loneagle's Profile | Knew The News - News Prediction Game

User Profile

loneagle

Member since 12/09/2010

All time highest net worth: 78,410.32 KtN$ (reached: 01/06/2026)

Current net worth : 77,890.88 KtN$

Predictions : 18,946

Bought: 02/15/2026 09:41

Will Nigel Farage ever win a seat in the United Kingdom Parliament? Not before suspension (April 3, 2053)

Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @61.2% Gain: 0.00 KtN$

Current: 60.00 KtN$ @61.2% To Win: 98.47 KtN$
Bought: 02/15/2026 09:20

In how many months in 2026 will the CO2 level be below 429 ppm ? in more than 4 month below 429 ppm

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @20.9% Gain: 0.00 KtN$

Current: 20.00 KtN$ @20.9% To Win: 96.60 KtN$
Bought: 02/11/2026 22:30

Which Battery-stock will have the best 14 months performance between Jul-1-2025 and Aug-31-2026 ? KRX:373220 - LG Energy - https://www.lgensol.com/en/index

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @1.8% Gain: -4.36 KtN$

Current: 5.64 KtN$ @1.0% To Win: 597.21 KtN$
Bought: 02/11/2026 10:47

Will Moody's reinstate the United Kingdom's sovereign debt rating to Aaa before October 2033? No

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @44.5% Gain: 0.04 KtN$

Current: 30.04 KtN$ @44.6% To Win: 67.64 KtN$
Bought: 02/11/2026 10:30

When will the United Nations admit its next full member state? 2031 to 2035

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @17.9% Gain: 0.17 KtN$

Current: 10.17 KtN$ @18.2% To Win: 56.17 KtN$
Bought: 02/09/2026 20:50

Will the baseline water stress of the US improve with the next issue of AQUEDUCT country rankings ? total score will go up from 2.6 = more stress

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @56.6% Gain: 0.09 KtN$

Current: 30.09 KtN$ @56.7% To Win: 53.16 KtN$
Bought: 02/09/2026 18:43

How many worldwide fatalities due to ACLED Armed Conflict Location & Event Data will occur in 2026? 210.000 up to 235.000

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @23.8% Gain: 0.04 KtN$

Current: 20.04 KtN$ @23.8% To Win: 84.67 KtN$
Bought: 02/09/2026 18:30

Will Jan-Dec 2026 Temperature Anomaly for Berlin be above 2024 record-high of 1.68° C? NO

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @61.6% Gain: 0.10 KtN$

Current: 40.10 KtN$ @61.8% To Win: 65.08 KtN$
Bought: 02/09/2026 08:35

Will 10 Year U.S. Treasury Rate fall below 3.5 % ? later or never

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @18.1% Gain: -0.01 KtN$

Current: 9.99 KtN$ @18.1% To Win: 55.44 KtN$
Bought: 02/09/2026 08:22

What FOMC's target rate (BPS) will US FED Funds get in April 26 2026 Meeting? 375 - 400

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @7.6% Gain: -0.03 KtN$

Current: 9.97 KtN$ @7.6% To Win: 132.40 KtN$
Bought: 02/09/2026 08:17

When will Google search index worldwide for battery-manufacturer CATL hit again a new alltime high? later or never

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @39.6% Gain: 0.14 KtN$

Current: 30.14 KtN$ @39.8% To Win: 76.01 KtN$
Bought: 02/09/2026 08:10

Will Sir Keir Starmer ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? Yes

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @37.0% Gain: 0.20 KtN$

Current: 30.20 KtN$ @37.3% To Win: 81.41 KtN$
Bought: 02/08/2026 18:20

What Temperature Anomaly (basis 1961-1990) will Germany get in 2026? < +2.2°C

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @47.5% Gain: 0.03 KtN$

Current: 30.03 KtN$ @47.6% To Win: 63.33 KtN$
Bought: 02/08/2026 18:10

What number of Atlantic Tropical Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2026 have? 22 or more

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @31.0% Gain: -3.62 KtN$

Current: 26.38 KtN$ @27.2% To Win: 97.52 KtN$
Bought: 02/08/2026 05:58

When will the tallest wind turbine of the wold exceed 369 m heigth (including blades)? 2028

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @32.4% Gain: 1.33 KtN$

Current: 31.33 KtN$ @33.8% To Win: 93.17 KtN$
Bought: 02/08/2026 05:50

How many of these statements will be true at the end of 2026? Six

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @20.4% Gain: 0.00 KtN$

Current: 20.00 KtN$ @20.4% To Win: 98.62 KtN$
Bought: 02/07/2026 21:50

After recent correction: What level will Ruble / USD quote (daily close) cross next? USD will fortify and will surpass 100 Rubel / 1 USD

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @45.9% Gain: -0.04 KtN$

Current: 39.96 KtN$ @45.8% To Win: 87.64 KtN$
Bought: 02/05/2026 22:17

Which of these 9 EV Car makers will make the race within 15 months from Jul-1-25 until Sep-30-26 ? BYD Company

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @8.9% Gain: -0.04 KtN$

Current: 9.96 KtN$ @8.9% To Win: 113.59 KtN$
Bought: 02/05/2026 21:50

How many of these statements will be true at the end of 2026? All Ten

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @4.4% Gain: -0.02 KtN$

Current: 9.98 KtN$ @4.3% To Win: 234.73 KtN$
Bought: 02/05/2026 16:57

English Premier League: Which of the ever-present clubs will be the first to leave? Chelsea

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @14.1% Gain: -0.11 KtN$

Current: 19.89 KtN$ @14.0% To Win: 144.01 KtN$
Bought: 02/05/2026 16:30

Will the Global Annual change in energy-related CO2 emissions be negative in 2025 ? YES - less CO2-emissions than 2024

Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @46.2% Gain: 0.08 KtN$

Current: 50.08 KtN$ @46.3% To Win: 108.76 KtN$
Bought: 02/05/2026 02:00

What will be the Sunspot Number (Average Jan-Dec) for 2026 ? 105 - 114.9 sunspots

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @30.4% Gain: 0.06 KtN$

Current: 30.06 KtN$ @30.5% To Win: 99.23 KtN$
Bought: 02/04/2026 00:06

Which Battery-stock will have the best 14 months performance between Jul-1-2025 and Aug-31-2026 ? KRX:373220 - LG Energy - https://www.lgensol.com/en/index

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @1.4% Gain: -2.76 KtN$

Current: 7.24 KtN$ @1.0% To Win: 780.17 KtN$
Bought: 02/02/2026 22:24

When will the SP500 Shiller P/E-ratio (CAPE-ratio) exceed the old alltime high of 44.19 ? later or never

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @45.1% Gain: 0.60 KtN$

Current: 40.60 KtN$ @45.8% To Win: 89.07 KtN$
Bought: 02/02/2026 22:00

When will the SP500 Shiller P/E-ratio (CAPE-ratio) exceed the old alltime high of 44.19 ? 2026

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @36.7% Gain: -0.51 KtN$

Current: 29.49 KtN$ @36.1% To Win: 82.07 KtN$
Bought: 02/02/2026 09:26

When will the SP500 Shiller P/E-ratio (CAPE-ratio) exceed the old alltime high of 44.19 ? 2026

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @36.6% Gain: -0.36 KtN$

Current: 29.64 KtN$ @36.1% To Win: 82.50 KtN$
Bought: 02/02/2026 09:00

What FOMC's target rate (BPS) will US FED Funds get in April 26 2026 Meeting? 300 - 325

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @22.2% Gain: -0.12 KtN$

Current: 19.88 KtN$ @22.1% To Win: 90.68 KtN$
Bought: 02/02/2026 05:40

Will 5 Year U.S. Treasury Note Yield FVX fall below 2.5% at any day until end of 2026 ? No

Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @51.7% Gain: 1.20 KtN$

Current: 51.20 KtN$ @52.9% To Win: 97.19 KtN$
Bought: 01/31/2026 02:12

How many new Nuclear Power plants will be launched worldwide in 2026 ? even more

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @29.8% Gain: -0.26 KtN$

Current: 29.74 KtN$ @29.6% To Win: 101.37 KtN$
Bought: 01/31/2026 02:00

Will Novak_Đjoković overtake Jimmy Connors` record of 109 tournament wins? No, he will fall short

Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @46.0% Gain: 0.19 KtN$

Current: 50.19 KtN$ @46.2% To Win: 109.35 KtN$
Bought: 01/30/2026 11:14

How often will Gold Price stay above 3.333 US-$ / ounce (monthly average) in Sept_2025 to Feb_2026? in 5 of 6 months above 3.333 $

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @1.2% Gain: -0.08 KtN$

Current: 9.92 KtN$ @1.2% To Win: 913.25 KtN$
Bought: 01/30/2026 10:40

Will Tesla humanoid robot Optimus be delivered to customers outside Tesla factories before end 2026? no

Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @44.2% Gain: 1.20 KtN$

Current: 51.20 KtN$ @45.2% To Win: 113.86 KtN$
Bought: 01/30/2026 05:37

Will Sir Keir Starmer ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? Not before suspension (August 1st, 2040)

Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @64.6% Gain: -2.08 KtN$

Current: 67.92 KtN$ @62.7% To Win: 108.73 KtN$
Bought: 01/30/2026 04:59

When will the United States of America have a president with the letter Z in their surname? 2120s

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @5.4% Gain: -0.03 KtN$

Current: 9.97 KtN$ @5.4% To Win: 188.89 KtN$
Bought: 01/30/2026 04:50

Will Novak_Đjoković overtake Jimmy Connors` record of 109 tournament wins? Yes

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @23.2% Gain: -0.36 KtN$

Current: 29.64 KtN$ @23.0% To Win: 130.44 KtN$
Bought: 01/28/2026 01:07

Will Nigel Farage ever win a seat in the United Kingdom Parliament? Not before suspension (April 3, 2053)

Payed: 80.00 KtN$ @60.5% Gain: 0.94 KtN$

Current: 80.94 KtN$ @61.2% To Win: 133.01 KtN$
Bought: 01/28/2026 01:00

When will the United States of America have a president with the letter Z in their surname? 2140s

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @5.5% Gain: -0.04 KtN$

Current: 9.96 KtN$ @5.5% To Win: 183.51 KtN$
Bought: 01/27/2026 22:11

Will Alyssa Carson ever land on Mars? Yes

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @18.9% Gain: -0.44 KtN$

Current: 29.56 KtN$ @18.6% To Win: 161.00 KtN$
Bought: 01/27/2026 21:40

When will the Monocab Rail Projekt be launched? 2025/2026

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @11.3% Gain: -0.39 KtN$

Current: 19.61 KtN$ @11.1% To Win: 179.94 KtN$
Bought: 01/26/2026 07:52

Climate Change Performance Index 2027: Will U.S. improve from rank 65 ? NO

Payed: 80.00 KtN$ @56.2% Gain: -0.73 KtN$

Current: 79.27 KtN$ @55.7% To Win: 143.24 KtN$
Bought: 01/26/2026 07:27

When will Elon Musk build a colony on Mars ? later or never

Payed: 80.00 KtN$ @53.7% Gain: -0.77 KtN$

Current: 79.23 KtN$ @53.2% To Win: 150.02 KtN$
Bought: 01/26/2026 07:20

Which is the next of these 11 countries to lose its standard & poors AAA rating ? Switzerland

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @6.0% Gain: 0.13 KtN$

Current: 10.13 KtN$ @6.1% To Win: 169.95 KtN$
Bought: 01/26/2026 04:20

What Temperature Anomaly (basis 1961-1990) will Germany get in 2026? >= +2.2°C

Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @52.0% Gain: 0.80 KtN$

Current: 90.80 KtN$ @52.4% To Win: 174.64 KtN$
Bought: 01/26/2026 01:25

How many worldwide fatalities due to ACLED Armed Conflict Location & Event Data will occur in 2026? less than 210.000

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @10.1% Gain: -0.08 KtN$

Current: 19.92 KtN$ @10.1% To Win: 200.91 KtN$
Bought: 01/26/2026 00:50

Will the Global Annual change in energy-related CO2 emissions be negative in 2025 ? YES - less CO2-emissions than 2024

Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @46.1% Gain: 0.41 KtN$

Current: 90.41 KtN$ @46.3% To Win: 197.24 KtN$
Bought: 01/26/2026 00:40

Will Bitcoin-Price climb above USD 175.000 (closing coindesk) at any day until end 2026 ? No

Payed: 180.00 KtN$ @90.1% Gain: 0.97 KtN$

Current: 180.97 KtN$ @90.6% To Win: 199.90 KtN$
Bought: 01/25/2026 18:10

After recent alltime high: What will happen next to NASDAQ 100 (^NDX) stock market Index? Nasdaq stock-market is closed for more than one day due to a crash

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @2.8% Gain: 0.79 KtN$

Current: 10.79 KtN$ @3.0% To Win: 374.76 KtN$
Bought: 01/25/2026 09:00

When will European Central Bank ECB cut the key-ECB-rate deposit facility to 1.75% or even lower? 2025

Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @30.3% Gain: -0.74 KtN$

Current: 69.26 KtN$ @30.0% To Win: 234.87 KtN$
Bought: 01/24/2026 05:00

Which of these 11 forecasts for Gold US-$ / troy ounce will be achieved closest at the end of 2026 ? 4.546 $ > https://gov.capital/commodity/gold/

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @3.1% Gain: -6.72 KtN$

Current: 3.28 KtN$ @1.0% To Win: 338.51 KtN$
Bought: 01/24/2026 04:20

Will Iceland keep its first rank in Global Peace-Index (GPI) 2026 ? NO

Payed: 130.00 KtN$ @54.6% Gain: 0.44 KtN$

Current: 130.44 KtN$ @54.4% To Win: 239.97 KtN$
Bought: 01/23/2026 14:49

Will Burkina Faso keep first rank in Global Terrorism-Index (GTI) 2026 ? YES

Payed: 130.00 KtN$ @52.5% Gain: -1.06 KtN$

Current: 128.94 KtN$ @51.6% To Win: 249.82 KtN$
Bought: 01/23/2026 14:04

How many satellites (operational+non-operational) will be in the orbit by end 2026 ? 20.000 or less

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @15.7% Gain: -0.24 KtN$

Current: 39.76 KtN$ @15.6% To Win: 260.43 KtN$
Bought: 01/23/2026 11:07

Egan Bernal has won the 2019 Tour de France. How many more 'Grand Tour' races will he win? Four

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @7.1% Gain: 0.04 KtN$

Current: 20.04 KtN$ @7.1% To Win: 290.59 KtN$
Bought: 01/23/2026 10:20

When will the SP500 Shiller P/E-ratio (CAPE-ratio) exceed the old alltime high of 44.19 ? later or never

Payed: 130.00 KtN$ @44.7% Gain: 3.13 KtN$

Current: 133.13 KtN$ @45.8% To Win: 294.19 KtN$
Bought: 01/22/2026 22:48

How many worldwide fatalities due to ACLED Armed Conflict Location & Event Data will occur in 2026? less than 210.000

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @10.0% Gain: 0.21 KtN$

Current: 30.21 KtN$ @10.1% To Win: 307.56 KtN$
Bought: 01/22/2026 22:20

Will Tiger Woods win a 16th Master? Not befoe suspension (December 1, 2038)

Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @29.8% Gain: -2.57 KtN$

Current: 87.43 KtN$ @29.0% To Win: 308.08 KtN$
Bought: 01/22/2026 21:15

When will the United Nations admit its next full member state? 2021 to 2025

Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @16.2% Gain: 0.03 KtN$

Current: 50.03 KtN$ @16.2% To Win: 316.75 KtN$
Bought: 01/22/2026 20:50

When will the next manned Moon Landing be? later than 2028 or never

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @8.0% Gain: 3.33 KtN$

Current: 33.33 KtN$ @8.8% To Win: 390.37 KtN$
Bought: 01/22/2026 16:33

Will Volodymyr Zelensky be reelected as President of Ukraine and will he then complete his 2nd term? reelected and not serve full second term

Payed: 110.00 KtN$ @33.8% Gain: 0.58 KtN$

Current: 110.58 KtN$ @34.0% To Win: 332.03 KtN$
Bought: 01/22/2026 15:44

Will the Patriots win another Super Bowl in the next ten years? No

Payed: 270.00 KtN$ @75.8% Gain: 1.06 KtN$

Current: 271.06 KtN$ @76.1% To Win: 357.45 KtN$
Bought: 01/22/2026 15:40

When will a Hyperloop officially be launched ? later or never

Payed: 250.00 KtN$ @65.2% Gain: -2.83 KtN$

Current: 247.17 KtN$ @64.1% To Win: 385.60 KtN$
Bought: 01/19/2026 07:00

Will the Democrats win a Texas U.S. Senate seat before the end of 2028? Yes

Payed: 140.00 KtN$ @31.5% Gain: 5.43 KtN$

Current: 145.43 KtN$ @32.7% To Win: 453.90 KtN$
Bought: 01/18/2026 13:50

Will Khalid Shaikh Mohammed, self described 9/11 Mastermind, be sentenced to death? No

Payed: 120.00 KtN$ @22.4% Gain: 4.31 KtN$

Current: 124.31 KtN$ @23.2% To Win: 555.51 KtN$
Bought: 01/18/2026 13:48

James Bond - Who will be the next? Gerard Butler

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @1.7% Gain: -0.07 KtN$

Current: 9.93 KtN$ @1.6% To Win: 642.24 KtN$
Bought: 01/18/2026 13:20

When will Austrian 0.85% 100-Year bond (stock symbol A2HLC4) fall below 33%? 2026

Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @12.5% Gain: -0.37 KtN$

Current: 69.63 KtN$ @12.5% To Win: 586.86 KtN$
Bought: 01/18/2026 12:03

City Nature Challenge 2026: How may observations will the participants from Berlin report? 26.500 or more

Payed: 170.00 KtN$ @30.9% Gain: 2.83 KtN$

Current: 172.83 KtN$ @30.7% To Win: 563.05 KtN$
Bought: 01/17/2026 13:10

How many Job Openings will Yellowstone Club offer as of Dec 31 2026? less than 40

Payed: 200.00 KtN$ @31.2% Gain: -1.76 KtN$

Current: 198.24 KtN$ @30.3% To Win: 654.78 KtN$
Bought: 01/15/2026 07:27

Will the deforestation in the brazilian amazon in the year ending July 2026 sink below 2025 value? no

Payed: 300.00 KtN$ @51.4% Gain: -30.17 KtN$

Current: 269.83 KtN$ @45.8% To Win: 589.65 KtN$
Bought: 01/15/2026 06:40

English Premier League: Which of the ever-present clubs will be the first to leave? Liverpool

Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @14.9% Gain: -0.66 KtN$

Current: 89.34 KtN$ @14.8% To Win: 636.12 KtN$
Bought: 01/15/2026 01:23

Will Iceland keep its first rank in Global Peace-Index (GPI) 2026 ? NO

Payed: 330.00 KtN$ @53.5% Gain: 5.42 KtN$

Current: 335.42 KtN$ @54.4% To Win: 622.35 KtN$
Bought: 01/15/2026 01:00

When will Russian Ukraine war end? 2025

Payed: 160.00 KtN$ @25.8% Gain: 11.25 KtN$

Current: 171.25 KtN$ @27.5% To Win: 638.86 KtN$
Bought: 01/14/2026 09:05

How often will Gold Price stay above 3.333 US-$ / ounce (monthly average) in Sept_2025 to Feb_2026? in 3 of 6 months above 3.333 $

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @1.5% Gain: -3.54 KtN$

Current: 6.46 KtN$ @1.0% To Win: 688.73 KtN$
Bought: 01/14/2026 08:20

How many satellites (operational+non-operational) will be in the orbit by end 2026 ? 24.000 or more

Payed: 80.00 KtN$ @15.3% Gain: 0.55 KtN$

Current: 80.55 KtN$ @15.4% To Win: 547.95 KtN$
Bought: 01/14/2026 08:10

Will Barcelona's Sagrada Familia be officially be completed in (or before) 2026? No

Payed: 190.00 KtN$ @37.3% Gain: 3.48 KtN$

Current: 193.48 KtN$ @37.9% To Win: 518.69 KtN$
Bought: 01/13/2026 18:00

Will Tesla humanoid robot Optimus be delivered to customers outside Tesla factories before end 2026? no

Payed: 220.00 KtN$ @47.1% Gain: -6.11 KtN$

Current: 213.89 KtN$ @45.2% To Win: 472.81 KtN$
Bought: 01/11/2026 19:08

How many satellites (operational+non-operational) will be in the orbit by end 2026 ? 20.000 or less

Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @15.9% Gain: -0.96 KtN$

Current: 59.04 KtN$ @15.6% To Win: 390.83 KtN$
Bought: 01/11/2026 18:20

Which of these Pretious Metals Stocks will have best performance between Jul-1-2025 and Aug-30-2026? Wheaton Pretious Metals WPM

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @11.0% Gain: -34.52 KtN$

Current: 5.48 KtN$ @1.5% To Win: 375.75 KtN$
Bought: 01/10/2026 04:40

When will the Geopolitical Risk Index GPR surpass the 20-year high of 167.3 pts (monthly average)? March 2026 - June 2026

Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @29.8% Gain: -1.16 KtN$

Current: 58.84 KtN$ @29.2% To Win: 204.46 KtN$
Bought: 01/09/2026 19:50

Will the Number of People leaving the German Catholic Church in 2025 drop below 300.000 ? Yes

Payed: 130.00 KtN$ @58.2% Gain: 0.82 KtN$

Current: 130.82 KtN$ @58.5% To Win: 225.08 KtN$
Bought: 01/06/2026 08:10

When will the United Nations admit its next full member state? 2031 to 2035

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @18.1% Gain: 0.14 KtN$

Current: 30.14 KtN$ @18.2% To Win: 167.94 KtN$
Bought: 01/05/2026 22:52

When will Elon Musk build a colony on Mars ? 2024 to 2035

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @3.7% Gain: -0.31 KtN$

Current: 9.69 KtN$ @3.6% To Win: 277.78 KtN$
Bought: 01/05/2026 22:10

When will PFAS (Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances) be banned globally? 2026

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @15.0% Gain: -1.31 KtN$

Current: 18.69 KtN$ @14.0% To Win: 135.23 KtN$
Bought: 01/05/2026 08:32

When will Austrian 0.85% 100-Year bond (stock symbol A2HLC4) fall below 33%? 2026

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @12.4% Gain: 0.10 KtN$

Current: 20.10 KtN$ @12.5% To Win: 163.45 KtN$
Bought: 01/05/2026 08:00

What number of named Pacific Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2026 have? 22 or more

Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @30.6% Gain: -2.83 KtN$

Current: 47.17 KtN$ @28.9% To Win: 165.17 KtN$
Bought: 01/05/2026 05:41

Will Arctic Sea Ice extent fall below 3.387 million km² at any day in 2026? NO

Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @56.0% Gain: 6.70 KtN$

Current: 96.70 KtN$ @60.1% To Win: 161.84 KtN$
Bought: 01/04/2026 07:20

What FOMC's target rate (BPS) will US FED Funds get in April 26 2026 Meeting? 275 - 300

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @8.2% Gain: -1.15 KtN$

Current: 18.85 KtN$ @7.8% To Win: 248.48 KtN$
Bought: 01/04/2026 03:20

Will the baseline water stress of the US improve with the next issue of AQUEDUCT country rankings ? total score will stay at 2.6

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @4.5% Gain: 0.74 KtN$

Current: 10.74 KtN$ @4.8% To Win: 226.50 KtN$
Bought: 01/02/2026 13:57

Will Sir Keir Starmer ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? Yes

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @43.7% Gain: -1.48 KtN$

Current: 8.52 KtN$ @37.3% To Win: 22.89 KtN$
Bought: 01/01/2026 05:05

Will Jose Mourinho ever coach the Portugal national soccer team? Not before suspension (September 9, 2031)

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @38.3% Gain: -1.44 KtN$

Current: 8.56 KtN$ @32.8% To Win: 26.17 KtN$
Bought: 01/01/2026 04:50

Will Taiwan keep its 2025 High-Score with Top-Position in Ecological Threat Report 2026 ? YES

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @50.4% Gain: -1.49 KtN$

Current: 8.51 KtN$ @42.9% To Win: 19.84 KtN$
Bought: 12/29/2025 21:44

Will the Global Annual change in energy-related CO2 emissions be negative in 2025 ? YES - less CO2-emissions than 2024

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @42.7% Gain: 0.86 KtN$

Current: 10.86 KtN$ @46.3% To Win: 23.47 KtN$
Bought: 12/29/2025 21:16

Will Khalid Shaikh Mohammed, self described 9/11 Mastermind, be sentenced to death? Yes

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @77.3% Gain: -0.11 KtN$

Current: 19.89 KtN$ @76.8% To Win: 25.90 KtN$
Bought: 12/29/2025 21:10

City Nature Challenge 2026: How may observations will the participants from Berlin report? less than 21.000

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @32.0% Gain: -1.03 KtN$

Current: 8.97 KtN$ @28.7% To Win: 31.36 KtN$
Bought: 12/28/2025 20:50

When will the tallest wind turbine of the wold exceed 369 m heigth (including blades)? 2027

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @29.0% Gain: -0.79 KtN$

Current: 9.21 KtN$ @26.7% To Win: 34.58 KtN$
Bought: 12/28/2025 13:26

After recent correction: What level will Ruble / USD quote (daily close) cross next? Rubel will strenghthen and sink below 80 Rubel / 1 USD

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @50.1% Gain: -0.37 KtN$

Current: 9.63 KtN$ @48.2% To Win: 19.98 KtN$
Bought: 12/28/2025 11:20

Stock market crash ahead: Is the U.S. 2Y-30Y treasury-yield-spread a valid early warning indicator ? yes, crash of Nasdaq Composite IXIC more than 18% from alltime high before end of June 2026

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @89.7% Gain: -0.21 KtN$

Current: 29.79 KtN$ @89.0% To Win: 33.47 KtN$
Bought: 12/28/2025 07:50

Richard Carapaz won the 2019 Giro d'Italia cycle race. Will he ever win another 'Grand Tour' race? No

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @72.8% Gain: 1.20 KtN$

Current: 21.20 KtN$ @77.2% To Win: 27.49 KtN$
Bought: 12/26/2025 01:59

When will Russian Ukraine war end? 2026

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @38.8% Gain: 0.39 KtN$

Current: 10.39 KtN$ @40.3% To Win: 25.84 KtN$
Bought: 12/26/2025 01:30

Which will be Kantar BrandZ Top 100 Most Valuable Global Brand 2026? Google

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @19.6% Gain: -0.22 KtN$

Current: 9.78 KtN$ @19.2% To Win: 51.27 KtN$
Bought: 12/23/2025 08:53

When will US Published National Debt exceed 43.212.345.678.910 USD? 2030

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @22.8% Gain: -1.35 KtN$

Current: 8.65 KtN$ @19.7% To Win: 43.98 KtN$
Bought: 12/20/2025 19:00

When will the United Nations admit its next full member state? 2026 to 2030

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @42.9% Gain: -0.52 KtN$

Current: 19.48 KtN$ @41.8% To Win: 46.73 KtN$
Bought: 12/19/2025 03:14

Will Jose Mourinho ever coach the Portugal national soccer team? Not before suspension (September 9, 2031)

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @38.1% Gain: -2.79 KtN$

Current: 17.21 KtN$ @32.8% To Win: 52.69 KtN$
Bought: 12/18/2025 20:00

Will Taiwan keep its 2025 High-Score with Top-Position in Ecological Threat Report 2026 ? NO

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @49.7% Gain: 2.97 KtN$

Current: 22.97 KtN$ @57.1% To Win: 40.32 KtN$
Bought: 12/15/2025 16:10

Will the baseline water stress of the US improve with the next issue of AQUEDUCT country rankings ? total score will go up from 2.6 = more stress

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @60.1% Gain: -1.66 KtN$

Current: 28.34 KtN$ @56.7% To Win: 50.05 KtN$
Bought: 12/15/2025 10:58

Will Arctic Sea Ice extent fall below 3.387 million km² at any day in 2026? NO

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @55.4% Gain: 2.54 KtN$

Current: 32.54 KtN$ @60.1% To Win: 54.25 KtN$
Bought: 12/15/2025 10:31

What number of Atlantic Tropical Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2026 have? 17 or less

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @30.7% Gain: 3.06 KtN$

Current: 23.06 KtN$ @35.4% To Win: 65.39 KtN$
Bought: 12/14/2025 23:39

Will Taiwan keep its 2025 High-Score with Top-Position in Ecological Threat Report 2026 ? YES

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @50.4% Gain: -4.44 KtN$

Current: 25.56 KtN$ @42.9% To Win: 59.70 KtN$
Bought: 12/14/2025 23:20

Will the deforestation in the brazilian amazon in the year ending July 2026 sink below 2025 value? no

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @50.1% Gain: -2.62 KtN$

Current: 27.38 KtN$ @45.8% To Win: 60.00 KtN$
Bought: 12/11/2025 06:55

Which of these Pretious Metals Stocks will have best performance between Jul-1-2025 and Aug-30-2026? Pan American Silver PAAS

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @24.6% Gain: 57.30 KtN$

Current: 77.30 KtN$ @94.6% To Win: 81.72 KtN$
Bought: 12/11/2025 06:30

After recent dip below 133.3 HK-$ (after stock-split): what will happen next to BYD (1211.HK) stock? closing-quote for BYD is falling below 116.7 HK-$

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @38.5% Gain: -2.08 KtN$

Current: 27.92 KtN$ @35.8% To Win: 78.31 KtN$
Bought: 12/07/2025 14:40

Climate Change Performance Index 2027: Will U.S. improve from rank 65 ? NO

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @50.4% Gain: 3.14 KtN$

Current: 33.14 KtN$ @55.7% To Win: 59.65 KtN$
Bought: 12/07/2025 05:06

Earthquake Prediction: When will California get again an earthquake > 6.4 Magnitude ? 2025

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @18.7% Gain: -8.06 KtN$

Current: 11.94 KtN$ @11.2% To Win: 107.71 KtN$
Bought: 12/07/2025 04:20

When will the next manned Moon Landing be? 2026

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @25.5% Gain: 0.73 KtN$

Current: 20.73 KtN$ @26.4% To Win: 78.99 KtN$
Bought: 12/07/2025 03:26

Will Novak_Đjoković overtake Jimmy Connors` record of 109 tournament wins? No, he will equal 109

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @29.5% Gain: 0.92 KtN$

Current: 20.92 KtN$ @30.9% To Win: 68.07 KtN$
Bought: 12/07/2025 02:40

Where will Donald Trump spend mostpart (>80%) of the rest of his life? Slovenia

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @1.7% Gain: 0.19 KtN$

Current: 10.19 KtN$ @1.7% To Win: 644.16 KtN$
Bought: 12/06/2025 05:40

After recent correction: What level will Ruble / USD quote (daily close) cross next? price-fixing will be suspended for more than 2 days

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @5.6% Gain: 0.67 KtN$

Current: 10.67 KtN$ @6.0% To Win: 181.59 KtN$
Bought: 12/06/2025 04:50

Which of these 6 fallen Angels will recover the most in 16 months from Dec-19-24 until April-20-26 ? BLDP Ballard Power Systems

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @29.9% Gain: -14.81 KtN$

Current: 5.19 KtN$ @7.8% To Win: 67.12 KtN$
Bought: 12/04/2025 15:34

After recent dip below 133.3 HK-$ (after stock-split): what will happen next to BYD (1211.HK) stock? closing-quote for BYD is climbing again above 150 HK-$

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @40.9% Gain: 3.86 KtN$

Current: 33.86 KtN$ @46.1% To Win: 73.70 KtN$
Bought: 12/03/2025 03:38

Will Nigel Farage ever win a seat in the United Kingdom Parliament? Yes

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @41.2% Gain: -2.25 KtN$

Current: 37.75 KtN$ @38.8% To Win: 97.75 KtN$
Bought: 12/01/2025 07:09

Where will Donald Trump spend mostpart (>80%) of the rest of his life? France

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @1.4% Gain: 0.94 KtN$

Current: 10.94 KtN$ @1.6% To Win: 744.55 KtN$
Bought: 12/01/2025 06:47

Which will be Kantar BrandZ Top 100 Most Valuable Global Brand 2026? Google

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @19.6% Gain: -0.48 KtN$

Current: 19.52 KtN$ @19.2% To Win: 102.67 KtN$
Bought: 11/30/2025 23:49

Where will Donald Trump spend mostpart (>80%) of the rest of his life? Scotland

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @2.0% Gain: -0.50 KtN$

Current: 9.50 KtN$ @1.9% To Win: 524.37 KtN$
Bought: 11/30/2025 23:30

What number of Atlantic Tropical Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2026 have? 17 or less

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @30.5% Gain: 4.81 KtN$

Current: 34.81 KtN$ @35.4% To Win: 98.89 KtN$
Bought: 11/27/2025 06:56

When will 2km-tall tower in Riyadh be completed? 2035 - 2040

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @31.0% Gain: -1.29 KtN$

Current: 38.71 KtN$ @30.0% To Win: 130.04 KtN$
Bought: 11/27/2025 06:40

When will the Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (GEPU) fall below 250? 3rd quarter 2025

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @20.1% Gain: 1.32 KtN$

Current: 31.32 KtN$ @20.9% To Win: 151.43 KtN$
Bought: 11/21/2025 11:05

What Australian Summer Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2025/2026 (base: 1961-1990) ? between +1° and +1.5°C

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @29.8% Gain: -0.90 KtN$

Current: 19.10 KtN$ @28.5% To Win: 67.40 KtN$
Bought: 11/21/2025 10:30

When will Enerkite report 100+ high altitude airborne wind energy generation systems in operation? later or never

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @35.0% Gain: -0.54 KtN$

Current: 19.46 KtN$ @34.1% To Win: 57.34 KtN$
Bought: 11/19/2025 02:40

Where will the winner of 2026 FIFA World Cup come from? Central/North America (CONCACAF)

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @7.6% Gain: 0.40 KtN$

Current: 10.40 KtN$ @7.9% To Win: 132.93 KtN$
Bought: 11/16/2025 13:30

When will US Published National Debt exceed 43.212.345.678.910 USD? before 2029

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @3.9% Gain: 22.22 KtN$

Current: 32.22 KtN$ @12.5% To Win: 260.57 KtN$
Bought: 11/16/2025 12:30

Will the baseline water stress of the US improve with the next issue of AQUEDUCT country rankings ? total score will stay at 2.6

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @4.4% Gain: 1.07 KtN$

Current: 11.07 KtN$ @4.8% To Win: 233.38 KtN$
Bought: 11/16/2025 08:50

How many United Kingdom teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? One

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @18.6% Gain: -7.52 KtN$

Current: 2.48 KtN$ @4.6% To Win: 54.10 KtN$
Bought: 11/16/2025 03:44

Will 5 Year U.S. Treasury Note Yield FVX fall below 2.5% at any day until end of 2026 ? Yes

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @48.6% Gain: -0.31 KtN$

Current: 9.69 KtN$ @47.1% To Win: 20.60 KtN$
Bought: 11/15/2025 10:51

When will the Monocab Rail Projekt be launched? 2025/2026

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @10.6% Gain: 0.47 KtN$

Current: 10.47 KtN$ @11.1% To Win: 95.35 KtN$
Bought: 11/14/2025 10:40

Will the Democrats win a Texas U.S. Senate seat before the end of 2028? No

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @69.5% Gain: -0.64 KtN$

Current: 19.36 KtN$ @67.3% To Win: 28.81 KtN$
Bought: 11/13/2025 08:04

When will Elon Musk build a colony on Mars ? 2024 to 2035

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @3.5% Gain: 0.30 KtN$

Current: 10.30 KtN$ @3.6% To Win: 295.59 KtN$
Bought: 11/13/2025 07:17

When will the Geopolitical Risk Index GPR surpass the 20-year high of 167.3 pts (monthly average)? November 2025 - February 2026

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @30.0% Gain: 0.38 KtN$

Current: 10.38 KtN$ @31.1% To Win: 33.45 KtN$
Bought: 11/13/2025 07:10

When will Austrian 0.85% 100-Year bond (stock symbol A2HLC4) fall below 33%? 2025

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @75.6% Gain: 0.23 KtN$

Current: 20.23 KtN$ @76.4% To Win: 26.49 KtN$
Bought: 11/13/2025 03:06

When will the Monocab Rail Projekt be launched? 2027/2028

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @29.8% Gain: -0.36 KtN$

Current: 9.64 KtN$ @28.7% To Win: 33.63 KtN$
Bought: 11/12/2025 05:51

City Nature Challenge 2026: How may observations will the participants from Berlin report? less than 21.000

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @31.7% Gain: -0.95 KtN$

Current: 9.05 KtN$ @28.7% To Win: 31.63 KtN$
Bought: 11/12/2025 05:33

Stock market crash ahead: Is the U.S. 2Y-30Y treasury-yield-spread a valid early warning indicator ? no, no correction of Nasdaq Composite IXIC more than 18% from alltime high before end of June 2026

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @10.2% Gain: 0.73 KtN$

Current: 10.73 KtN$ @11.0% To Win: 98.74 KtN$
Bought: 11/11/2025 19:14

In what year will Lindsay Hoyle cease to be the Speaker of the UK House of Commons? 2028

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @20.5% Gain: -0.15 KtN$

Current: 9.85 KtN$ @20.2% To Win: 49.00 KtN$
Bought: 11/10/2025 11:18

When will a Hyperloop officially be launched ? 2027 - 2028

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @11.6% Gain: 0.82 KtN$

Current: 10.82 KtN$ @12.5% To Win: 87.09 KtN$
Bought: 11/10/2025 01:28

When will US Published National Debt exceed 43.212.345.678.910 USD? 2031

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @17.4% Gain: -1.66 KtN$

Current: 8.34 KtN$ @14.5% To Win: 57.72 KtN$
Bought: 11/10/2025 01:10

Earthquake Prediction: When will California get again an earthquake > 6.4 Magnitude ? 2026

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @16.5% Gain: 21.02 KtN$

Current: 31.02 KtN$ @51.1% To Win: 60.78 KtN$
Bought: 11/06/2025 10:42

Will Iceland keep its first rank in Global Peace-Index (GPI) 2026 ? YES

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @49.9% Gain: -0.86 KtN$

Current: 9.14 KtN$ @45.6% To Win: 20.04 KtN$
Bought: 11/04/2025 21:42

When will Enerkite report 100+ high altitude airborne wind energy generation systems in operation? 2027

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @34.9% Gain: 0.45 KtN$

Current: 10.45 KtN$ @36.5% To Win: 28.67 KtN$
Bought: 11/04/2025 21:20

How many satellites (operational+non-operational) will be in the orbit by end 2026 ? 24.000 or more

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @14.7% Gain: 0.44 KtN$

Current: 10.44 KtN$ @15.4% To Win: 68.29 KtN$
Bought: 11/03/2025 13:30

Will Emmerson Mnangagwa be President of Zimbabwe on 24th November 2027? Yes

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @65.0% Gain: 0.06 KtN$

Current: 10.06 KtN$ @65.4% To Win: 15.40 KtN$
Bought: 11/02/2025 20:10

Will the Number of People leaving the German Catholic Church in 2025 drop below 300.000 ? Yes

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @59.6% Gain: -0.34 KtN$

Current: 19.66 KtN$ @58.5% To Win: 33.63 KtN$
Bought: 10/31/2025 09:35

Which of these 9 EV Car makers will make the race within 15 months from Jul-1-25 until Sep-30-26 ? HKG:9863 Leapmotor

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @10.1% Gain: -0.23 KtN$

Current: 9.77 KtN$ @9.8% To Win: 100.29 KtN$
Bought: 10/29/2025 20:29

When will Enerkite report 100+ high altitude airborne wind energy generation systems in operation? 2026

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @24.7% Gain: -0.16 KtN$

Current: 9.84 KtN$ @24.3% To Win: 40.65 KtN$
Bought: 10/29/2025 20:10

How many satellites (operational+non-operational) will be in the orbit by end 2026 ? 20.000 or less

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @14.9% Gain: 0.45 KtN$

Current: 10.45 KtN$ @15.6% To Win: 67.32 KtN$
Bought: 10/29/2025 14:50

After recent correction: What level will Ruble / USD quote (daily close) cross next? price-fixing will be suspended for more than 2 days

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @5.3% Gain: 1.29 KtN$

Current: 11.29 KtN$ @6.0% To Win: 192.23 KtN$
Bought: 10/28/2025 20:12

Will Turkey be or become a full member of the EU until end of 2027? No

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @36.5% Gain: 0.31 KtN$

Current: 10.31 KtN$ @37.6% To Win: 27.45 KtN$
Bought: 10/28/2025 19:51

Will the Democrats win the Texas presidential electoral college seats before the end of 2028? No

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @69.7% Gain: 0.84 KtN$

Current: 20.84 KtN$ @72.6% To Win: 28.73 KtN$
Bought: 10/28/2025 10:20

Will Donald & Melania Trump divorce? Not before suspension (November 11, 2045)

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @37.2% Gain: 1.72 KtN$

Current: 21.72 KtN$ @40.4% To Win: 53.91 KtN$
Bought: 10/26/2025 08:42

Will Tesla humanoid robot Optimus be delivered to customers outside Tesla factories before end 2026? yes

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @54.8% Gain: 0.00 KtN$

Current: 20.00 KtN$ @54.8% To Win: 36.59 KtN$
Bought: 10/26/2025 08:30

Which "robotic"-stock will have the best 15 months performance between Aug-1-2025 and Oct-31-2026 ? HSAI - Hesai Group - https://investor.hesaitech.com/

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @12.8% Gain: -3.52 KtN$

Current: 6.48 KtN$ @8.3% To Win: 78.47 KtN$
Bought: 10/24/2025 20:14

When will Bangladesh win its first Olympic medal? 2024

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @5.7% Gain: 0.68 KtN$

Current: 10.68 KtN$ @6.1% To Win: 179.14 KtN$
Bought: 10/23/2025 10:30

Will the Global Annual change in energy-related CO2 emissions be negative in 2025 ? YES - less CO2-emissions than 2024

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @42.6% Gain: 1.78 KtN$

Current: 21.78 KtN$ @46.3% To Win: 47.13 KtN$
Bought: 10/21/2025 09:22

Which of these 9 EV Car makers will make the race within 15 months from Jul-1-25 until Sep-30-26 ? Nio

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @20.8% Gain: 0.15 KtN$

Current: 10.15 KtN$ @21.1% To Win: 48.20 KtN$
Bought: 10/20/2025 23:26

Who will be the richest man out of these 7 well-stuffed people in 2026 forbes list ? Larry Ellison

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @4.2% Gain: -1.93 KtN$

Current: 8.07 KtN$ @3.4% To Win: 245.86 KtN$
Bought: 10/20/2025 23:00

When will the Geopolitical Risk Index GPR surpass the 20-year high of 167.3 pts (monthly average)? later or never

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @10.5% Gain: 0.24 KtN$

Current: 10.24 KtN$ @10.7% To Win: 96.11 KtN$
Bought: 10/19/2025 02:47

Will the Democrats win a Texas U.S. Senate seat before the end of 2028? No

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @70.1% Gain: -1.20 KtN$

Current: 28.80 KtN$ @67.3% To Win: 42.85 KtN$
Bought: 10/15/2025 23:55

Will Moody's reinstate the United Kingdom's sovereign debt rating to Aaa before October 2033? Yes

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @55.6% Gain: -0.07 KtN$

Current: 19.93 KtN$ @55.4% To Win: 36.01 KtN$
Bought: 10/15/2025 19:50

When will there be a statue of Margaret Thatcher in Parliament Square, London? Before 2021

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @17.4% Gain: 0.26 KtN$

Current: 10.26 KtN$ @17.9% To Win: 57.67 KtN$
Bought: 10/15/2025 13:01

When will Global Debt-to-GDP ratio surpass 360% of GDP (weighted avg.) ? in 2024

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @32.9% Gain: -0.18 KtN$

Current: 19.82 KtN$ @32.6% To Win: 61.07 KtN$
Bought: 10/15/2025 12:50

Richard Carapaz won the 2019 Giro d'Italia cycle race. Will he ever win another 'Grand Tour' race? Yes

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @27.2% Gain: -1.62 KtN$

Current: 8.38 KtN$ @22.8% To Win: 36.80 KtN$
Bought: 10/14/2025 10:54

Will the Democrats win a Texas U.S. Senate seat before the end of 2028? No

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @70.0% Gain: -1.17 KtN$

Current: 28.83 KtN$ @67.3% To Win: 42.91 KtN$
Bought: 10/13/2025 09:40

Will Arctic Sea Ice extent fall below 3.387 million km² at any day in 2026? YES

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @44.8% Gain: -2.18 KtN$

Current: 17.82 KtN$ @39.9% To Win: 44.80 KtN$
Bought: 10/13/2025 05:26

When will a greater than human artificial intelligence be demonstrated publicly? After 2040, or never

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @6.5% Gain: 0.46 KtN$

Current: 10.46 KtN$ @6.8% To Win: 156.65 KtN$
Bought: 10/13/2025 05:20

Will there be a water-war or a terrorism-attack around GERD Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam? 2030 - 2031

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @23.3% Gain: 0.09 KtN$

Current: 10.09 KtN$ @23.5% To Win: 43.12 KtN$
Bought: 10/13/2025 04:50

When will Elon Musk build a colony on Mars ? 2024 to 2035

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @3.2% Gain: 1.18 KtN$

Current: 11.18 KtN$ @3.6% To Win: 320.88 KtN$
Bought: 10/12/2025 18:16

Where will Donald Trump spend mostpart (>80%) of the rest of his life? Macau

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @2.2% Gain: 0.74 KtN$

Current: 10.74 KtN$ @2.3% To Win: 486.81 KtN$
Bought: 10/04/2025 22:38

When will the Monocab Rail Projekt be launched? later or never

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @29.6% Gain: -0.08 KtN$

Current: 9.92 KtN$ @29.3% To Win: 33.90 KtN$
Bought: 10/04/2025 22:11

Will the Democrats win the Texas presidential electoral college seats before the end of 2028? Yes

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @30.4% Gain: -1.98 KtN$

Current: 18.02 KtN$ @27.4% To Win: 66.01 KtN$
Bought: 10/04/2025 22:10

City Nature Challenge 2026: How may observations will the participants from Berlin report? less than 21.000

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @31.6% Gain: -1.84 KtN$

Current: 18.16 KtN$ @28.7% To Win: 63.64 KtN$
Bought: 10/04/2025 21:30

When will Russian Ukraine war end? 2027

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @13.5% Gain: 4.02 KtN$

Current: 14.02 KtN$ @18.9% To Win: 74.63 KtN$
Bought: 10/03/2025 11:07

When will PFAS (Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances) be banned globally? later or never

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @25.4% Gain: 0.27 KtN$

Current: 20.27 KtN$ @25.7% To Win: 79.35 KtN$
Bought: 10/02/2025 12:12

Will Jose Mourinho ever coach the Portugal national soccer team? Yes

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @62.8% Gain: 2.87 KtN$

Current: 42.87 KtN$ @67.2% To Win: 63.89 KtN$
Bought: 10/01/2025 17:50

Earthquake Prediction: When will California get again an earthquake > 6.4 Magnitude ? 2026

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @16.4% Gain: 21.22 KtN$

Current: 31.22 KtN$ @51.1% To Win: 61.17 KtN$
Bought: 10/01/2025 06:30

When will Bangladesh win its first Olympic medal? 2028

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @7.4% Gain: -0.41 KtN$

Current: 9.59 KtN$ @7.1% To Win: 137.06 KtN$
Bought: 09/27/2025 03:54

Which is the next of these 11 countries to lose its standard & poors AAA rating ? Denmark

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @7.1% Gain: -0.37 KtN$

Current: 9.63 KtN$ @6.8% To Win: 143.62 KtN$
Bought: 09/27/2025 03:20

After recent alltime high: What will happen next to NASDAQ 100 (^NDX) stock market Index? closing-quote for ^NDX is falling below 20.987points

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @54.7% Gain: -0.83 KtN$

Current: 19.17 KtN$ @52.4% To Win: 36.62 KtN$
Bought: 09/27/2025 01:49

What will be the age of the President of the USA on July 4th 2029? 61-70

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @14.1% Gain: -2.18 KtN$

Current: 7.82 KtN$ @11.1% To Win: 71.16 KtN$
Bought: 09/26/2025 18:10

Will Donald & Melania Trump divorce? Not before suspension (November 11, 2045)

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @49.5% Gain: -3.70 KtN$

Current: 16.30 KtN$ @40.4% To Win: 40.45 KtN$
Bought: 09/26/2025 15:00

What will 2025/2026 season's maximum ice coverage of the 5 Great Lakes be? 30% to less than 35%

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @38.5% Gain: -1.20 KtN$

Current: 18.80 KtN$ @36.2% To Win: 52.09 KtN$
Bought: 09/26/2025 06:00

Will the Mo Ibrahim Prize for Achievement in African Leadership be awarded for 2025? No

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @49.5% Gain: -0.64 KtN$

Current: 19.36 KtN$ @47.9% To Win: 40.48 KtN$
Bought: 09/25/2025 07:01

Will Turkey be or become a full member of the EU until end of 2027? Yes

Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @63.6% Gain: -0.59 KtN$

Current: 29.41 KtN$ @62.4% To Win: 47.23 KtN$
Bought: 09/25/2025 01:24

When will Elon Musk build a colony on Mars ? 2036 to 2045

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @17.9% Gain: -1.17 KtN$

Current: 8.83 KtN$ @15.8% To Win: 56.04 KtN$
Bought: 09/24/2025 00:40

Will Jeremy Corbyn ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? Not before suspension (May 10, 2027)

Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @63.5% Gain: 0.42 KtN$

Current: 40.42 KtN$ @64.2% To Win: 63.12 KtN$
Bought: 09/23/2025 20:59

Will Novak_Đjoković overtake Jimmy Connors` record of 109 tournament wins? No, he will equal 109

Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @32.0% Gain: -0.72 KtN$

Current: 19.28 KtN$ @30.9% To Win: 62.71 KtN$
Bought: 09/22/2025 16:20

Where will the winner of 2026 FIFA World Cup come from? South America (CONMEBOL)

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @18.8% Gain: 0.13 KtN$

Current: 10.13 KtN$ @19.0% To Win: 53.48 KtN$
Bought: 09/18/2025 12:39

Where will Germany's new nuclear waste site be? Lower Saxony or Bremen

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @37.8% Gain: 0.06 KtN$

Current: 10.06 KtN$ @38.0% To Win: 26.53 KtN$
Bought: 09/17/2025 17:20

Richard Carapaz won the 2019 Giro d'Italia cycle race. Will he ever win another 'Grand Tour' race? Yes

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @26.6% Gain: -1.43 KtN$

Current: 8.57 KtN$ @22.8% To Win: 37.64 KtN$
Bought: 09/16/2025 16:39

Will the Global Annual change in energy-related CO2 emissions be negative in 2025 ? YES - less CO2-emissions than 2024

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @42.3% Gain: 0.96 KtN$

Current: 10.96 KtN$ @46.3% To Win: 23.70 KtN$
Bought: 09/16/2025 16:00

When will the SP500 Shiller P/E-ratio (CAPE-ratio) exceed the old alltime high of 44.19 ? 2026

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @28.8% Gain: 2.54 KtN$

Current: 12.54 KtN$ @36.1% To Win: 34.79 KtN$
Bought: 09/09/2025 21:10

Will Novak_Đjoković overtake Jimmy Connors` record of 109 tournament wins? No, he will equal 109

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @32.0% Gain: -0.37 KtN$

Current: 9.63 KtN$ @30.9% To Win: 31.27 KtN$
Bought: 09/07/2025 13:07

Will the baseline water stress of the US improve with the next issue of AQUEDUCT country rankings ? total score will go down from 2.6 = less stress

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @35.8% Gain: 0.72 KtN$

Current: 10.72 KtN$ @38.4% To Win: 27.95 KtN$
Bought: 09/06/2025 08:18

Where will the winner of 2026 FIFA World Cup come from? Central/North America (CONCACAF)

Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @7.5% Gain: 0.53 KtN$

Current: 10.53 KtN$ @7.9% To Win: 134.69 KtN$

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Failure

Payed:	60.00 KtN$ @61.2%	Gain:	0.00 KtN$
Current:	60.00 KtN$ @61.2%	To Win:	98.47 KtN$

Payed:	20.00 KtN$ @20.9%	Gain:	0.00 KtN$
Current:	20.00 KtN$ @20.9%	To Win:	96.60 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @1.8%	Gain:	-4.36 KtN$
Current:	5.64 KtN$ @1.0%	To Win:	597.21 KtN$

Payed:	30.00 KtN$ @44.5%	Gain:	0.04 KtN$
Current:	30.04 KtN$ @44.6%	To Win:	67.64 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @17.9%	Gain:	0.17 KtN$
Current:	10.17 KtN$ @18.2%	To Win:	56.17 KtN$

Payed:	30.00 KtN$ @56.6%	Gain:	0.09 KtN$
Current:	30.09 KtN$ @56.7%	To Win:	53.16 KtN$

Payed:	20.00 KtN$ @23.8%	Gain:	0.04 KtN$
Current:	20.04 KtN$ @23.8%	To Win:	84.67 KtN$

Payed:	40.00 KtN$ @61.6%	Gain:	0.10 KtN$
Current:	40.10 KtN$ @61.8%	To Win:	65.08 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @18.1%	Gain:	-0.01 KtN$
Current:	9.99 KtN$ @18.1%	To Win:	55.44 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @7.6%	Gain:	-0.03 KtN$
Current:	9.97 KtN$ @7.6%	To Win:	132.40 KtN$

Payed:	30.00 KtN$ @39.6%	Gain:	0.14 KtN$
Current:	30.14 KtN$ @39.8%	To Win:	76.01 KtN$

Payed:	30.00 KtN$ @37.0%	Gain:	0.20 KtN$
Current:	30.20 KtN$ @37.3%	To Win:	81.41 KtN$

Payed:	30.00 KtN$ @47.5%	Gain:	0.03 KtN$
Current:	30.03 KtN$ @47.6%	To Win:	63.33 KtN$

Payed:	30.00 KtN$ @31.0%	Gain:	-3.62 KtN$
Current:	26.38 KtN$ @27.2%	To Win:	97.52 KtN$

Payed:	30.00 KtN$ @32.4%	Gain:	1.33 KtN$
Current:	31.33 KtN$ @33.8%	To Win:	93.17 KtN$

Payed:	20.00 KtN$ @20.4%	Gain:	0.00 KtN$
Current:	20.00 KtN$ @20.4%	To Win:	98.62 KtN$

Payed:	40.00 KtN$ @45.9%	Gain:	-0.04 KtN$
Current:	39.96 KtN$ @45.8%	To Win:	87.64 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @8.9%	Gain:	-0.04 KtN$
Current:	9.96 KtN$ @8.9%	To Win:	113.59 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @4.4%	Gain:	-0.02 KtN$
Current:	9.98 KtN$ @4.3%	To Win:	234.73 KtN$

Payed:	20.00 KtN$ @14.1%	Gain:	-0.11 KtN$
Current:	19.89 KtN$ @14.0%	To Win:	144.01 KtN$

Payed:	50.00 KtN$ @46.2%	Gain:	0.08 KtN$
Current:	50.08 KtN$ @46.3%	To Win:	108.76 KtN$

Payed:	30.00 KtN$ @30.4%	Gain:	0.06 KtN$
Current:	30.06 KtN$ @30.5%	To Win:	99.23 KtN$

Payed:	10.00 KtN$ @1.4%	Gain:	-2.76 KtN$
Current:	7.24 KtN$ @1.0%	To Win:	780.17 KtN$

Payed:	40.00 KtN$ @45.1%	Gain:	0.60 KtN$
Current:	40.60 KtN$ @45.8%	To Win:	89.07 KtN$

Payed:	30.00 KtN$ @36.7%	Gain:	-0.51 KtN$
Current:	29.49 KtN$ @36.1%	To Win:	82.07 KtN$

Payed:	30.00 KtN$ @36.6%	Gain:	-0.36 KtN$
Current:	29.64 KtN$ @36.1%	To Win:	82.50 KtN$

Payed:	20.00 KtN$ @22.2%	Gain:	-0.12 KtN$
Current:	19.88 KtN$ @22.1%	To Win:	90.68 KtN$

Payed:	50.00 KtN$ @51.7%	Gain:	1.20 KtN$
Current:	51.20 KtN$ @52.9%	To Win:	97.19 KtN$

Payed:	30.00 KtN$ @29.8%	Gain:	-0.26 KtN$
Current:	29.74 KtN$ @29.6%	To Win:	101.37 KtN$

Payed:	50.00 KtN$ @46.0%	Gain:	0.19 KtN$
Current:	50.19 KtN$ @46.2%	To Win:	109.35 KtN$