Question Details

Foto: aAexander Gabyshev / North-Eastern Federal University
Gateway to Hell: When will Siberian Batagaika Crater Area surpass 1km² ?


currently Open, suspends 12/31/2028 22:10 (in )
Predictions
Background
size end of 2024:
https://img2.knewthenews.com/upload/1000x800/fill/marketoptionimage-phpSeb4p0Batagaika2024.png
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermokarst
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Batagaika_crater
In parts of Siberia, the permafrost is thawing. That endangers not only roads and buildings but also underground cold-storage facilities. Cracks are appearing in more and more of them.
https://www.dw.com/en/russia-thawing-ice/av-55090428
https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Increase-rate-of-the-Batagaika-crater-area-over-27-years-from-1991-to-2018_tbl1_339929486
Data 2018:
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12665-020-8895-7/tables/3
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12665-020-8895-7/figures/3
YEAR - AREA (km²) - PERIMETER (km)
1991 - 0.19 - 3.13
1999 - 0.32 - 3.62
2005 - 0.42 - 4.19
2010 - 0.53 - 4.97
2014 - 0.69 - 5.62
2018 - 0.78 - 5.81
2022 > 0,8 :
2024: 0,823 -
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0169555X22003944
https://www.google.com/maps/place/Batagayskiy+Krater/@67.579951,134.7628336,1547m/data=!3m1!1e3!4m6!3m5!1s0x5bbfe860562bb5df:0x36aa71832fca4261!8m2!3d67.5800724!4d134.7712104!16s%2Fg%2F11bz0frpf0?ucbcb=1&entry=ttu&g_ep=EgoyMDI1MDExNS4wIKXMDSoASAFQAw%3D%3D
> right mouse
> measure distance
Expansion rate (km² / year)
1991–1999 0.0162
1999–2005 0.0167
2005–2010 0.022
2010–2014 0.04
2014–2018 0.022
Google Maps:
https://www.google.com/maps/place/Batagaika+crater/@67.5836092,134.7723159,1871m/data=!3m1!1e3
https://astroaventura.net/mundo-curioso/el-enorme-crater-de-siberia-que-no-deja-de-crecer/
Picture 1:
https://www.google.com/maps/place/Batagaika+crater/@67.5783832,134.7728567,3a,75y,90t/data=!3m8!1e2!3m6!1sAF1QipNhGygipBumGSN39TQMFLekJezQXuVV3gT5SQw!2e10!3e12!6shttps:%2F%2Flh5.googleusercontent.com%2Fp%2FAF1QipNhGygipBumGSN39TQMFLekJezQXuVV3gT5SQw%3Dw130-h86-k-no!7i1199!8i789!4m5!3m4!1s0x5bbfe98a616b146b:0x100d1ed2d264a68c!8m2!3d67.5783832!4d134.7728568
Picture 2:
https://www.google.com/maps/place/Batagaika+crater/@67.5783832,134.7728568,3a,75y,90t/data=!3m8!1e2!3m6!1sAF1QipOSGAX_Ns98RHFqiMd2V1Fc6VABATsR32txEfo!2e10!3e12!6shttps:%2F%2Flh5.googleusercontent.com%2Fp%2FAF1QipOSGAX_Ns98RHFqiMd2V1Fc6VABATsR32txEfo%3Dw203-h133-k-no!7i1188!8i783!4m5!3m4!1s0x5bbfe98a616b146b:0x100d1ed2d264a68c!8m2!3d67.5783832!4d134.7728568
Extension area 2016-2020:
https://twitter.com/WMO/status/1289114105597628416/photo/1
path 141 points December 2024:
https://www.openstreetmap.org/way/423395565#map=14/67.58392/134.78843
https://www.dw.com/en/siberias-batagaika-crater-grows-at-an-alarming-rate/av-54471709
https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/loss-of-permafrost-a-global-cause-for-concern/46145716
https://www.abendblatt.de/vermischtes/article209844627/Riesiger-Krater-breitet-sich-immer-weiter-in-Sibirien.html
https://www.rbth.com/lifestyle/332583-yakutia-batagaika-crater
Image-gallery Oct 2018
https://www.stern.de/lifestyle/jwd/sibirien--das-loch-am-ende-der-welt_8394150-8394142.html
Satelite-image July 10 2020
https://www.esa.int/ESA_Multimedia/Images/2020/10/Gateway_to_Hell_Batagaika_Crater
Extension 2021:
https://www.timesnownews.com/viral/siberia-mouth-to-hell-282-foot-deep-crater-opens-up-in-russia-set-to-devour-everything-around-it-article-91735461
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