04/02/2024 21:03bgrigore

Will Volodymyr Zelensky be reelected as President of Ukraine and will he then complete his 2nd term?
no elections during war, not reelected after

   04/02/2024 08:21bgrigore

Will Serena Williams ever win another Open?
This question was wrongly settled. See below the clarification from the creator mr Stephen Tilley.
It says, 4 years ago: "Clarification: for 'open' read 'grand slam'.

   02/29/2024 08:58bgrigore

When will US Retail Gasoline Price again exceed US$ 5 per gallon?
The price might rise if the Gaza war becomes an extended regional war in Middle East. There is a chance for this to happen even in 2024.

   07/20/2023 16:36bgrigore

Will Arctic Sea Ice extent fall below 3.387 million km² at any day in 2023?
Arctic sea ice extent for July 17, 2023 was 8.27 million square kilometers
https://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/

   11/26/2020 15:35bgrigore

Estimate the life expectancy of Donald Trump: What age will he reach ?
Thought such questions about how many people will die or when they will die were not allowed. Alternate good questions; Will Trump candidate in 2024? If Trump is elected in 2024 will he complete his second term? Will Biden complete his first term? Will Biden candidate for a second term? Will Biden complete a second term? etc

   02/12/2020 04:55bgrigore

Who will win the 2020 US Presidential Election?
amy klobuchar

   01/23/2020 12:47bgrigore

Who will win the 2020 US Presidential Election?
if anyone can beat Trump in 2020 that is Sanders because he is a maverick, like Trump

   07/01/2018 17:26bgrigore

When will one of the other 4 rating agencies lower Russia's credit rating to 'junk' ?
rising oil prices and a good management of sanctions constraints

   05/22/2018 15:27bgrigore

What's the GoldPrice US-$/ounce (NY Fixing) on Jan-31-2018 ?
Jan 31, 2019 ... probably

   09/10/2017 07:00bgrigore

When will monthly number of Syrian Asylum Applications to EUR Countries exceed again 10.000 people?
Syria war is almost over. Most Syrians that already fled are in Turkey. Turkey controls a small part of Syria (buffer area) where they started economic development projects.
Only risk for more Syrians to migrate again to Europe is if war starts between Turkey (+ maybe the Syrian Government) and the SDF (Kurds) - still a very long shot that such conflict will become bad enough to produce significant number of migrants.

   09/10/2017 06:48bgrigore

Will foreign military forces officially intervene in Syria before Assad is gone?
could be settled
not only Russia but also Turkey already officially intervened - operation Euphrates Shield
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turkish_military_intervention_in_Syria

   09/10/2017 06:38bgrigore

How often In 2017 will the Nbr of Mediterranean Sea Arrivals to Italy be above previous year month?
jan2017 below jan2016
feb, ... jun2017 above 2016
jul, aug2017 below jul, aug2016

   05/04/2017 09:40bgrigore

Will Jeremy Corbyn still be leader of the UK Labour Party on December 15, 2017?
if he loses upcoming elections he will probably be replaced

   03/16/2017 13:22bgrigore

When will one of the other 4 rating agencies lower Russia's credit rating to 'junk' ?
less chance with Trump

   02/08/2017 11:01bgrigore

89th Academy Awards ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE?
mistake here, should be "Natalie Portman – Jackie as Jackie Kennedy" instead of Andrew Garfield

   11/23/2016 13:59bgrigore

Will any team equal or beat Barcelona's seven goals in a match in the Champions League group stages?
can be settled Borussia Dortmund vs Legia Warsaw, final score was 8-4
http://www.bbc.com/sport/football/38055258

   08/17/2016 10:17bgrigore

Will Brazil's women's team win the Football Gold Medal in the 2016 Rio Olympic games?
they lost in semifinal

   07/13/2016 11:23bgrigore

Will World Military Spendings 2014 increase or decrease ?
13 April 2015
World military expenditure totalled $1.8 trillion in 2014, a fall of 0.4 per cent in real terms since 2013, according to figures released today by Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI).

https://www.sipri.org/media/2015/13-apr-2015-us-military-spending-falls-increases-eastern-europe-middle-east-africa-and-asia-says

   03/29/2016 10:45bgrigore

Will foreign military forces officially intervene in Syria before Assad is gone?
Already Russia officially intervened military in Syria at the invitation of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

   02/10/2016 10:29bgrigore

Soccer: Euro 2016: How many of the six top-ranked countries will fail to reach the Quarter-finals?
top 6 countries were France, Spain, Germany, England, Portugal, Belgium

   09/25/2015 11:46bgrigore

2015 Chess World Cup: What country will the winner come from?
1000

   07/16/2015 09:51bgrigore

2015 Chess World Cup: What country will the winner come from?
Russians are at "Other"

   03/10/2015 10:20bgrigore

Mideast Peace Deal within 9 months - Will John Kerry reach his goal?
No peace deal yet
http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/kerrys-nine-month-quest-for-middle-east-peace-ends-in-failure/2014/04/29/56521cd6-cfd7-11e3-a714-be7e7f142085_story.html

   03/10/2015 10:14bgrigore

Piers Morgan vs Jeremy Clarkson celebrity boxing, who will win?
No fight in 2014
http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2014/06/03/piers-morgan-jeremy-clarkson-twitter-friends-picture_n_5436132.html

   03/10/2015 09:47bgrigore

Will genetically modified corn be authorized for cultivation in the EU this year?
Pioneer 1507 maize was not authorized for cultivation yet.

"MON810 maize, or corn, is currently the only genetically modified crop cultivated in the European Union."
http://ens-newswire.com/2015/01/13/european-parliament-backs-gmo-choice-for-member-states/

Pioneer 1507 is authorized for "feed and food" until 2016
http://www.gmo-compass.org/eng/gmo/db/65.docu.html

Authorization of Pioneer 1507 for "cultivation" is still pending
http://www.gmo-compass.org/eng/gmo/db/75.docu.html

   03/10/2015 08:29bgrigore

Who will win the Bolivian presidential election on October 12?
Bolivia's top electoral court has confirmed President Evo Morales's victory in the presidential polls of 12 October
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-29689049

   10/02/2014 08:39bgrigore

How many UK Members of Parliament will actually defect to the UK Independence Party?
options "three or four" and "four or five" overlap

   05/14/2014 04:46bgrigore

Soccer - Europa League: Where will the 2014 winner come from?
can be settled

   04/14/2014 09:24bgrigore

Will World Military Spendings 2013 increase or decrease ?
decrease is right answer
http://www.sipri.org/media/pressreleases/2014/Milex_April_2014

   04/14/2014 08:17bgrigore

North Korea: Where will the Pyongyang Marathon winner be from?
http://www.webpronews.com/north-korea-opens-marathon-to-foreign-amateurs-for-the-first-time-2014-04
"The winner for the men’s event was Pak Chol, a North Korean who completed the race in 2:12:26, while North Korean twins Kim Hye Song and Kim Hye Gong finished the women’s event first and second with a time of 2:27:04."

   03/31/2014 13:53bgrigore

Chess: Who will win the 2014 Candidates?
Anand won

   10/08/2013 12:15bgrigore

What's the number of journals listed in the Directory of Open Access Journals (DOAJ) by 31.12.2013 ?
9956 10000+ is quite probable

   09/10/2013 04:48bgrigore

When will the report of the inquiry into the UK's involvement in the War in Iraq be published?
http://www.iraqinquiry.org.uk/news/20130717-progress.aspx

   09/05/2013 11:59bgrigore

When will an US military strike against Syria take place?
not sure why people still bet on option "below the end of August"

   07/26/2013 10:59bgrigore

2013 Index of economic freedom: Will Germany get into Top 25 ?
Germany is ranked 19th. Data was released Jan 10th, 2013.

   07/26/2013 10:58bgrigore

2013 Index of economic freedom: Will United States lose their Top 10 ranking ?
The 2013 Index of economic freedom was released January 10th, 2013, see here
http://www.heritage.org/index/press-release-overview
US kept its 10th place.

   06/13/2013 08:35bgrigore

When will Edward Snowden return to the US?
if perceived as a real threat the actions could've been more steep on him... most probable he has a go from US to say what he says

   05/07/2013 08:57bgrigore

Will the Spanish Unemployment Rate surpass 27 % at least in one of the 4 months Dec_12, Jan-Mar_13 ?
not sure what data it refers to but unemployment is unlikely to go above 27% in Spain in near future... http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_PUBLIC/3-30042013-BP/EN/3-30042013-BP-EN.PDF

   05/07/2013 08:03bgrigore

Formula 1: Who will win the 2013 Drivers Championship?
my favorite in the race and one of the best f1 drivers ever

   05/07/2013 08:02bgrigore

Formula 1: Who will win the 2013 Drivers Championship?
his chances are bigger than 4% to win the drivers title

   07/18/2011 06:17bgrigore

What will happen to Happy Feet, New Zealand's wayward penguin?
I have no bet in this market either. The penguin is now at Wellington Zoo. Here is the news release of the Zoo. What is nice is that they have live stream of the penguin, he can be watched 24/7 - the link can be found in the below news release.
http://www.wellingtonzoo.com/net/news/article.aspx?id=203

   07/01/2011 12:50bgrigore

Cycling: How many stages will Mark Cavendish win in the Tour de France?
there is a missing option "none"; my prediction he will not win more than 2-3

   06/25/2011 03:43bgrigore

When will Barack Obama have 10 million followers on twitter?
http://twitter.com/#!/BarackObama

   06/21/2011 20:28bgrigore

Dow Jones Poker: Best poker hand at close Tue 21 June ?
190.01 two pairs

   06/18/2011 05:36bgrigore

Golf: Who will win the US Open?
http://www.usopen.com/en_US/index.html#!/scoring/index

   06/16/2011 08:28bgrigore

Who will win the Copa America?
The Japanese FA withdrew their team again on May 16 citing difficulties with European clubs in releasing Japanese players.[12][13] On the next day, CONMEBOL sent a formal invitation letter to the Costa Rican Football Federation inviting Costa Rica as replacement.[14] Costa Rica accepted the invitation later that day.

   06/16/2011 08:26bgrigore

Who will win the Copa America?
Japan is not participating, it should be Costa Rica as an option instead

   06/16/2011 03:55bgrigore

Oil Price, what next?
oil dropped to 94.81$ on June 15th, the market can be settled
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-futures-drop-as-dollar-strengthens-2011-06-15?dist=markets

   06/03/2011 13:00bgrigore

What will be the daily change of the FTSE 100 on 03.06.2011?
I have very strange odds on all the markets e.g. Slim loss 06/03/2011 15:54 +300.00$...206,691.9%...+0.03$...18.2%....-299.98$...+0.15$

   06/03/2011 03:36bgrigore

The Knew The News Mug Contest: How many players will reach a 40+ market creation score during June?
I can do market activity from now on, have loads of KtK$ to spend. Need markets that will suspend soon at most 2-3 months preferably 2-3 weeks.

   06/02/2011 14:22bgrigore

Will former Bosnian Serb General Ratko Mladić exercise his right of self-representation in court?
"Saljic said Mladic would not enter pleas at the hearing. If he does not plead within 30 days, the judges will enter not guilty pleas on his behalf."
Read more: http://www.seattlepi.com/news/article/Lawyer-says-document-proves-Mladic-has-cancer-1406064.php#ixzz1O81iW2oe

   06/02/2011 13:07bgrigore

NASDAQ Percentage Change at close Wed 1 June?
at close Nasdaq -2.33% on June 1st

   06/01/2011 14:32bgrigore

Which country's representative will win the 2011 World Amateur Go Championship?
Baoxiang Bai from China is the winner
http://www.nihonkiin.or.jp/amakisen/worldama/32/e/prizewinner.html

   05/31/2011 04:11bgrigore

Sarah Palin Inc. Can she trademark her name?
nice "Published for Opposition May 17, 2011"

   05/29/2011 16:01bgrigore

Which country's representative will win the 2011 World Amateur Go Championship?
North Korea is not among participants at start.

   05/28/2011 05:52bgrigore

The Knew The News Mug Contest: Who will win?
Volatile it is. Rdeggau seemed to have lost control at some point about a week ago but is back strong now. I have made quite a few wrong bets the last days and though I will fight until the end my chances are only marginal as far as I can see. I must say however that given your weight what you do both you and charlesf is very impressive.

   05/25/2011 04:35bgrigore

Whooops - sorry, my mistake - the rapture is coming in october!!1!!one!!1
His strategy was not so good. He could of said about waves of Apocalypse that go progressively towards the end of the world. It was the major earthquake in Japan. Around May 21st the activation of Iceland big volcanoes and the worst tornadoes in US in decades. October 21st the next wave will come. Prepare yourself and every day tune in on my TV and radio channels to learn more. In this way it wouldn't have matter if predictions are a few days wrong and they would've been easier to manipulate. Still room for laughing but also for believing.

   05/24/2011 16:14bgrigore

How many "colored" players will be in the Leaderboard at the End of May 2011?
Not so easy to game a market and very easy to lose money if you do. Best strategy is to put money in markets close to suspension and to make the right choices of course. Even with so few active players the KtK markets look enough competitive as much as I have seen so far.

   05/24/2011 04:34bgrigore

The Knew The News Mug Contest: How many players will reach +500% net worth during May?
After 3 weeks already 6 people are at 300% or more. In the last week, as the Battle of the Mug sharpens, there is a good chance that at least 4 will top 500%.

   05/24/2011 01:43bgrigore

The Knew The News Mug Contest: Who will win?
zvassil and charlesf are strong favorites at this moment but this market was/is a crazy one even the graphics cannot keep the pace with changes so I am betting some on little people like gencha, ken1 and me

   05/23/2011 20:19bgrigore

Will flights from the UK be canceled because of Icelandic volcano ash?
agree with the settlement clarification; some regional flights from Glasgow are to be cancelled on the 24th, their list is here http://www.loganair.co.uk/loganair/press-office/111/travel-advice-for-23-and-24-may;

Heathrow could be affected towards the end of the week http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2011/may/23/iceland-volcano-ash-uk-tuesday

   05/23/2011 18:48bgrigore

Will flights from the UK be canceled because of Icelandic volcano ash?
"Glasgow-based regional airline Loganair canceled 36 flights scheduled for Tuesday morning. It said its flights between Scottish islands would be unaffected." - from Seattle Post

   05/23/2011 05:25bgrigore

What will be the year end (2011) ATP rank of Novak Djokovic?
hope he will be no. 1 as a big fan of Nole but it is not only hope - I do trust he can make it

   05/18/2011 07:45bgrigore

By when will Belgium form a governement?
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-05-17/belgium-s-di-rupo-to-focus-on-spending-cuts-not-coalition-1-.html

   05/17/2011 23:57bgrigore

Which country's representative will win the 2011 World Amateur Go Championship?
http://www.nihonkiin.or.jp/amakisen/worldama/32/e/index.html

   05/17/2011 23:48bgrigore

Which country's representative will win the 2011 World Amateur Go Championship?
the site of the competition was just released; http://www.nihonkiin.or.jp/amakisen/worldama/32/e/index.html; I know the rules of go to some extent but never played

   05/17/2011 07:13bgrigore

The Knew The News Mug Contest: Who will win?
not going to try it much just liked the odds of me

   04/13/2011 13:23bgrigore

What will the average of all the digits of the DJIA be at close of trading on Tuesday, 12 April 2011?
"The winning option will be the one that is closest to the arithmetic mean of all the digits." - Daniel is right, correct answer should be 4

   04/07/2011 09:29bgrigore

F1: Malaysia: How many times will the Safety Car be employed ?
http://mobile.formula1.com/news/features/2011/4/11891

   02/14/2011 11:21bgrigore

When will the European Emissions Trading System be reopened?
first EU countries resumed transactions on Feb 4th after national reports requested by the EU http://ec.europa.eu/clima/news/news_2011_02_en.htm
"With the reports submitted, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Slovakia and the United Kingdom have given reasonable assurances that the minimum security requirements are in place. Therefore these national registries will resume normal operations on 4 February 2011 at 8am CET."

   02/09/2011 10:00bgrigore

Who will win the CPAC 2011 straw poll?
thanks kruijs I am still warming up on the 2012 US elections

   02/08/2011 18:04bgrigore

Who will win the CPAC 2011 straw poll?
looks like Palin and Huckabee will not attend - see Related News article