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Eurovision Song Contest: Which country will win?
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Eurovision Song Contest: Which country will win?

Asked by: Super Userkruijs in Entertainment » Television
Settled on 05/18/2013 22:31 Settled by Super Userkruijs
Winning option:Denmark Emmelie De Forest from Denmark takes over from Sweden's Loreen as the Eurovision Song Contest champion, capping a spectacle that kept Malmö and the rest of Europe cheering on Saturday night.

http://www.thelocal.se/47990/20130519/#.UZgBNEq7J3U

Predictions

Denmark
Denmark
Emmelie de Forest: Only Teardrops
34.6%
Netherlands
Netherlands
Anouk: Birds
26.5%
Norway
Norway
Margaret Berger: I Feed You My Love
13.6%
Georgia
Georgia
Nodi Tatishvili & Sophie Gelovani: Waterfall
11.2%
Italy
Italy
Marco Mengoni: L'Essenziale
1.8%
Ukraine
Ukraine
Zlata Ognevich: Gravity
1.5%
Sweden
Sweden
Robin Stjernberg: You
1.4%
Germany
Germany
Cascada: Glorious
1.2%
United Kingdom
United Kingdom
Bonnie Tyler: Believe In Me
1.1%
Ireland
Ireland
Ryan Dolan: Only Love Survives
1.0%
Russia
Russia
Dina Garipova: What if
1.0%
Belarus
Belarus
Alyona Lanskaya: Solayoh
1.0%
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan
Farid Mammadov: Hold Me
1.0%
<i>Other</i>
Other
Armenia, Belgium, Estonia, Finland, France, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Lithuania, Malta, Moldova, Romania, Spain
2.9%

Background

The United Kingdom will win Eurovision 2013. Why? Well here we go:

1) First of all, in the last 5 years, the winning country came either Top 5 or Bottom 6 in the previous contest (Russia, Norway, Azerbaijan and Sweden came Top 5, Germany came Bottom 6). So looking at this year’s scoreboard, that leaves:

- Sweden, Russia, Serbia, Albania, Azerbaijan, Norway, United Kingdom, Hungary, Denmark, France, Malta

2) Every time the contest was held in Sweden, a country that is geographically smaller than Sweden won. That leaves:

- Sweden, Russia, Serbia, Albania, Azerbaijan, Norway, United Kingdom, Hungary, Denmark, France, Malta

3) In the last decade no direct neighboring country of the host country won. That leaves:

- Serbia, Albania, Azerbaijan, Norway, United Kingdom, Hungary, Denmark, Malta

4) The shortest time between two wins of the same country (of a country that won this century) is currently 13 years (Sweden 1999 and Sweden 2012). That leaves:

- Serbia, Albania, Azerbaijan, United Kingdom, Hungary, Malta

5) Every time the contest was held in Sweden a country whose official language is a Germanic language won.

- Albania, United Kingdom, Hungary, Malta

6) In the last 9 years at least one color from the flag of the previous year’s winning country was also in the succeeding winning country’s flag. (Sweden = blue, yellow). That leaves:

- United Kingdom, Malta

7) also:

- The last time the contest was held in Scandinavia (Norway), a Big 5 country won (Germany)
- The last time the Olymic Games were held in Europe, the host country (Greece) won the Eurovision Song Contest the year after! London 2012, anyone?

8) It is thus 100% clear that the United Kingdom will win the Eurovision Song Contest 2013 in Sweden. ^^

P.S I wouldn’t bet based on this ^^

http://eurovisiontimes.wordpress.com/2012/06/02/prediction-the-uk-will-win-eurovision-2013/

Comments

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   Super UserStephen Tilley predicted Other

At odds offered this has to be worth a go

   Super UserStephen Tilley predicted Germany

Tip from a TV pundit

   Super Userkruijs

The organisers of the 2013 Eurovision Song Contest, SVT and the EBU,have revealed the running order for the Grand Final on Saturday. You can see it here.

http://www.eurovision.tv/page/news?id=running_order_for_the_grand_final_revealed

   Nick Calderone Germanotta predicted Georgia

miecit xma

   Nick Calderone Germanotta predicted Georgia

Georgia!

   Super Userkruijs

Welsh boffin creates mathematical model that can 'predict' Eurovision Song Contest winner

Despite sharing same hometown as Bonnie Tyler, Dr Martin O'Leary's analysis predicts disappointing night for the Welsh star

http://www.walesonline.co.uk/lifestyle/showbiz/eurovision-song-contest-mathematical-model-3867824

   Super Userkruijs

Graham Norton, who will present the BBC’s coverage of the Eurovision Song Contest on Saturday, appears to lack confidence in this country’s contestant, Bonnie Tyler.

“Britain could definitely win one year, it has the potential,” says the Telegraph columnist at a Samsung NX Smart Camera event in aid of Marie Curie Cancer Care. “Probably not this year, though.”

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/celebritynews/10060070/Britain-probably-wont-win-the-Eurovision-Song-Contest-says-Graham-Norton.html

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