Question Details
https://www.marketwatch.com
Will there be a US government shutdown in 2025?
Josef Biesenberger in
Politics
» United States
Settled on 10/06/2025 10:16 Settled by
Josef Biesenberger
Predictions
Background
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If the Office of Personnel Management announces a partial shutdown this will count, however announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the website of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management
https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/chances-of-a-government-shutdown-spike-after-trump-cancels-meeting-with-democrats-heres-what-comes-next-20fa43c8
https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/5506782-government-shutdown-odds-rising/
Odds:
https://polymarket.com/event/us-government-shutdown-in-2025?tid=1758913012672
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