Question Details

2012 Big Ten Men's Basketball Tournament: Who will win?


Settled on 03/11/2012 21:49 Settled by


http://scores.espn.go.com/ncb/boxscore?gameId=320710127
Predictions
Background
Big Ten Tournament Information
2012 Big Ten tournament site: Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
2012 Big Ten tournament dates: March 8th-11th, 2012
In our most recent calculations, we project Michigan St as the most likely winner of the 2012 Big Ten Tournament, with projected Big Ten Tournament win odds of 38.0%. The second most likely team to top the Big Ten bracket is Ohio State, with a 36.5% chance to win the Big Ten Tournament in 2012. http://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/conference-tournaments/big-ten/
All Rounds - neutral site.
The 2012 Big Ten tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2012 Big Ten tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big Ten tournament championship for every team in the 2012 Big Ten bracket.
The 2012 Big Ten projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2012 Big Ten Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Big Ten tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2012 Big Ten Tournament depend only partly on their Big Ten bracket seed. Winning the Big Ten Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2012 Big Ten bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big Ten Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the Big Ten Tournament championship than a team with a worse Big Ten tournament seed.
In addition, because Big Ten tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big Ten conference games, Big Ten tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big Ten bracket can have better odds to win the 2012 Big Ten Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Big Ten bracket.
2012 Big Ten Men's Basketball Tournament Schedule:
Thursday, March 8, 2012
Game 1: No. 8 Iowa 64, No. 9 Illinois 61
Game 2: No. 5 Indiana 75, No. 12 Penn State 58
Game 3: No. 10 Minnesota 75, No. 7 Northwestern 68
Game 4: No. 6 Purdue 79, No. 11 Nebraska 61
Friday, March 9, 2012
Game 5: No. 1 Michigan State 92, No. 8 Iowa 75
Game 6: No. 4 Wisconsin 79, No. 5 Indiana 71
Game 7: No. 2 Michigan 73, No. 10 Minnesota 69 (OT)
Game 8: No. 3 Ohio State 88, No. 6 Purdue 71
Saturday, March 10, 2012
Game 9: No. 1 Michigan State 65, No. 4 Wisconsin 52
Game 10: No. 3 Ohio State 77, No. 2 Michigan 55
Sunday, March 11, 2012
Game 11: Tournament Championship, 3:30 p.m., CBS Sports
All times ET
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