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Movie duel: "Rio" vs. "Scream 4"
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Movie duel: "Rio" vs. "Scream 4"

Asked by: hfl13 in Entertainment » Movies
Settled on 04/18/2011 21:26 Settled by hfl13
Winning option:o 1 Rio $39,225,962
2 Scream 4 $18,692,090
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2011&wknd=15&p=.htm

Predictions

Background

To start with interesting odds (50:50) for both movies I use an "Equalizer" - The weeker movie "Scream 4" gets 2,9m to even the chances for the weekend
229 predictions http://www.boxofficemojo.com/derbygame/
1 Rio $45.3m 3,800 theaters
2 Scream 4  $42,4 + 2,9m EQUALIZER 3,300 theaters
Please comment - this is a test market - this is planed for bigger movies with similar expectations like Thor vs Hangover 2 or Pirates otC 4 vs. X-Men: First Class.
Should this run domestic 1/2/4/6 weeks or all of the before mentioned? Should there be a "sudden death" like first at eg 100m? This is only the weekend box office. Info on movies, theaters etc. in these movies HSX markets that follow later this week.

Find similar: movie duell, test

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   hfl13

Rio 3,826 theaters
Scream 4 3,305 theaters

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