en https://www.knewthenews.com/MarketList/Open/Politics/Any/0/?orderby[]=publication+DESC Fri, 9 May 2025 12:00:23 GMT Fri, 9 May 2025 12:00:23 GMT https://www.knewthenews.com/ //static.knewthenews.com/images/logo-small-claim.gif https://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47857/Will+the+Number+of+People+leaving+the+German+Catholic+Church+in+2025+drop+below+300.000+Current Prediction: Yes @ 51%. Suspends Sun, 8 Jun 2025 08:00:00 GMT. Number of people p.a. leaving the 2 christian churches in Germany slowed down in 2024 after dramatically climbing in 2022 and 2023: https://www.dbk.de/presse/aktuelles/meldung/kirchenstatistik-2024 https://vdd.bistumsatlas.de/statistik/#centerX=10.377197132541175¢erY=51.285970793037265&level=5&scale=9244648.868618 https://www.dbk.de/kirche-in-zahlen/kirchliche-statistik/ http://www.ki...PoliticsWed, 23 Apr 2025 07:59:00 GMThttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47857/Will+the+Number+of+People+leaving+the+German+Catholic+Church+in+2025+drop+below+300.000+//img2.knewthenews.com/upload/80x60/clip/marketimage-phpF3Mu4wnextpope.jpghttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47834/What+time+will+the+Doomsday-Clock+%28thebulletin.org%29+show+with+next+update+Current Prediction: more than 89 seconds to midnight @ 47%. Suspends Fri, 30 Jan 2026 19:45:00 GMT. In Jan 2025 the clock was set to 89 Seconds to Midnight by: https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/timeline/ The Science and Security Board moves the hands of the Doomsday Clock forward, largely (though not exclusively) because of the mounting dangers of the war in Ukraine. The war has raised profound questions about how states interact, eroding norms of international conduct that underpin s...PoliticsFri, 21 Feb 2025 08:56:00 GMThttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47834/What+time+will+the+Doomsday-Clock+%28thebulletin.org%29+show+with+next+update+//img2.knewthenews.com/upload/80x60/fill/marketimage-phpOL54Rmdoomsdayclock2024.PNGhttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47833/How+many+worldwide+fatalities+due+to+ACLED+Armed+Conflict+Location+%26+Event+Data+will+occur+in+2025Current Prediction: less than 200.000 @ 19%. Suspends Tue, 30 Dec 2025 23:00:00 GMT. Global tensions on the rise: ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data) is reporting the following number of Total Fatalities per year 2025 ? 2024 238,864 Total Fatalities in 168 Countries 2023 188,346 Total Fatalities in 169 Countries 2022 160,310 Total Fatalities in 166 Countries 2021 157,980 Total Fatalities in 178 Countries 2020 137,343 Total Fatalities in 172 Countries Graph...PoliticsThu, 20 Feb 2025 15:48:00 GMThttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47833/How+many+worldwide+fatalities+due+to+ACLED+Armed+Conflict+Location+%26+Event+Data+will+occur+in+2025//img2.knewthenews.com/upload/80x60/fill/marketimage-phpKtOiEFacledactivecountry2024.pnghttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47830/Will+Federal+Reserve+Chair+Jerome+Powell+hold+the+post+until+the+end+of+May+2026Current Prediction: Yes @ 56%. Suspends Sun, 31 May 2026 19:55:00 GMT. Will Trump Fire the Fed? Despite Donald Trump’s assurances that he will not seek to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, there is little doubt that the US president-elect aims to gain greater influence over the Fed’s decision-making. Such interference could drive up long-term interest rates, damaging the American economy. from: https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/trump-bid...PoliticsSat, 15 Feb 2025 12:21:00 GMThttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47830/Will+Federal+Reserve+Chair+Jerome+Powell+hold+the+post+until+the+end+of+May+2026//img2.knewthenews.com/upload/80x60/fill/marketimage-phpVTBPYIJeromePowellFED.pnghttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47812/Refugees%3A+What%27s+the+number+of+Mediterranean+Sea%2BLand+Arrivals+in+2025+Current Prediction: less than 180.000 @ 22%. Suspends Sat, 3 Jan 2026 22:10:00 GMT. for latest data see: https://data2.unhcr.org/en/situations/mediterranean Refugees, asylum seekers, syriaPoliticsWed, 15 Jan 2025 11:04:00 GMThttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47812/Refugees%3A+What%27s+the+number+of+Mediterranean+Sea%2BLand+Arrivals+in+2025+//img2.knewthenews.com/upload/80x60/fill/marketimage-phpPAZWgjmedseaarrivals.jpghttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47789/Will+Niger+keep+its+bad+Water-Risc-Score+of+5+in+Ecological+Threat+Report+2025+Current Prediction: YES @ 51%. Suspends Thu, 30 Oct 2025 19:45:00 GMT. https://www.visionofhumanity.org/maps/ecological-threat-report/#/ Ecological threats are becoming more pronounced and affecting more people than ever. Building resilience to these threats will increasingly become more important and will require substantial investment now and into the future. https://www.visionofhumanity.org/maps/#/ https://www.visionofhumanity.org/public-release-data/PoliticsThu, 7 Nov 2024 15:39:00 GMThttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47789/Will+Niger+keep+its+bad+Water-Risc-Score+of+5+in+Ecological+Threat+Report+2025+//img2.knewthenews.com/upload/80x60/fill/marketimage-phpAJJLDVGlobalecothreats2022.PNGhttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47751/When+will+Russian+Ukraine+war+endCurrent Prediction: 2024 @ 6%. Suspends Sun, 19 Dec 2027 23:00:00 GMT. https://liveuamap.com/ https://acleddata.com/ukraine-conflict-monitor/#dash https://data.viewsforecasting.org/ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine https://ecfr.eu/article/ukraines-survival-three-scenarios-for-the-war-in-2024/PoliticsSun, 31 Mar 2024 08:51:00 GMThttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47751/When+will+Russian+Ukraine+war+end//img2.knewthenews.com/upload/80x60/fill/marketimage-phpUjsKGH2022RussianinvasionofUkraine.svg.pnghttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47719/Will+Iceland+keep+first+rank+in+Global+Peace-Index+%28GPI%29+2024+Current Prediction: YES @ 48%. Suspends Mon, 30 Jun 2025 18:45:00 GMT. https://www.visionofhumanity.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/GPI-2023-Web.pdf https://www.visionofhumanity.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/GPI-2023-overall-scores-and-domains-2008-2023.xlsx Above is the 2023-edition of the Global Peace Index (GPI). Will Iceland keep it's first rank in the GPI-report 2024? https://www.visionofhumanity.org/maps/#/ https://www.visionofhumanity.org/public-...PoliticsTue, 27 Feb 2024 08:57:00 GMThttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47719/Will+Iceland+keep+first+rank+in+Global+Peace-Index+%28GPI%29+2024+//img2.knewthenews.com/upload/80x60/fill/marketimage-phpBkNOzaGPI.PNGhttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47509/Where+will+Donald+Trump+spend+mostpart+%28%3E80%25%29+of+the+rest+of+his+lifeCurrent Prediction: U.S. - in prison @ 8%. Suspends Sun, 30 Jan 2061 23:00:00 GMT. December 10, 2018 12:47PM ET https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/could-trump-go-to-prison-766787/ 07 January 2021 https://www.thetablet.co.uk/blogs/1/1683/why-donald-trump-should-spend-the-rest-of-his-life-in-prison Some more ideas: https://www.macleans.ca/opinion/in-a-bid-to-avoid-prison-where-might-donald-trump-run/PoliticsFri, 8 Jan 2021 07:19:00 GMThttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47509/Where+will+Donald+Trump+spend+mostpart+%28%3E80%25%29+of+the+rest+of+his+life//img2.knewthenews.com/upload/80x60/clip/marketimage-phpTHJEWytrumpprison.jpghttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47376/Will+Sir+Keir+Starmer+ever+be+Prime+Minister+of+the+United+KingdomCurrent Prediction: Yes @ 43%. Suspends Wed, 1 Aug 2040 20:40:00 GMT. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keir_StarmerPoliticsFri, 31 Jul 2020 13:10:00 GMThttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47376/Will+Sir+Keir+Starmer+ever+be+Prime+Minister+of+the+United+Kingdom//img2.knewthenews.com/upload/80x60/fill/marketimage-phprKOf34800pxKeirStarmer2020LabourPartyleadershipelectionhustingsBristol5.jpghttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47770/Will+there+be+a+water-war+or+a+terrorism-attack+around+GERD+Grand+Ethiopian+Renaissance+DamCurrent Prediction: 2024 - 2025 @ 11%. Suspends Wed, 31 Dec 2031 19:15:00 GMT. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grand_Ethiopian_Renaissance_Dam from: https://www.visionofhumanity.org/battle-for-resources-ethiopian-dam-plans-raise-tensions/ ... In a bid to defuse rising tensions, Ethiopia’s water minister Seleshi Bekele said: “There is no need to enter an unnecessary war. A war can’t start because of water. Water flows if you fight today, it’ll continue to flow to...PoliticsSun, 12 May 2024 18:38:00 GMThttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47770/Will+there+be+a+water-war+or+a+terrorism-attack+around+GERD+Grand+Ethiopian+Renaissance+Dam//img2.knewthenews.com/upload/80x60/fill/marketimage-phpPxyxPkGERD.jpghttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47757/When+will+Gaza+war+between+Israel+and+Hamas+endCurrent Prediction: 2024 @ 39%. Suspends Fri, 19 Dec 2025 23:00:00 GMT. https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2024/4/7/6-months-of-devastation-in-gaza-war-with-no-sign-of-an-end After six months, and more than 33,000 Palestinians killed, it is not clear what direction the war will now take. At its six-month mark, it is not clear what direction the war will now take. Weeks of mediation by the United States, Egypt and Qatar for a longer ceasefire have so far been unable...PoliticsWed, 10 Apr 2024 10:29:00 GMThttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47757/When+will+Gaza+war+between+Israel+and+Hamas+end//img2.knewthenews.com/upload/80x60/fill/marketimage-phpOAUXVvGaza2.PNGhttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47754/Will+Volodymyr+Zelensky+be+reelected+as+President+of+Ukraine+and+will+he+then+complete+his+2nd+termCurrent Prediction: reelected an serve full second term @ 34%. Suspends Wed, 1 Apr 2026 19:25:00 GMT. No elections during war with Russia? https://zaborona.com/en/why-ukrainians-wont-be-able-to-elect-a-seventh-president-in-2024/ https://edition.cnn.com/2024/03/30/europe/ukraine-election-zelensky-intl/index.html https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/President_of_Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky – who played a fictional president on Ukrainian TV – has won a landslide victory in the country's president...PoliticsTue, 2 Apr 2024 15:32:00 GMThttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47754/Will+Volodymyr+Zelensky+be+reelected+as+President+of+Ukraine+and+will+he+then+complete+his+2nd+term//img2.knewthenews.com/upload/80x60/fill/marketimage-phpiTywur106249311mediaitem106249310.jpghttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47753/Will+Putin+fire+tactical+nuclear+weapons+to+Ukraine+or+one+of+the+Baltic+CountriesCurrent Prediction: yes, in 2024 @ 2%. Suspends Fri, 19 Dec 2025 23:00:00 GMT. https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/03/14/russia-nuclear-weapons-belarus-putin/ https://www.newsweek.com/putins-friend-warns-nuclear-strike-1885268 Amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, Russian President Vladimir Putin's friend, Viktor Medvedchuk, recently predicted that a nuclear strike will "most likely" be coming. Putin and senior Russian officials have repeatedly threatened nuclear escalati...PoliticsTue, 2 Apr 2024 08:23:00 GMThttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47753/Will+Putin+fire+tactical+nuclear+weapons+to+Ukraine+or+one+of+the+Baltic+Countries//img2.knewthenews.com/upload/80x60/fill/marketimage-phptzDlOsPutinLukashenko.PNGhttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47739/Will+Turkey+be+or+become+a+full+member+of+the+EU+until+end+of+2027Current Prediction: Yes @ 64%. Suspends Tue, 7 Dec 2027 13:20:00 GMT. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accession_of_Turkey_to_the_European_Union The European Union will lose Turkey if it doesn't grant it membership by 2023, Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan said on Tuesday. Turkey's bid to join the EU, officially launched in 2005, has virtually ground to a halt in recent years due to opposition from core EU members and the failure to find a solution to the di...PoliticsMon, 18 Mar 2024 09:28:00 GMThttps://www.knewthenews.com/Market/47739/Will+Turkey+be+or+become+a+full+member+of+the+EU+until+end+of+2027//img2.knewthenews.com/upload/80x60/clip/marketimage-phpbU84Loaccession-of-turkey-to-the-european-union_161[1].jpg