Question Details

2011 Big East Men's Basketball Tournament: Who will win?


Settled on 03/13/2011 19:59 Settled by


Predictions
Background
Big East Men's Basketball Tournament Information:
March 8th-12th, 2011 at Madison Square Garden, NY
http://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/conference-tournaments/big-east/
In our most recent calculations, we project Pittsburgh as the most likely winner of the 2011 Big East Championship, with projected Big East Championship win odds of 27.3%. The second most likely team to top the Big East bracket is St Johns, with a 17.6% chance to win the Big East Championship in 2011.
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - home court of St Johns.
Second Round - home court of St Johns.
Quarterfinals - home court of St Johns.
Semifinals - home court of St Johns.
Championship Game - home court of St Johns.
The 2011 Big East tournament bracket odds table (http://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/conference-tournaments/big-east/) lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2011 Big East tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big East tournament championship for every team in the 2011 Big East bracket.
The 2011 Big East standings determine the seeds of the teams in the 2011 Big East Championship bracket. The teams with the best Big East conference records receive top seeds in the 2011 Big East Championship.
A team's relative odds to win the 2011 Big East Championship depend only partly on their Big East bracket seed. Winning the Big East Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2011 Big East bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big East Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Big East Championship championship than a team with a worse Big East tournament seed.
In addition, because Big East tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big East conference games, Big East tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big East bracket can have better odds to win the 2011 Big East Championship than lower seeded teams in the Big East bracket.
2011 Big East Men's Basketball Tournament Schedule:
http://www.bigeast.org/Sports/BasketballChampionshipCentral/20102011MensBBallChampCentral.aspx
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