Question Details

Movie duel: "Rio" vs. "Scream 4"

Settled on 04/18/2011 21:26 Settled by

2 Scream 4 $18,692,090
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2011&wknd=15&p=.htm
Predictions
Background
To start with interesting odds (50:50) for both movies I use an "Equalizer" - The weeker movie "Scream 4" gets 2,9m to even the chances for the weekend
229 predictions http://www.boxofficemojo.com/derbygame/
1 Rio $45.3m 3,800 theaters
2 Scream 4 $42,4 + 2,9m EQUALIZER 3,300 theaters
Please comment - this is a test market - this is planed for bigger movies with similar expectations like Thor vs Hangover 2 or Pirates otC 4 vs. X-Men: First Class.
Should this run domestic 1/2/4/6 weeks or all of the before mentioned? Should there be a "sudden death" like first at eg 100m? This is only the weekend box office. Info on movies, theaters etc. in these movies HSX markets that follow later this week.
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