

Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @28.6% Gain: -0.55 KtN$

Current: 49.45 KtN$ @28.3% To Win: 177.09 KtN$
Bought: 02/25/2026 04:10

What Australian Summer Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2025/2026 (base: 1961-1990) ? > +2°C

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @20.1% Gain: -1.03 KtN$

Current: 38.97 KtN$ @19.6% To Win: 202.11 KtN$
Bought: 02/25/2026 03:20

Will Barcelona's Sagrada Familia be officially be completed in (or before) 2026? Yes

Payed: 120.00 KtN$ @63.1% Gain: 0.10 KtN$

Current: 120.10 KtN$ @63.1% To Win: 191.33 KtN$
Bought: 02/25/2026 02:25

When will Debit balances in customer securities margin accts jump above alltime high 1.225 bill USD? Q1_2026

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @46.0% Gain: 1.22 KtN$

Current: 101.22 KtN$ @46.5% To Win: 220.06 KtN$
Bought: 02/25/2026 01:40

How many satellites (operational+non-operational) will be in the orbit by end 2026 ? between 20.000 an 22.000

Payed: 80.00 KtN$ @37.4% Gain: -0.42 KtN$

Current: 79.58 KtN$ @37.2% To Win: 216.78 KtN$
Bought: 02/24/2026 17:31

When will the Geopolitical Risk Index GPR surpass the 20-year high of 167.3 pts (monthly average)? November 2025 - February 2026

Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @31.4% Gain: -0.67 KtN$

Current: 69.33 KtN$ @31.1% To Win: 226.05 KtN$
Bought: 02/24/2026 16:50

When will Bangladesh win its first Olympic medal? 2024

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @6.4% Gain: 0.05 KtN$

Current: 20.05 KtN$ @6.4% To Win: 323.17 KtN$
Bought: 02/23/2026 07:00

What Global Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2026 (base: 1901-2000) ? > +2°C (base 1901-2000)

Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @28.0% Gain: 0.63 KtN$

Current: 70.63 KtN$ @28.2% To Win: 254.83 KtN$
Bought: 02/22/2026 05:26

What will be S&P next US credit rating? lower than AA+

Payed: 150.00 KtN$ @60.3% Gain: 0.18 KtN$

Current: 150.18 KtN$ @60.4% To Win: 250.43 KtN$
Bought: 02/22/2026 04:50

What will be S&P next US credit rating? AAA

Payed: 110.00 KtN$ @40.3% Gain: -0.19 KtN$

Current: 109.81 KtN$ @39.6% To Win: 277.06 KtN$
Bought: 02/21/2026 01:20

Climate Change Performance Index 2027: Will U.S. improve from rank 65 ? NO

Payed: 160.00 KtN$ @56.4% Gain: 2.57 KtN$

Current: 162.57 KtN$ @57.3% To Win: 285.97 KtN$
Bought: 02/20/2026 14:50

Will Turkey be or become a full member of the EU until end of 2027? Yes

Payed: 190.00 KtN$ @63.4% Gain: 0.77 KtN$

Current: 190.77 KtN$ @63.2% To Win: 301.63 KtN$
Bought: 02/20/2026 09:11

Will Jose Mourinho ever coach the Portugal national soccer team? Yes

Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @67.5% Gain: 0.86 KtN$

Current: 70.86 KtN$ @68.3% To Win: 104.12 KtN$
Bought: 02/20/2026 09:10

When will Elon Musk build a colony on Mars ? 2036 to 2045

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @15.7% Gain: -0.68 KtN$

Current: 19.32 KtN$ @15.2% To Win: 128.40 KtN$
Bought: 02/19/2026 23:24

Will Khalid Shaikh Mohammed, self described 9/11 Mastermind, be sentenced to death? No

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @23.5% Gain: -0.59 KtN$

Current: 29.41 KtN$ @23.1% To Win: 128.72 KtN$
Bought: 02/19/2026 23:20

Which is the next of these 11 countries to lose its standard & poors AAA rating ? Sweden

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @5.2% Gain: -0.09 KtN$

Current: 9.91 KtN$ @5.1% To Win: 197.31 KtN$
Bought: 02/19/2026 06:22

What Australian Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2026 (base: 1961-1990) ? +1.0°C or less

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @34.0% Gain: -0.02 KtN$

Current: 9.98 KtN$ @33.9% To Win: 29.48 KtN$
Bought: 02/19/2026 06:10

When will Debit balances in customer securities margin accts jump above alltime high 1.225 bill USD? Q2_2026

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @20.2% Gain: -0.23 KtN$

Current: 9.77 KtN$ @19.7% To Win: 49.82 KtN$
Bought: 02/18/2026 23:25

Will Alyssa Carson ever land on Mars? Yes

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @18.7% Gain: -0.23 KtN$

Current: 9.77 KtN$ @18.2% To Win: 53.77 KtN$
Bought: 02/17/2026 06:41

Where will Donald Trump spend mostpart (>80%) of the rest of his life? Montenegro

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @3.2% Gain: -4.80 KtN$

Current: 5.20 KtN$ @1.6% To Win: 327.47 KtN$
Bought: 02/17/2026 06:20

When will European Carbon Emission Certificates cost more than 100 EUR / to CO2? H1-2026

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @9.0% Gain: 0.26 KtN$

Current: 10.26 KtN$ @9.3% To Win: 111.89 KtN$
Bought: 02/16/2026 08:22

When will the SP500 Shiller P/E-ratio (CAPE-ratio) exceed the old alltime high of 44.19 ? 2026

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @36.2% Gain: 0.22 KtN$

Current: 10.22 KtN$ @37.0% To Win: 27.69 KtN$
Bought: 02/16/2026 08:10

What Temperature Anomaly (basis 1961-1990) will Germany get in 2026? < +2.2°C

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @47.7% Gain: -0.36 KtN$

Current: 19.64 KtN$ @46.8% To Win: 42.04 KtN$
Bought: 02/16/2026 05:50

Will Jan-Dec 2026 Temperature Anomaly for Berlin be above 2024 record-high of 1.68° C? NO

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @61.8% Gain: 0.13 KtN$

Current: 20.13 KtN$ @62.2% To Win: 32.38 KtN$
Bought: 02/15/2026 17:22

Will Global Military Expenditures exceed 2.999 Bill US-$ in 2025? Yes

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @56.7% Gain: 0.18 KtN$

Current: 20.18 KtN$ @57.2% To Win: 35.33 KtN$
Bought: 02/15/2026 16:40

How many worldwide fatalities due to ACLED Armed Conflict Location & Event Data will occur in 2026? 210.000 up to 235.000

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @23.8% Gain: 0.42 KtN$

Current: 10.42 KtN$ @24.8% To Win: 42.11 KtN$
Bought: 02/15/2026 04:40

When will Debit balances in customer securities margin accts jump above alltime high 1.225 bill USD? Q1_2026

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @45.8% Gain: 0.30 KtN$

Current: 20.30 KtN$ @46.5% To Win: 43.74 KtN$
Bought: 02/15/2026 04:00

How many Job Openings will Yellowstone Club offer as of Dec 31 2026? less than 40

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @30.3% Gain: -0.11 KtN$

Current: 9.89 KtN$ @30.0% To Win: 33.11 KtN$
Bought: 02/15/2026 02:57

Which Battery-stock will have the best 14 months performance between Jul-1-2025 and Aug-31-2026 ? HKG:1211 - BYD - https://www.byd.com

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @1.1% Gain: -0.89 KtN$

Current: 9.11 KtN$ @1.0% To Win: 1,000.00 KtN$
Bought: 02/15/2026 02:30

Will Bitcoin-Price climb above USD 175.000 (closing coindesk) at any day until end 2026 ? No

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @90.6% Gain: 0.15 KtN$

Current: 30.15 KtN$ @91.1% To Win: 33.11 KtN$
Bought: 02/14/2026 17:22

Will Novak_Đjoković overtake Jimmy Connors` record of 109 tournament wins? No, he will equal 109

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @30.9% Gain: 0.46 KtN$

Current: 20.46 KtN$ @31.6% To Win: 65.06 KtN$
Bought: 02/14/2026 16:50

What Australian Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2026 (base: 1961-1990) ? > +1.5°C

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @29.1% Gain: 0.07 KtN$

Current: 20.07 KtN$ @29.2% To Win: 69.04 KtN$
Bought: 02/13/2026 22:13

When will a greater than human artificial intelligence be demonstrated publicly? By 2040

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @17.4% Gain: 0.17 KtN$

Current: 10.17 KtN$ @17.7% To Win: 57.88 KtN$
Bought: 02/13/2026 21:30

In what year will Lindsay Hoyle cease to be the Speaker of the UK House of Commons? 2029

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @16.9% Gain: 0.10 KtN$

Current: 10.10 KtN$ @17.1% To Win: 59.30 KtN$
Bought: 02/12/2026 02:16

Will the Democrats win the Governorship of Texas before the end of 2028? Yes

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @45.6% Gain: -0.55 KtN$

Current: 19.45 KtN$ @44.3% To Win: 43.99 KtN$
Bought: 02/11/2026 23:20

What time will the Doomsday-Clock (thebulletin.org) show with next update 2027? more than 85 seconds to midnight

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @50.1% Gain: -0.31 KtN$

Current: 19.69 KtN$ @49.4% To Win: 39.96 KtN$
Bought: 02/11/2026 16:49

Will Barcelona's Sagrada Familia be officially be completed in (or before) 2026? No

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @37.9% Gain: -0.56 KtN$

Current: 19.44 KtN$ @36.9% To Win: 52.90 KtN$
Bought: 02/11/2026 16:10

Will the Patriots win another Super Bowl in the next ten years? No

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @76.4% Gain: -1.46 KtN$

Current: 38.54 KtN$ @73.6% To Win: 52.41 KtN$
Bought: 02/11/2026 10:25

Which is the next of these 11 countries to lose its standard & poors AAA rating ? Switzerland

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @6.1% Gain: 0.03 KtN$

Current: 10.03 KtN$ @6.1% To Win: 167.61 KtN$
Bought: 02/10/2026 23:30

When will Enerkite report 100+ high altitude airborne wind energy generation systems in operation? 2025

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @5.1% Gain: 1.14 KtN$

Current: 11.14 KtN$ @5.7% To Win: 198.08 KtN$
Bought: 02/10/2026 22:43

When will Elon Musk build a colony on Mars ? 2036 to 2045

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @15.9% Gain: -0.40 KtN$

Current: 9.60 KtN$ @15.2% To Win: 63.42 KtN$
Bought: 02/10/2026 22:40

Stock market crash ahead: Is the U.S. 2Y-30Y treasury-yield-spread a valid early warning indicator ? yes, crash of Nasdaq Composite IXIC more than 18% from alltime high before end of June 2026

Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @88.9% Gain: 0.29 KtN$

Current: 50.29 KtN$ @89.4% To Win: 56.31 KtN$
Bought: 02/10/2026 20:07

Will the Number of People leaving the German Catholic Church in 2025 drop below 300.000 ? No

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @41.5% Gain: -0.83 KtN$

Current: 29.17 KtN$ @40.3% To Win: 72.66 KtN$
Bought: 02/07/2026 10:50

Will Time Travel be possible before 2030? No

Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @91.2% Gain: -0.07 KtN$

Current: 69.93 KtN$ @91.1% To Win: 76.77 KtN$
Bought: 02/07/2026 04:30

After recent dip below 133.3 HK-$ (after stock-split): what will happen next to BYD (1211.HK) stock? closing-quote for BYD is falling below 116.7 HK-$

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @36.0% Gain: -1.60 KtN$

Current: 28.40 KtN$ @34.1% To Win: 83.67 KtN$
Bought: 02/05/2026 23:56

When will Apple launch a home robot? 2025

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @14.3% Gain: 0.56 KtN$

Current: 20.56 KtN$ @14.7% To Win: 141.80 KtN$
Bought: 02/05/2026 23:50

City Nature Challenge 2026: How may observations will the participants from Berlin report? less than 21.000

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @28.7% Gain: 0.21 KtN$

Current: 30.21 KtN$ @28.9% To Win: 105.28 KtN$
Bought: 02/05/2026 12:03

Which of these will become the 51st state of the USA? The Moon (or any part of it)

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @2.3% Gain: 0.69 KtN$

Current: 10.69 KtN$ @2.4% To Win: 463.13 KtN$
Bought: 02/05/2026 11:50

When will U.S. beat the Global Average in Share of Primary Energy from Renewable Sources? 2023

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @6.4% Gain: 0.01 KtN$

Current: 10.01 KtN$ @6.4% To Win: 158.93 KtN$
Bought: 02/05/2026 11:45

When will Debit balances in customer securities margin accts jump above alltime high 1.225 bill USD? Q3_2026

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @10.1% Gain: 0.77 KtN$

Current: 10.77 KtN$ @10.8% To Win: 100.30 KtN$
Bought: 02/05/2026 11:33

After recent dip below 133.3 HK-$ (after stock-split): what will happen next to BYD (1211.HK) stock? closing-quote for BYD is falling below 116.7 HK-$

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @35.9% Gain: -1.93 KtN$

Current: 38.07 KtN$ @34.1% To Win: 112.36 KtN$
Bought: 02/05/2026 08:10

Will Volodymyr Zelensky be reelected as President of Ukraine and will he then complete his 2nd term? not reelected or other case

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @35.0% Gain: -0.16 KtN$

Current: 39.84 KtN$ @34.8% To Win: 115.25 KtN$
Bought: 02/05/2026 04:20

Will Novak_Đjoković overtake Jimmy Connors` record of 109 tournament wins? No, he will fall short

Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @46.3% Gain: -1.60 KtN$

Current: 48.40 KtN$ @44.8% To Win: 108.71 KtN$
Bought: 02/02/2026 23:30

What number of Atlantic Tropical Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2026 have? 17 or less

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @32.1% Gain: 1.82 KtN$

Current: 31.82 KtN$ @34.0% To Win: 94.16 KtN$
Bought: 02/02/2026 06:10

Will Global Military Expenditures exceed 2.999 Bill US-$ in 2025? No

Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @45.0% Gain: -2.42 KtN$

Current: 47.58 KtN$ @42.8% To Win: 111.85 KtN$
Bought: 01/31/2026 13:10

When will European Central Bank ECB cut the key-ECB-rate deposit facility to 1.75% or even lower? second half 2026

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @13.7% Gain: -1.43 KtN$

Current: 18.57 KtN$ @12.7% To Win: 148.10 KtN$
Bought: 01/31/2026 11:47

When will US Retail Gasoline Price again fall below US$ 3 per gallon? later or never

Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @52.9% Gain: 0.47 KtN$

Current: 60.47 KtN$ @53.3% To Win: 114.12 KtN$
Bought: 01/31/2026 11:00

When will Enerkite report 100+ high altitude airborne wind energy generation systems in operation? later or never

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @33.6% Gain: 0.10 KtN$

Current: 40.10 KtN$ @33.7% To Win: 119.93 KtN$
Bought: 01/31/2026 00:41

Will Jose Mourinho ever coach the Portugal national soccer team? Yes

Payed: 80.00 KtN$ @61.3% Gain: 9.23 KtN$

Current: 89.23 KtN$ @68.3% To Win: 131.18 KtN$
Bought: 01/30/2026 17:20

When will Apple launch a home robot? later or never

Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @44.2% Gain: -0.57 KtN$

Current: 69.43 KtN$ @43.9% To Win: 159.64 KtN$
Bought: 01/29/2026 01:14

Will the Democrats win a Texas U.S. Senate seat before the end of 2028? Yes

Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @32.0% Gain: -0.91 KtN$

Current: 59.09 KtN$ @31.5% To Win: 190.14 KtN$
Bought: 01/28/2026 21:10

Will Volodymyr Zelensky be reelected as President of Ukraine and will he then complete his 2nd term? not reelected or other case

Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @34.7% Gain: 0.22 KtN$

Current: 60.22 KtN$ @34.8% To Win: 174.84 KtN$
Bought: 01/28/2026 20:20

When will PFAS (Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances) be banned globally? 2028

Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @33.5% Gain: -0.52 KtN$

Current: 59.48 KtN$ @33.3% To Win: 181.05 KtN$
Bought: 01/28/2026 17:28

When will the next manned Moon Landing be? 2025 or earlier

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @2.9% Gain: -0.16 KtN$

Current: 9.84 KtN$ @2.8% To Win: 360.00 KtN$
Bought: 01/27/2026 23:10

Will an asteroid be brought to earth for mining of precious metals before Year 2035 ? NO

Payed: 120.00 KtN$ @52.2% Gain: 1.10 KtN$

Current: 121.10 KtN$ @52.7% To Win: 232.00 KtN$
Bought: 01/27/2026 17:30

When will US Retail Gasoline Price again fall below US$ 3 per gallon? later or never

Payed: 120.00 KtN$ @52.6% Gain: 1.60 KtN$

Current: 121.60 KtN$ @53.3% To Win: 230.33 KtN$
Bought: 01/27/2026 09:03

When will Austrian 0.85% 100-Year bond (stock symbol A2HLC4) fall below 33%? 2026

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @13.2% Gain: -0.28 KtN$

Current: 39.72 KtN$ @13.1% To Win: 310.94 KtN$
Bought: 01/27/2026 08:30

Will Tiger Woods win a 16th Master? Not befoe suspension (December 1, 2038)

Payed: 80.00 KtN$ @30.4% Gain: -8.88 KtN$

Current: 71.12 KtN$ @27.0% To Win: 268.06 KtN$
Bought: 01/25/2026 17:46

What number of named Pacific Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2026 have? 22 or more

Payed: 80.00 KtN$ @29.4% Gain: -3.47 KtN$

Current: 76.53 KtN$ @28.1% To Win: 277.65 KtN$
Bought: 01/25/2026 17:10

After recent alltime high: What will happen next to NASDAQ 100 (^NDX) stock market Index? closing-quote for ^NDX is climbing above 26.789 ponts

Payed: 120.00 KtN$ @45.8% Gain: -5.06 KtN$

Current: 114.94 KtN$ @43.4% To Win: 265.03 KtN$
Bought: 01/25/2026 17:00

Will the Number of People leaving the German Catholic Church in 2025 drop below 300.000 ? No

Payed: 110.00 KtN$ @41.3% Gain: -1.01 KtN$

Current: 108.99 KtN$ @40.3% To Win: 270.29 KtN$
Bought: 01/24/2026 18:46

English Premier League: Which of the ever-present clubs will be the first to leave? Everton

Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @22.8% Gain: 2.40 KtN$

Current: 72.40 KtN$ @23.5% To Win: 314.94 KtN$
Bought: 01/24/2026 05:40

Will the Mo Ibrahim Prize for Achievement in African Leadership be awarded for 2025? No

Payed: 150.00 KtN$ @47.3% Gain: 1.18 KtN$

Current: 151.18 KtN$ @47.7% To Win: 320.72 KtN$
Bought: 01/24/2026 04:50

Will Donald & Melania Trump divorce? Not before suspension (November 11, 2045)

Payed: 120.00 KtN$ @38.9% Gain: 9.55 KtN$

Current: 129.55 KtN$ @41.9% To Win: 313.21 KtN$
Bought: 01/23/2026 10:30

After recent alltime high: What will happen next to NASDAQ 100 (^NDX) stock market Index? Nasdaq stock-market is closed for more than one day due to a crash

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @2.7% Gain: 0.88 KtN$

Current: 10.88 KtN$ @2.9% To Win: 384.17 KtN$
Bought: 01/23/2026 04:44

Will the USA ever buy Greenland? Yes, all of it

Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @16.6% Gain: 58.96 KtN$

Current: 118.96 KtN$ @32.4% To Win: 372.02 KtN$
Bought: 01/23/2026 04:30

Will Jeremy Corbyn ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? Yes

Payed: 120.00 KtN$ @36.0% Gain: 0.48 KtN$

Current: 120.48 KtN$ @35.5% To Win: 339.58 KtN$
Bought: 01/22/2026 16:46

What Annual Increase (ppb) in Globally-Averaged Atmospheric CH4 (Methane) will we get for 2025? 2025 above 15 ppb

Payed: 80.00 KtN$ @22.8% Gain: 2.70 KtN$

Current: 82.70 KtN$ @23.6% To Win: 360.36 KtN$
Bought: 01/22/2026 16:40

Will Burkina Faso keep first rank in Global Terrorism-Index (GTI) 2026 ? YES

Payed: 190.00 KtN$ @51.9% Gain: 3.27 KtN$

Current: 193.27 KtN$ @52.8% To Win: 369.56 KtN$
Bought: 01/22/2026 01:20

Which Battery-stock will have the best 14 months performance between Jul-1-2025 and Aug-31-2026 ? KRX:373220 - LG Energy - https://www.lgensol.com/en/index

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @1.2% Gain: -1.60 KtN$

Current: 8.40 KtN$ @1.0% To Win: 916.02 KtN$
Bought: 01/20/2026 18:50

Which of these 9 EV Car makers will make the race within 15 months from Jul-1-25 until Sep-30-26 ? XIACY Xiaomi

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @10.0% Gain: -23.62 KtN$

Current: 16.38 KtN$ @4.1% To Win: 416.66 KtN$
Bought: 01/20/2026 08:19

When will the tallest wind turbine of the wold exceed 369 m heigth (including blades)? 2027

Payed: 110.00 KtN$ @29.3% Gain: -5.74 KtN$

Current: 104.26 KtN$ @27.1% To Win: 384.29 KtN$
Bought: 01/20/2026 08:10

Richard Carapaz won the 2019 Giro d'Italia cycle race. Will he ever win another 'Grand Tour' race? No

Payed: 310.00 KtN$ @77.8% Gain: 2.81 KtN$

Current: 312.81 KtN$ @78.5% To Win: 399.52 KtN$
Bought: 01/20/2026 08:00

Will the deforestation in the brazilian amazon in the year ending July 2026 sink below 2025 value? yes

Payed: 220.00 KtN$ @51.1% Gain: 7.75 KtN$

Current: 227.75 KtN$ @52.9% To Win: 434.51 KtN$
Bought: 01/19/2026 14:41

Will Tiger Woods win a 16th Master? Yes

Payed: 330.00 KtN$ @70.2% Gain: 13.29 KtN$

Current: 343.29 KtN$ @73.0% To Win: 472.18 KtN$
Bought: 01/17/2026 21:30

Duke & Duchess of Cambridge: Will they stop at three children? Yes

Payed: 320.00 KtN$ @60.7% Gain: -4.96 KtN$

Current: 315.04 KtN$ @59.3% To Win: 530.94 KtN$
Bought: 01/17/2026 17:15

Will Taiwan keep its 2025 High-Score with Top-Position in Ecological Threat Report 2026 ? NO

Payed: 300.00 KtN$ @55.6% Gain: 14.02 KtN$

Current: 314.02 KtN$ @58.1% To Win: 544.23 KtN$
Bought: 01/17/2026 15:40

After recent dip below 133.3 HK-$ (after stock-split): what will happen next to BYD (1211.HK) stock? closing-quote for BYD is climbing again above 150 HK-$

Payed: 260.00 KtN$ @44.2% Gain: 27.27 KtN$

Current: 287.27 KtN$ @48.8% To Win: 595.51 KtN$
Bought: 01/17/2026 03:30

Will Novak_Đjoković overtake Jimmy Connors` record of 109 tournament wins? Yes

Payed: 140.00 KtN$ @23.4% Gain: 1.18 KtN$

Current: 141.18 KtN$ @23.6% To Win: 617.70 KtN$
Bought: 01/13/2026 01:28

Will Jeremy Corbyn ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? Yes

Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @37.5% Gain: -4.77 KtN$

Current: 85.23 KtN$ @35.5% To Win: 243.88 KtN$
Bought: 01/13/2026 00:50

Will Arctic Sea Ice extent fall below 3.387 million km² at any day in 2026? NO

Payed: 140.00 KtN$ @58.3% Gain: 4.44 KtN$

Current: 144.44 KtN$ @60.1% To Win: 241.86 KtN$
Bought: 01/12/2026 12:28

Will the deforestation in the brazilian amazon in the year ending July 2026 sink below 2025 value? no

Payed: 130.00 KtN$ @52.0% Gain: -11.09 KtN$

Current: 118.91 KtN$ @47.1% To Win: 252.43 KtN$
Bought: 01/10/2026 00:46

After current ceasefire: When will Gaza war between Israel and Hamas end? 2026

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @30.6% Gain: -2.28 KtN$

Current: 37.72 KtN$ @28.9% To Win: 131.80 KtN$
Bought: 01/09/2026 14:26

When will Russian Ukraine war end? 2027

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @20.9% Gain: -2.91 KtN$

Current: 27.09 KtN$ @18.9% To Win: 145.33 KtN$
Bought: 01/09/2026 03:33

Which will be Kantar BrandZ Top 100 Most Valuable Global Brand 2026? Microsoft

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @16.3% Gain: 1.42 KtN$

Current: 31.42 KtN$ @17.1% To Win: 186.44 KtN$
Bought: 01/09/2026 03:02

James Bond - Who will be the next? Idris Elba

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @16.7% Gain: -0.42 KtN$

Current: 29.58 KtN$ @16.5% To Win: 182.47 KtN$
Bought: 01/09/2026 01:57

English Premier League: Which of the ever-present clubs will be the first to leave? Manchester United

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @13.0% Gain: -0.45 KtN$

Current: 19.55 KtN$ @12.7% To Win: 155.82 KtN$
Bought: 01/09/2026 01:09

James Bond - Who will be the next? Clive Owen

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @1.7% Gain: -0.17 KtN$

Current: 9.83 KtN$ @1.7% To Win: 608.21 KtN$
Bought: 01/09/2026 01:00

Will the 'Innocent Victims' statue again be displayed in London during the next 10 years? No

Payed: 80.00 KtN$ @47.3% Gain: -6.86 KtN$

Current: 73.14 KtN$ @43.2% To Win: 170.76 KtN$
Bought: 01/08/2026 21:29

When will the Monocab Rail Projekt be launched? 2029

Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @30.4% Gain: 0.24 KtN$

Current: 50.24 KtN$ @30.6% To Win: 166.29 KtN$
Bought: 01/08/2026 21:10

After current ceasefire: When will Gaza war between Israel and Hamas end? 2026

Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @30.3% Gain: -2.41 KtN$

Current: 47.59 KtN$ @28.9% To Win: 166.67 KtN$
Bought: 01/08/2026 19:00

Will the 'Innocent Victims' statue again be displayed in London during the next 10 years? Yes

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @53.2% Gain: 6.96 KtN$

Current: 106.96 KtN$ @56.8% To Win: 189.82 KtN$
Bought: 01/08/2026 18:40

What Annual Increase (ppb) in Globally-Averaged Atmospheric CH4 (Methane) will we get for 2025? 2025 below 5 ppb

Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @33.4% Gain: -0.88 KtN$

Current: 59.12 KtN$ @32.9% To Win: 182.06 KtN$
Bought: 01/06/2026 20:14

City Nature Challenge 2026: How may observations will the participants from Berlin report? less than 21.000

Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @32.1% Gain: -5.94 KtN$

Current: 54.06 KtN$ @28.9% To Win: 189.44 KtN$
Bought: 01/06/2026 07:05

When will there be a statue of Margaret Thatcher in Parliament Square, London? 2021 to 2025

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @23.0% Gain: -8.64 KtN$

Current: 21.36 KtN$ @16.4% To Win: 131.86 KtN$
Bought: 01/05/2026 23:34

When will Tesla have 1 million autonomous robotaxis on the road? 2027

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @24.7% Gain: -3.56 KtN$

Current: 26.44 KtN$ @21.8% To Win: 122.41 KtN$
Bought: 01/05/2026 23:10

Will Tesla humanoid robot Optimus be delivered to customers outside Tesla factories before end 2026? no

Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @45.2% Gain: 2.30 KtN$

Current: 62.30 KtN$ @46.9% To Win: 133.69 KtN$
Bought: 01/05/2026 12:35

When will the SP500 Shiller P/E-ratio (CAPE-ratio) exceed the old alltime high of 44.19 ? later or never

Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @44.0% Gain: 0.86 KtN$

Current: 60.86 KtN$ @44.6% To Win: 137.38 KtN$
Bought: 01/05/2026 12:00

How many Job Openings will Yellowstone Club offer as of Dec 31 2026? 40 up to 49

Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @39.2% Gain: 0.63 KtN$

Current: 50.63 KtN$ @39.7% To Win: 128.41 KtN$
Bought: 01/05/2026 07:10

Will Emmerson Mnangagwa be President of Zimbabwe on 24th November 2032? No

Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @40.6% Gain: -1.29 KtN$

Current: 58.71 KtN$ @39.7% To Win: 149.18 KtN$
Bought: 01/04/2026 11:12

Where will Donald Trump spend mostpart (>80%) of the rest of his life? Montenegro

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @2.8% Gain: -4.23 KtN$

Current: 5.77 KtN$ @1.6% To Win: 364.92 KtN$
Bought: 01/04/2026 10:50

When will European Carbon Emission Certificates cost more than 100 EUR / to CO2? H1-2026

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @10.1% Gain: -1.72 KtN$

Current: 18.28 KtN$ @9.3% To Win: 201.00 KtN$
Bought: 01/03/2026 21:50

Will Taiwan keep its 2025 High-Score with Top-Position in Ecological Threat Report 2026 ? YES

Payed: 80.00 KtN$ @50.5% Gain: -13.72 KtN$

Current: 66.28 KtN$ @41.9% To Win: 159.53 KtN$
Bought: 01/03/2026 13:02

Which will be Kantar BrandZ Top 100 Most Valuable Global Brand 2026? other Brand

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @5.8% Gain: -0.26 KtN$

Current: 9.74 KtN$ @5.7% To Win: 174.78 KtN$
Bought: 01/03/2026 12:31

Egan Bernal has won the 2019 Tour de France. How many more 'Grand Tour' races will he win? Three

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @10.2% Gain: -0.30 KtN$

Current: 19.70 KtN$ @10.0% To Win: 200.55 KtN$
Bought: 01/01/2026 19:50

Will the Democrats win the Texas presidential electoral college seats before the end of 2028? Yes

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @30.2% Gain: -1.28 KtN$

Current: 18.72 KtN$ @28.2% To Win: 66.59 KtN$
Bought: 01/01/2026 17:58

When will world population surpass 8.8 billion people? 2023 - 2027

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @4.3% Gain: -0.64 KtN$

Current: 9.36 KtN$ @4.0% To Win: 240.22 KtN$
Bought: 01/01/2026 17:40

What number of Atlantic Tropical Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2026 have? 17 or less

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @30.7% Gain: 1.07 KtN$

Current: 11.07 KtN$ @34.0% To Win: 32.64 KtN$
Bought: 12/31/2025 22:09

Will the Democrats win the Texas presidential electoral college seats before the end of 2028? No

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @70.0% Gain: 0.74 KtN$

Current: 30.74 KtN$ @71.8% To Win: 42.89 KtN$
Bought: 12/31/2025 21:37

Will Arctic Sea Ice extent fall below 3.387 million km² at any day in 2026? YES

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @44.3% Gain: -2.02 KtN$

Current: 17.98 KtN$ @39.9% To Win: 45.22 KtN$
Bought: 12/31/2025 21:30

Will the Number of People leaving the German Catholic Church in 2025 drop below 300.000 ? No

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @42.3% Gain: -0.93 KtN$

Current: 19.07 KtN$ @40.3% To Win: 47.43 KtN$
Bought: 12/31/2025 12:55

Will the deforestation in the brazilian amazon in the year ending July 2026 sink below 2025 value? no

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @50.3% Gain: -1.27 KtN$

Current: 18.73 KtN$ @47.1% To Win: 39.84 KtN$
Bought: 12/31/2025 12:20

In what year will Lindsay Hoyle cease to be the Speaker of the UK House of Commons? 2025

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @4.9% Gain: 0.17 KtN$

Current: 10.17 KtN$ @5.0% To Win: 208.99 KtN$
Bought: 12/30/2025 19:16

Will Kim Yo Jong become leader of North Korea? Yes

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @70.5% Gain: -0.79 KtN$

Current: 29.21 KtN$ @68.6% To Win: 42.63 KtN$
Bought: 12/30/2025 08:10

Will Global Military Expenditures exceed 2.999 Bill US-$ in 2025? Yes

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @49.9% Gain: 2.94 KtN$

Current: 22.94 KtN$ @57.2% To Win: 40.16 KtN$
Bought: 12/29/2025 02:41

When will the next manned Moon Landing be? 2027

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @43.4% Gain: -0.89 KtN$

Current: 19.11 KtN$ @41.5% To Win: 46.16 KtN$
Bought: 12/29/2025 02:00

What number of named Pacific Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2026 have? 22 or more

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @30.1% Gain: -1.30 KtN$

Current: 18.70 KtN$ @28.1% To Win: 66.84 KtN$
Bought: 12/28/2025 13:45

Earthquake Prediction: When will California get again an earthquake > 6.4 Magnitude ? 2025

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @18.9% Gain: -4.13 KtN$

Current: 5.87 KtN$ @11.1% To Win: 53.21 KtN$
Bought: 12/28/2025 07:31

Will Puerto Rico become the 51st state of the USA by 2029? No

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @58.7% Gain: -0.61 KtN$

Current: 9.39 KtN$ @55.1% To Win: 17.05 KtN$
Bought: 12/28/2025 07:20

Which is the next of these 11 countries to lose its standard & poors AAA rating ? None of them before suspension Date

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @25.4% Gain: -0.10 KtN$

Current: 9.90 KtN$ @25.1% To Win: 39.50 KtN$
Bought: 12/28/2025 00:20

When will Elon Musk build a colony on Mars ? 2046 to 2055

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @28.3% Gain: -0.56 KtN$

Current: 9.44 KtN$ @26.7% To Win: 35.49 KtN$
Bought: 12/26/2025 06:22

Stock market crash ahead: Is the U.S. 2Y-30Y treasury-yield-spread a valid early warning indicator ? no, no correction of Nasdaq Composite IXIC more than 18% from alltime high before end of June 2026

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @10.2% Gain: 0.43 KtN$

Current: 10.43 KtN$ @10.6% To Win: 98.85 KtN$
Bought: 12/25/2025 23:30

Will Tesla humanoid robot Optimus be delivered to customers outside Tesla factories before end 2026? yes

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @55.1% Gain: -0.36 KtN$

Current: 9.64 KtN$ @53.1% To Win: 18.18 KtN$
Bought: 12/24/2025 17:40

Will the Democrats win the Texas presidential electoral college seats before the end of 2028? No

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @69.9% Gain: 0.54 KtN$

Current: 20.54 KtN$ @71.8% To Win: 28.64 KtN$
Bought: 12/24/2025 05:40

When will the SP500 Shiller P/E-ratio (CAPE-ratio) exceed the old alltime high of 44.19 ? later or never

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @43.5% Gain: 0.27 KtN$

Current: 10.27 KtN$ @44.6% To Win: 23.04 KtN$
Bought: 12/23/2025 22:46

When will there be a statue of Margaret Thatcher in Parliament Square, London? Before 2021

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @17.8% Gain: -2.53 KtN$

Current: 7.47 KtN$ @13.3% To Win: 56.48 KtN$
Bought: 12/22/2025 09:03

When will US Fed decrease Fed Funds Rate to the range between 3.00% - 3.25% or even lower? Q1_2026

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @9.2% Gain: -0.22 KtN$

Current: 9.78 KtN$ @9.0% To Win: 109.89 KtN$
Bought: 12/19/2025 08:28

When will European Central Bank ECB cut the key-ECB-rate deposit facility to 1.75% or even lower? later or never

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @25.4% Gain: -0.14 KtN$

Current: 9.86 KtN$ @25.1% To Win: 39.44 KtN$
Bought: 12/19/2025 08:00

Will Bitcoin-Price climb above USD 175.000 (closing coindesk) at any day until end 2026 ? Yes

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @11.2% Gain: -2.02 KtN$

Current: 7.98 KtN$ @8.9% To Win: 90.18 KtN$
Bought: 12/18/2025 18:20

How many satellites (operational+non-operational) will be in the orbit by end 2026 ? between 20.000 an 22.000

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @36.5% Gain: 0.41 KtN$

Current: 20.41 KtN$ @37.2% To Win: 55.04 KtN$
Bought: 12/17/2025 05:29

Which is the next of these 11 countries to lose its standard & poors AAA rating ? Sweden

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @4.9% Gain: 0.48 KtN$

Current: 10.48 KtN$ @5.1% To Win: 208.73 KtN$
Bought: 12/16/2025 03:34

Climate Change Performance Index 2027: Will U.S. improve from rank 65 ? YES

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @45.2% Gain: -1.11 KtN$

Current: 18.89 KtN$ @42.7% To Win: 44.35 KtN$
Bought: 12/16/2025 03:00

Which "robotic"-stock will have the best 15 months performance between Aug-1-2025 and Oct-31-2026 ? TER - Teradyne - https://www.teradyne.com/

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @35.0% Gain: 12.40 KtN$

Current: 32.40 KtN$ @56.5% To Win: 57.42 KtN$
Bought: 12/14/2025 13:54

After recent dip below 133.3 HK-$ (after stock-split): what will happen next to BYD (1211.HK) stock? BYD stays in range between 116.7 and 150 by suspension-date

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @20.9% Gain: -1.83 KtN$

Current: 8.17 KtN$ @17.1% To Win: 47.93 KtN$
Bought: 12/13/2025 16:00

Which is the next of these 11 countries to lose its standard & poors AAA rating ? Australia

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @6.2% Gain: -0.08 KtN$

Current: 9.92 KtN$ @6.1% To Win: 164.65 KtN$
Bought: 12/13/2025 09:31

Which of these 9 EV Car makers will make the race within 15 months from Jul-1-25 until Sep-30-26 ? Nio

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @20.6% Gain: 18.24 KtN$

Current: 28.24 KtN$ @58.1% To Win: 48.65 KtN$

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Failure

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @8.7%	Gain:	0.00 KtN$
Current:	10.00 KtN$ @8.7%	To Win:	115.76 KtN$

Payed:	50.00 KtN$ @61.3%	Gain:	0.00 KtN$
Current:	50.00 KtN$ @61.3%	To Win:	81.87 KtN$

Payed:	50.00 KtN$ @68.1%	Gain:	0.33 KtN$
Current:	50.33 KtN$ @68.5%	To Win:	73.62 KtN$

Payed:	30.00 KtN$ @28.2%	Gain:	0.00 KtN$
Current:	30.00 KtN$ @28.2%	To Win:	107.04 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @91.3%	Gain:	-0.02 KtN$
Current:	9.98 KtN$ @91.1%	To Win:	10.96 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @47.1%	Gain:	0.00 KtN$
Current:	10.00 KtN$ @47.1%	To Win:	21.24 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @43.4%	Gain:	0.00 KtN$
Current:	10.00 KtN$ @43.4%	To Win:	23.09 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @73.9%	Gain:	-0.04 KtN$
Current:	9.96 KtN$ @73.6%	To Win:	13.53 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @57.7%	Gain:	-0.07 KtN$
Current:	9.93 KtN$ @57.3%	To Win:	17.35 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @20.9%	Gain:	-0.07 KtN$
Current:	9.93 KtN$ @20.8%	To Win:	47.99 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @10.0%	Gain:	-0.01 KtN$
Current:	9.99 KtN$ @10.0%	To Win:	100.54 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @53.3%	Gain:	-0.03 KtN$
Current:	9.97 KtN$ @53.2%	To Win:	18.77 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @3.8%	Gain:	0.00 KtN$
Current:	10.00 KtN$ @3.8%	To Win:	272.21 KtN$

Payed:	20.00 KtN$ @53.1%	Gain:	0.07 KtN$
Current:	20.07 KtN$ @53.3%	To Win:	37.75 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @38.8%	Gain:	0.21 KtN$
Current:	10.21 KtN$ @39.6%	To Win:	25.83 KtN$

Payed:	20.00 KtN$ @44.9%	Gain:	0.00 KtN$
Current:	20.00 KtN$ @44.9%	To Win:	44.68 KtN$

Payed:	30.00 KtN$ @80.4%	Gain:	0.12 KtN$
Current:	30.12 KtN$ @80.8%	To Win:	37.32 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @29.2%	Gain:	-0.10 KtN$
Current:	9.90 KtN$ @28.9%	To Win:	34.34 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @23.4%	Gain:	0.07 KtN$
Current:	10.07 KtN$ @23.6%	To Win:	42.82 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @13.2%	Gain:	0.18 KtN$
Current:	10.18 KtN$ @13.4%	To Win:	76.37 KtN$

Payed:	20.00 KtN$ @50.3%	Gain:	0.12 KtN$
Current:	20.12 KtN$ @50.6%	To Win:	39.81 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @7.2%	Gain:	-0.02 KtN$
Current:	9.98 KtN$ @7.2%	To Win:	141.05 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @28.2%	Gain:	-0.06 KtN$
Current:	9.94 KtN$ @28.1%	To Win:	35.50 KtN$

Payed:	20.00 KtN$ @53.8%	Gain:	-0.02 KtN$
Current:	19.98 KtN$ @53.7%	To Win:	37.27 KtN$

Payed:	20.00 KtN$ @53.0%	Gain:	-0.03 KtN$
Current:	19.97 KtN$ @52.9%	To Win:	37.81 KtN$

Payed:	20.00 KtN$ @36.6%	Gain:	0.07 KtN$
Current:	20.07 KtN$ @36.8%	To Win:	54.82 KtN$

Payed:	20.00 KtN$ @29.1%	Gain:	-0.36 KtN$
Current:	19.64 KtN$ @28.6%	To Win:	68.99 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @5.7%	Gain:	-0.06 KtN$
Current:	9.94 KtN$ @5.7%	To Win:	177.49 KtN$

Payed:	20.00 KtN$ @30.8%	Gain:	-0.25 KtN$
Current:	19.75 KtN$ @30.5%	To Win:	65.14 KtN$

Payed:	50.00 KtN$ @91.2%	Gain:	-0.07 KtN$
Current:	49.93 KtN$ @91.1%	To Win:	54.85 KtN$