Question Details

2011 SEC Men's Basketball Tournament: Who will win?


Settled on 03/13/2011 19:58 Settled by


Predictions
Background
SEC Tournament Information
March 10th-13th, 2011 at Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
http://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/conference-tournaments/sec/
In our most recent calculations, we project Kentucky as the most likely winner of the 2011 SEC Tournament, with projected SEC Tournament win odds of 34.9%. The second most likely team to top the SEC bracket is Vanderbilt, with a 25.3% chance to win the SEC Tournament in 2011.
The 2011 SEC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2011 SEC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the SEC tournament championship for every team in the 2011 SEC bracket.
The 2011 SEC standings (http://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/conference-tournaments/sec/) determine the seeds of the teams in the 2011 SEC Tournament bracket. The teams with the best SEC conference records receive top seeds in the 2011 SEC Tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2011 SEC Tournament depend only partly on their SEC bracket seed. Winning the SEC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2011 SEC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better SEC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the SEC Tournament championship than a team with a worse SEC tournament seed.
In addition, because SEC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in SEC conference games, SEC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the SEC bracket can have better odds to win the 2011 SEC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the SEC bracket.
2011 SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Schedule:
http://www.secdigitalnetwork.com/LinkClick.aspx?fileticket=LaUW6IXaoCI=&tabid=712&mid=4578
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