User Profile
firedoglake
Member since 12/10/2010
All time highest net worth: 126,638.12 KtN$ (reached: 10/23/2025)
Current net worth : 126,642.55 KtN$
Predictions : 34,613
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What Global Land & Ocean Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2025 (base: 1901-2000) ? between +1.3° and +1.6°CBought: 10/24/2025 07:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 40.6% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 40.6% To Win: 24.69 KtN$ -
After recent alltime high: What will happen next to NASDAQ 100 (^NDX) stock market Index? closing-quote for ^NDX is falling below 20.987pointsBought: 10/24/2025 07:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 54.1% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 54.1% To Win: 18.49 KtN$ -
Will Jan-Dec 2025 Temperature Anomaly for Berlin be above 2024 record-high of 1.68° C? YESBought: 10/24/2025 04:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 47.5% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 47.5% To Win: 21.09 KtN$ -
What time will the Doomsday-Clock (thebulletin.org) show with next update ? more than 89 seconds to midnightBought: 10/23/2025 16:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 39.5% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 39.5% To Win: 25.36 KtN$ -
Will the deforestation in the brazilian amazon in the year ending July 2025 sink below 2024 value? yesBought: 10/23/2025 12:27 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 42.8% Gain: 0.01 KtN$ Current: 10.01 KtN$ @ 42.9% To Win: 23.38 KtN$ -
Will Arctic Sea Ice extent fall below 3.387 million km² at any day in 2026? YESBought: 10/23/2025 12:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 45.3% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 45.3% To Win: 22.12 KtN$ -
When will Bangladesh win its first Olympic medal? 2044Bought: 10/22/2025 21:46 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 6.0% Gain: -0.01 KtN$ Current: 9.99 KtN$ @ 6.0% To Win: 169.89 KtN$ -
Will Burkina Faso keep first rank in Global Terrorism-Index (GTI) 2025 ? NOBought: 10/22/2025 21:10 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 53.0% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 20.00 KtN$ @ 53.0% To Win: 37.80 KtN$ -
Will Khalid Shaikh Mohammed, self described 9/11 Mastermind, be sentenced to death? YesBought: 10/22/2025 15:57 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 77.2% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 20.00 KtN$ @ 77.2% To Win: 25.91 KtN$ -
Will Tesla humanoid robot Optimus be delivered to customers outside Tesla factories before end 2026? noBought: 10/22/2025 15:30 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 44.8% Gain: 0.01 KtN$ Current: 20.01 KtN$ @ 44.8% To Win: 44.79 KtN$ -
What will be the Sunspot Number (Average Jan-Dec) for 2025 ? 150 - 159.9 sunspotsBought: 10/21/2025 16:47 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 24.5% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 24.5% To Win: 40.94 KtN$ -
Corruption Perception Index 2025: Will U.S. improve their 2024 rank-position of 28 to 27 or higher? YES: US will improve their rank-position from 28 to 27 or even higherBought: 10/21/2025 16:10 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 52.4% Gain: 0.02 KtN$ Current: 20.02 KtN$ @ 52.5% To Win: 38.23 KtN$ -
When will Enerkite report 100+ high altitude airborne wind energy generation systems in operation? 2027Bought: 10/21/2025 03:33 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 35.0% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 19.96 KtN$ @ 35.0% To Win: 57.31 KtN$ -
What's the number of documents listed in google search for language "Esperanto" as of 12/31/2024 ? 2.060.000.000 up to 2.222.000.000Bought: 10/21/2025 02:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 16.8% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 16.8% To Win: 59.73 KtN$ -
Where will the winner of 2026 FIFA World Cup come from? Central/North America (CONCACAF)Bought: 10/18/2025 20:42 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 7.5% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 7.5% To Win: 134.64 KtN$ -
When will Google search index worldwide for battery-manufacturer CATL hit again a new alltime high? Nov 2025Bought: 10/18/2025 20:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 10.1% Gain: -0.01 KtN$ Current: 9.99 KtN$ @ 10.0% To Win: 100.30 KtN$ -
When will the SP500 Shiller P/E-ratio (CAPE-ratio) exceed the old alltime high of 44.19 ? 2026Bought: 10/18/2025 19:40 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 33.2% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 20.00 KtN$ @ 33.2% To Win: 60.49 KtN$ -
What Average Air-Temperature anomaly (base 1991-2020) will Arctic Siberia 74°N-105°E get in 2025 ? > +2°CBought: 10/18/2025 19:30 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 32.9% Gain: -0.12 KtN$ Current: 19.88 KtN$ @ 32.7% To Win: 61.11 KtN$ -
Who will be the richest man out of these 7 well-stuffed people in 2026 forbes list ? Bernard Arnault & FamilyBought: 10/18/2025 14:51 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 1.2% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 9.98 KtN$ @ 1.2% To Win: 911.58 KtN$ -
Duke & Duchess of Cambridge: Will they stop at three children? NoBought: 10/18/2025 04:56 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 41.6% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 19.98 KtN$ @ 41.6% To Win: 48.19 KtN$ -
Will Russian Gold Reserves as of Dec 2025 fall below 2.300 tons coming from 2.340 tons Dec 2024? YesBought: 10/18/2025 04:10 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 47.5% Gain: 0.14 KtN$ Current: 20.14 KtN$ @ 47.8% To Win: 42.18 KtN$ -
When will Enerkite report 100+ high altitude airborne wind energy generation systems in operation? 2025Bought: 10/18/2025 03:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 5.3% Gain: 0.14 KtN$ Current: 10.14 KtN$ @ 5.3% To Win: 193.12 KtN$ -
Will U.S. join the Landmine Ban Treaty before end 2025? YesBought: 10/17/2025 09:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 18.6% Gain: 0.07 KtN$ Current: 10.07 KtN$ @ 18.7% To Win: 54.02 KtN$ -
How often will Gold Price stay above 3.333 US-$ / ounce (monthly average) in Sept_2025 to Feb_2026? in 3 of 6 months above 3.333 $Bought: 10/16/2025 07:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 17.3% Gain: -0.01 KtN$ Current: 9.99 KtN$ @ 17.3% To Win: 58.01 KtN$ -
Will Iceland keep its first rank in Global Peace-Index (GPI) 2026 ? NOBought: 10/13/2025 23:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 50.2% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 50.2% To Win: 19.96 KtN$ -
Will the Patriots win another Super Bowl in the next ten years? YesBought: 10/13/2025 20:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 26.7% Gain: -0.10 KtN$ Current: 9.90 KtN$ @ 26.4% To Win: 37.56 KtN$ -
Which of these Pretious Metals Stocks will have best performance between Jul-1-2025 and Aug-30-2026? Wheaton Pretious Metals WPMBought: 10/12/2025 06:55 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 17.9% Gain: 0.08 KtN$ Current: 10.08 KtN$ @ 18.0% To Win: 56.25 KtN$ -
After recent correction: What level will Ruble / USD quote (daily close) cross next? Rubel will strenghthen and sink below 80 Rubel / 1 USDBought: 10/12/2025 06:46 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 50.3% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 50.0% To Win: 19.90 KtN$ -
What's the number of documents listed in google search for language "Esperanto" as of 12/31/2024 ? 2.222.000.000 or even moreBought: 10/12/2025 06:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 74.0% Gain: -0.01 KtN$ Current: 9.99 KtN$ @ 73.9% To Win: 13.52 KtN$ -
What Australian Summer Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2025/2026 (base: 1961-1990) ? +1°C or lessBought: 10/12/2025 05:09 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 20.6% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 20.5% To Win: 48.72 KtN$ -
How many days will the US government shutdown - effective since Oct 01 2025 - last ? 31 to 45 daysBought: 10/12/2025 04:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 28.3% Gain: 6.73 KtN$ Current: 16.73 KtN$ @ 47.3% To Win: 35.45 KtN$ -
How many worldwide fatalities due to ACLED Armed Conflict Location & Event Data will occur in 2025? less than 200.000Bought: 10/11/2025 08:32 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 19.1% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 9.98 KtN$ @ 19.1% To Win: 52.52 KtN$ -
When will Google search index worldwide for battery-manufacturer CATL hit again a new alltime high? Oct 2025Bought: 10/11/2025 02:57 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 5.1% Gain: 0.17 KtN$ Current: 10.17 KtN$ @ 5.2% To Win: 200.20 KtN$ -
How many days will the US government shutdown - effective since Oct 01 2025 - last ? 31 to 45 daysBought: 10/11/2025 02:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 28.2% Gain: 6.78 KtN$ Current: 16.78 KtN$ @ 47.3% To Win: 35.54 KtN$ -
What's the number of documents listed in google search for language "Esperanto" as of 12/31/2024 ? 2.060.000.000 up to 2.222.000.000Bought: 10/11/2025 01:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 16.8% Gain: 0.02 KtN$ Current: 10.02 KtN$ @ 16.8% To Win: 59.91 KtN$ -
Will Khalid Shaikh Mohammed, self described 9/11 Mastermind, be sentenced to death? YesBought: 10/10/2025 15:52 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 77.3% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 77.2% To Win: 12.95 KtN$ -
Will the Democrats win a Texas U.S. Senate seat before the end of 2028? NoBought: 10/10/2025 10:48 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 69.8% Gain: 0.03 KtN$ Current: 10.03 KtN$ @ 70.1% To Win: 14.33 KtN$ -
Will Niger keep its bad Water-Risc-Score of 5 in Ecological Threat Report 2025 ? NOBought: 10/10/2025 10:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 45.8% Gain: -5.02 KtN$ Current: 4.98 KtN$ @ 22.8% To Win: 21.87 KtN$ -
Will Iceland keep its first rank in Global Peace-Index (GPI) 2026 ? NOBought: 10/09/2025 19:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 50.1% Gain: 0.01 KtN$ Current: 10.01 KtN$ @ 50.2% To Win: 19.98 KtN$ -
What Annual Increase (ppb) in Globally-Averaged Atmospheric CH4 (Methane) will we get for 2025? 2025 5 up to 10 ppbBought: 10/09/2025 17:33 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 22.2% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 22.2% To Win: 45.14 KtN$ -
Will Iceland keep its first rank in Global Peace-Index (GPI) 2026 ? NOBought: 10/09/2025 09:33 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 50.1% Gain: 0.02 KtN$ Current: 10.02 KtN$ @ 50.2% To Win: 20.00 KtN$ -
When will US Retail Gasoline Price again fall below US$ 3 per gallon? 2026Bought: 10/09/2025 08:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 28.7% Gain: 0.05 KtN$ Current: 10.05 KtN$ @ 28.8% To Win: 34.93 KtN$ -
What Global Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2025 (base: 1901-2000) ? +2°C or lessBought: 10/09/2025 05:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 27.6% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 9.98 KtN$ @ 27.6% To Win: 36.26 KtN$ -
What's the number of Crypto-Currencies on coinmarketcap.com with Market Cap > 0 by the end of 2025? 2.700 up to 3.000Bought: 10/09/2025 04:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 27.4% Gain: 0.01 KtN$ Current: 10.01 KtN$ @ 27.4% To Win: 36.63 KtN$ -
When will the SP500 Shiller P/E-ratio (CAPE-ratio) exceed the old alltime high of 44.19 ? later or neverBought: 10/09/2025 02:26 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 24.4% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 24.3% To Win: 41.10 KtN$ -
When will the Geopolitical Risk Index GPR surpass the 20-year high of 167.3 pts (monthly average)? July 2025 - October 2025Bought: 10/09/2025 02:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 30.1% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 9.98 KtN$ @ 30.0% To Win: 33.32 KtN$ -
Will Arctic Sea Ice extent fall below 3.387 million km² at any day in 2026? NOBought: 10/08/2025 13:42 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 54.9% Gain: -0.05 KtN$ Current: 19.95 KtN$ @ 54.7% To Win: 36.52 KtN$ -
When will a Hyperloop officially be launched ? 2025 - 2026Bought: 10/07/2025 18:04 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 15.4% Gain: 0.03 KtN$ Current: 10.03 KtN$ @ 15.5% To Win: 65.19 KtN$ -
What Temperature Anomaly (basis 1961-1990) will Germany get in 2025? < +2.5°CBought: 10/07/2025 17:30 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 53.1% Gain: 0.43 KtN$ Current: 20.43 KtN$ @ 54.2% To Win: 37.76 KtN$ -
What Global Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2025 (base: 1901-2000) ? between +1.5° and +2°CBought: 10/07/2025 07:50 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 40.6% Gain: -0.08 KtN$ Current: 19.92 KtN$ @ 40.4% To Win: 49.43 KtN$ -
Which will be Kantar BrandZ Top 100 Most Valuable Global Brand 2026? other BrandBought: 10/07/2025 06:08 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 5.5% Gain: 0.08 KtN$ Current: 10.08 KtN$ @ 5.5% To Win: 185.58 KtN$ -
When will the tallest wind turbine of the wold exceed 369 m heigth (including blades)? 2027Bought: 10/07/2025 05:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 29.6% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 29.4% To Win: 33.84 KtN$ -
English Premier League: Which of the ever-present clubs will be the first to leave? Tottenham HotspurBought: 10/07/2025 00:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 21.6% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 21.5% To Win: 46.47 KtN$ -
Will Moody's reinstate the United Kingdom's sovereign debt rating to Aaa before October 2033? YesBought: 10/05/2025 16:01 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 55.7% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 19.98 KtN$ @ 55.6% To Win: 35.99 KtN$ -
When will the Geopolitical Risk Index GPR surpass the 20-year high of 167.3 pts (monthly average)? March 2026 - June 2026Bought: 10/05/2025 15:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 29.7% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 29.6% To Win: 33.76 KtN$ -
Will there be a water-war or a terrorism-attack around GERD Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam? 2024 - 2025Bought: 10/05/2025 04:21 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 11.0% Gain: 0.09 KtN$ Current: 10.09 KtN$ @ 11.1% To Win: 91.57 KtN$ -
When will Enerkite report 100+ high altitude airborne wind energy generation systems in operation? 2027Bought: 10/04/2025 23:37 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 35.0% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 19.98 KtN$ @ 35.0% To Win: 57.37 KtN$ -
When will summer Arctic Sea ice coverage drop to less than 3 millions of square kilometers? Summer 2025Bought: 10/04/2025 21:02 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 5.5% Gain: -0.07 KtN$ Current: 9.93 KtN$ @ 5.4% To Win: 186.06 KtN$ -
Will the Democrats win the Texas presidential electoral college seats before the end of 2028? YesBought: 10/04/2025 20:30 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 30.3% Gain: 0.05 KtN$ Current: 20.05 KtN$ @ 30.4% To Win: 66.32 KtN$ -
When will the tallest wind turbine of the wold exceed 369 m heigth (including blades)? 2028Bought: 10/04/2025 15:29 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 30.8% Gain: -0.05 KtN$ Current: 19.95 KtN$ @ 30.7% To Win: 65.23 KtN$ -
After decline due to corona: When will number of air flight passengers climb to a new alltime high? later or never: - corona-cO2-lesson learned ?Bought: 10/04/2025 05:59 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 19.8% Gain: 0.13 KtN$ Current: 10.13 KtN$ @ 20.1% To Win: 50.74 KtN$ -
When will the Geopolitical Risk Index GPR surpass the 20-year high of 167.3 pts (monthly average)? March 2026 - June 2026Bought: 10/03/2025 14:34 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 29.6% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 9.98 KtN$ @ 29.6% To Win: 33.84 KtN$ -
Will the Democrats win the Texas presidential electoral college seats before the end of 2028? NoBought: 10/03/2025 13:44 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 69.8% Gain: -0.07 KtN$ Current: 19.93 KtN$ @ 69.6% To Win: 28.66 KtN$ -
Stock market crash ahead: Is the U.S. 2Y-30Y treasury-yield-spread a valid early warning indicator ? yes, crash of Nasdaq Composite IXIC more than 18% from alltime high before end of June 2026Bought: 10/03/2025 13:40 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 55.9% Gain: 1.31 KtN$ Current: 21.31 KtN$ @ 59.6% To Win: 35.81 KtN$ -
Which of these 6 fallen Angels will recover the most in 16 months from Dec-19-24 until April-20-26 ? TSLA TeslaBought: 10/03/2025 13:18 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 9.7% Gain: -0.18 KtN$ Current: 9.82 KtN$ @ 9.6% To Win: 103.70 KtN$ -
When will US Retail Gasoline Price again fall below US$ 3 per gallon? later or neverBought: 10/03/2025 03:41 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 46.7% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 19.98 KtN$ @ 46.6% To Win: 42.96 KtN$ -
Will U.S. join the Landmine Ban Treaty before end 2025? YesBought: 10/03/2025 03:08 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 18.4% Gain: 0.18 KtN$ Current: 10.18 KtN$ @ 18.7% To Win: 54.60 KtN$ -
Where will Donald Trump spend mostpart (>80%) of the rest of his life? AfricaBought: 10/03/2025 03:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 2.1% Gain: 0.35 KtN$ Current: 10.35 KtN$ @ 2.2% To Win: 496.64 KtN$ -
When will Russian Ukraine war end? 2027Bought: 10/03/2025 02:45 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 13.4% Gain: 0.16 KtN$ Current: 10.16 KtN$ @ 13.6% To Win: 75.12 KtN$ -
Will Novak_Đoković overtake Jimmy Connors` record of 109 tournament wins? YesBought: 10/03/2025 00:16 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 27.2% Gain: -1.91 KtN$ Current: 18.09 KtN$ @ 24.6% To Win: 73.94 KtN$ -
When will U.S. beat the Global Average in Share of Primary Energy from Renewable Sources? 2022Bought: 10/02/2025 21:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 4.5% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 9.98 KtN$ @ 4.5% To Win: 228.58 KtN$ -
Will Volodymyr Zelensky be reelected as President of Ukraine and will he then complete his 2nd term? reelected an serve full second termBought: 10/02/2025 17:24 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 35.1% Gain: -0.09 KtN$ Current: 19.91 KtN$ @ 34.9% To Win: 57.18 KtN$ -
Will Barcelona's Sagrada Familia be officially be completed in (or before) 2026? YesBought: 10/02/2025 17:10 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 65.3% Gain: 0.15 KtN$ Current: 40.15 KtN$ @ 65.6% To Win: 61.34 KtN$ -
Will Russian Gold Reserves as of Dec 2025 fall below 2.300 tons coming from 2.340 tons Dec 2024? NoBought: 10/02/2025 13:45 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 52.2% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 29.98 KtN$ @ 52.2% To Win: 57.64 KtN$ -
Will Jose Mourinho ever coach the Portugal national soccer team? Not before suspension (September 9, 2031)Bought: 10/02/2025 13:00 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 37.4% Gain: -0.15 KtN$ Current: 29.85 KtN$ @ 37.2% To Win: 80.55 KtN$ -
Will Volodymyr Zelensky be reelected as President of Ukraine and will he then complete his 2nd term? reelected and not serve full second termBought: 10/02/2025 12:50 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 28.6% Gain: 0.07 KtN$ Current: 20.07 KtN$ @ 28.8% To Win: 70.16 KtN$ -
Will Niger keep its bad Water-Risc-Score of 5 in Ecological Threat Report 2025 ? YESBought: 10/02/2025 12:47 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 53.2% Gain: 18.22 KtN$ Current: 58.22 KtN$ @ 77.2% To Win: 75.49 KtN$ -
How many worldwide fatalities due to ACLED Armed Conflict Location & Event Data will occur in 2025? 200.000 up to 225.000Bought: 10/02/2025 12:40 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 22.2% Gain: 0.04 KtN$ Current: 20.04 KtN$ @ 22.2% To Win: 90.84 KtN$ -
When will Tesla have 1 million autonomous “robotaxis” on the road? 2025Bought: 10/02/2025 04:25 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 6.8% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 6.8% To Win: 148.13 KtN$ -
Will Novak_Đoković overtake Jimmy Connors` record of 109 tournament wins? No, he will fall shortBought: 10/02/2025 03:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 40.9% Gain: 1.33 KtN$ Current: 11.33 KtN$ @ 46.4% To Win: 24.46 KtN$ -
What Global Land & Ocean Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2025 (base: 1901-2000) ? > +1.6°CBought: 10/01/2025 16:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 32.5% Gain: -0.14 KtN$ Current: 9.86 KtN$ @ 32.1% To Win: 30.82 KtN$ -
When will European Carbon Emission Certificates cost more than 100 EUR / to CO2? Q4-2025Bought: 10/01/2025 16:32 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 23.7% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 9.98 KtN$ @ 23.6% To Win: 42.42 KtN$ -
Will Novak_Đoković overtake Jimmy Connors` record of 109 tournament wins? YesBought: 10/01/2025 16:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 27.2% Gain: -0.94 KtN$ Current: 9.06 KtN$ @ 24.6% To Win: 36.92 KtN$ -
What Australian Summer Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2025/2026 (base: 1961-1990) ? > +2°CBought: 10/01/2025 15:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 19.4% Gain: 0.03 KtN$ Current: 10.03 KtN$ @ 19.5% To Win: 51.83 KtN$ -
When will Austrian 0.85% 100-Year bond (stock symbol A2HLC4) fall below 33%? 2026Bought: 10/01/2025 12:31 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 12.3% Gain: 0.19 KtN$ Current: 10.19 KtN$ @ 12.5% To Win: 82.11 KtN$ -
When will the SP500 Shiller P/E-ratio (CAPE-ratio) exceed the old alltime high of 44.19 ? 2026Bought: 10/01/2025 12:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 32.5% Gain: 0.23 KtN$ Current: 10.23 KtN$ @ 33.2% To Win: 30.87 KtN$ -
Will Volodymyr Zelensky be reelected as President of Ukraine and will he then complete his 2nd term? not reelected or other caseBought: 10/01/2025 01:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 36.4% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 36.3% To Win: 27.49 KtN$ -
Will Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hold the post until the end of May 2026? YesBought: 09/30/2025 13:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 73.8% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 73.4% To Win: 13.56 KtN$ -
How many worldwide fatalities due to ACLED Armed Conflict Location & Event Data will occur in 2025? less than 200.000Bought: 09/30/2025 13:15 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 19.2% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 19.1% To Win: 52.43 KtN$ -
Richard Carapaz won the 2019 Giro d'Italia cycle race. Will he ever win another 'Grand Tour' race? NoBought: 09/30/2025 12:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 72.9% Gain: 0.02 KtN$ Current: 10.02 KtN$ @ 73.1% To Win: 13.71 KtN$ -
In how many months in 2025 will the CO2 value be below 426 ppm ? in 3 months below 426 ppmBought: 09/30/2025 04:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 29.6% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 29.6% To Win: 33.84 KtN$ -
Will Emmerson Mnangagwa be President of Zimbabwe on 24th November 2032? YesBought: 09/29/2025 19:16 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 60.2% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 59.8% To Win: 16.63 KtN$ -
Will Emmerson Mnangagwa be President of Zimbabwe on 24th November 2027? YesBought: 09/28/2025 15:45 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 64.7% Gain: 0.05 KtN$ Current: 10.05 KtN$ @ 65.0% To Win: 15.46 KtN$ -
When will Apple deliver a self-driving car? 2024Bought: 09/28/2025 15:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 2.6% Gain: 0.35 KtN$ Current: 10.35 KtN$ @ 2.7% To Win: 393.39 KtN$ -
What number of Atlantic Tropical Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2025 have? 24 or moreBought: 09/28/2025 15:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 7.3% Gain: -2.14 KtN$ Current: 7.86 KtN$ @ 5.7% To Win: 138.80 KtN$ -
US Fire danger: Will Number of fires and / or Area burned get new annual 10year-highs in 2025? only Area burned @ new highBought: 09/28/2025 10:35 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 22.8% Gain: 0.21 KtN$ Current: 10.21 KtN$ @ 23.3% To Win: 43.96 KtN$ -
Will Moody's reinstate the United Kingdom's sovereign debt rating to Aaa before October 2033? NoBought: 09/28/2025 09:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 44.4% Gain: -0.01 KtN$ Current: 9.99 KtN$ @ 44.4% To Win: 22.53 KtN$ -
When will Apple launch a home robot? 2026Bought: 09/28/2025 07:09 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 26.5% Gain: 5.08 KtN$ Current: 15.08 KtN$ @ 39.9% To Win: 37.85 KtN$ -
Will Turkey be or become a full member of the EU until end of 2027? YesBought: 09/28/2025 06:45 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 63.5% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 63.6% To Win: 15.75 KtN$ -
What number of Atlantic Tropical Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2025 have? 20 to 23Bought: 09/28/2025 06:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 9.3% Gain: -2.11 KtN$ Current: 7.89 KtN$ @ 7.3% To Win: 108.57 KtN$ -
When will Austrian 0.85% 100-Year bond (stock symbol A2HLC4) fall below 33%? later or neverBought: 09/28/2025 06:19 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 11.4% Gain: 0.29 KtN$ Current: 10.29 KtN$ @ 11.7% To Win: 88.66 KtN$ -
Will Jan-Dec 2025 Temperature Anomaly for Berlin be above 2024 record-high of 1.68° C? YESBought: 09/27/2025 09:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 46.7% Gain: 0.17 KtN$ Current: 10.17 KtN$ @ 47.5% To Win: 21.45 KtN$ -
After recent correction: What level will Ruble / USD quote (daily close) cross next? price-fixing will be suspended for more than 2 daysBought: 09/27/2025 08:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 5.1% Gain: 0.28 KtN$ Current: 10.28 KtN$ @ 5.2% To Win: 201.03 KtN$ -
Will Tiger Woods win a 16th Master? YesBought: 09/27/2025 08:20 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 68.1% Gain: 0.05 KtN$ Current: 20.05 KtN$ @ 68.3% To Win: 29.39 KtN$ -
Will Jan-Dec 2025 Temperature Anomaly for Berlin be above 2024 record-high of 1.68° C? YESBought: 09/27/2025 07:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 46.6% Gain: 0.18 KtN$ Current: 10.18 KtN$ @ 47.5% To Win: 21.47 KtN$ -
City Nature Challenge 2026: How may observations will the participants from Berlin report? less than 21.000Bought: 09/26/2025 10:44 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 31.4% Gain: 0.09 KtN$ Current: 10.09 KtN$ @ 31.6% To Win: 31.97 KtN$ -
Will Niger keep its bad Water-Risc-Score of 5 in Ecological Threat Report 2025 ? YESBought: 09/26/2025 05:53 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 53.1% Gain: 9.12 KtN$ Current: 29.12 KtN$ @ 77.2% To Win: 37.73 KtN$ -
What time will the Doomsday-Clock (thebulletin.org) show with next update ? more than 89 seconds to midnightBought: 09/26/2025 05:50 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 38.6% Gain: 0.46 KtN$ Current: 20.46 KtN$ @ 39.5% To Win: 51.95 KtN$ -
Will Turkey be or become a full member of the EU until end of 2027? NoBought: 09/26/2025 00:43 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 36.5% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 19.96 KtN$ @ 36.4% To Win: 54.99 KtN$ -
Will Puerto Rico become the 51st state of the USA by 2029? YesBought: 09/26/2025 00:40 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 42.0% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 19.98 KtN$ @ 42.0% To Win: 47.75 KtN$ -
How many United Kingdom teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? OneBought: 09/25/2025 17:27 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 18.6% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 18.5% To Win: 54.00 KtN$ -
When will Global Debt-to-GDP ratio surpass 360% of GDP (weighted avg.) ? later or neverBought: 09/25/2025 16:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 20.7% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 20.7% To Win: 48.38 KtN$ -
When will US Retail Gasoline Price again fall below US$ 3 per gallon? later or neverBought: 09/25/2025 04:04 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 46.6% Gain: 0.03 KtN$ Current: 20.03 KtN$ @ 46.6% To Win: 43.06 KtN$ -
Will Khalid Shaikh Mohammed, self described 9/11 Mastermind, be sentenced to death? NoBought: 09/25/2025 03:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 22.7% Gain: 0.02 KtN$ Current: 10.02 KtN$ @ 22.8% To Win: 44.20 KtN$ -
Will the 'Innocent Victims' statue again be displayed in London during the next 10 years? YesBought: 09/24/2025 19:25 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 51.1% Gain: -0.03 KtN$ Current: 19.97 KtN$ @ 51.0% To Win: 39.21 KtN$ -
Will Arctic Sea Ice extent fall below 3.387 million km² at any day in 2026? YESBought: 09/24/2025 13:07 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 45.1% Gain: 0.07 KtN$ Current: 20.07 KtN$ @ 45.3% To Win: 44.44 KtN$ -
US Fire danger: Will Number of fires and / or Area burned get new annual 10year-highs in 2025? only Area burned @ new highBought: 09/24/2025 12:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 22.8% Gain: 0.23 KtN$ Current: 10.23 KtN$ @ 23.3% To Win: 44.07 KtN$ -
After decline due to corona: When will number of air flight passengers climb to a new alltime high? 2025 - corona-cO2-lesson not learnedBought: 09/24/2025 07:19 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 39.2% Gain: 0.05 KtN$ Current: 20.05 KtN$ @ 39.3% To Win: 51.16 KtN$ -
When will Russian Ukraine war end? 2025Bought: 09/24/2025 06:40 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 33.6% Gain: -0.14 KtN$ Current: 19.86 KtN$ @ 33.4% To Win: 59.76 KtN$ -
Will Kim Yo Jong become leader of North Korea? YesBought: 09/24/2025 03:10 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 70.4% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 40.00 KtN$ @ 70.4% To Win: 56.93 KtN$ -
Will Jeremy Corbyn ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? Not before suspension (May 10, 2027)Bought: 09/23/2025 22:20 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 63.4% Gain: 0.11 KtN$ Current: 40.11 KtN$ @ 63.6% To Win: 63.26 KtN$ -
Will Iceland keep its first rank in Global Peace-Index (GPI) 2026 ? YESBought: 09/23/2025 16:04 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 49.7% Gain: 0.06 KtN$ Current: 30.06 KtN$ @ 49.8% To Win: 60.49 KtN$ -
Will Barcelona's Sagrada Familia be officially be completed in (or before) 2026? NoBought: 09/23/2025 15:30 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 34.9% Gain: -0.40 KtN$ Current: 29.60 KtN$ @ 34.4% To Win: 86.55 KtN$ -
Will Iceland keep its first rank in Global Peace-Index (GPI) 2026 ? YESBought: 09/23/2025 05:00 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 49.6% Gain: 0.20 KtN$ Current: 40.20 KtN$ @ 49.8% To Win: 80.98 KtN$ -
Will Iceland keep its first rank in Global Peace-Index (GPI) 2026 ? NOBought: 09/23/2025 01:21 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 50.6% Gain: -0.36 KtN$ Current: 39.64 KtN$ @ 50.2% To Win: 79.35 KtN$ -
What's the number of Crypto-Currencies on coinmarketcap.com with Market Cap > 0 by the end of 2025? 3.000 up to 3.300Bought: 09/21/2025 20:20 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 27.1% Gain: -0.23 KtN$ Current: 29.77 KtN$ @ 26.8% To Win: 111.80 KtN$ -
After recent alltime high: What will happen next to NASDAQ 100 (^NDX) stock market Index? Nasdaq stock-market is closed for more than one day due to a crashBought: 09/21/2025 09:43 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 1.4% Gain: 3.74 KtN$ Current: 13.74 KtN$ @ 1.8% To Win: 794.47 KtN$ -
Stock market crash ahead: Is the U.S. 2Y-30Y treasury-yield-spread a valid early warning indicator ? yes, crash of Nasdaq Composite IXIC more than 18% from alltime high before end of June 2026Bought: 09/21/2025 09:20 Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @ 55.9% Gain: 3.34 KtN$ Current: 53.34 KtN$ @ 59.6% To Win: 89.83 KtN$ -
Will Novak_Đoković overtake Jimmy Connors` record of 109 tournament wins? YesBought: 09/21/2025 08:19 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 27.1% Gain: -2.77 KtN$ Current: 27.23 KtN$ @ 24.6% To Win: 111.63 KtN$ -
Which will be Kantar BrandZ Top 100 Most Valuable Global Brand 2026? other BrandBought: 09/21/2025 08:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 5.3% Gain: 0.43 KtN$ Current: 10.43 KtN$ @ 5.5% To Win: 191.95 KtN$ -
How many United Kingdom teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? NoneBought: 09/20/2025 20:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 4.4% Gain: 0.10 KtN$ Current: 10.10 KtN$ @ 4.5% To Win: 230.43 KtN$ -
Will the Patriots win another Super Bowl in the next ten years? YesBought: 09/20/2025 09:44 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 26.5% Gain: -0.05 KtN$ Current: 29.95 KtN$ @ 26.4% To Win: 114.28 KtN$ -
Will the Democrats win a Texas U.S. Senate seat before the end of 2028? YesBought: 09/20/2025 09:10 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 30.1% Gain: -0.17 KtN$ Current: 29.83 KtN$ @ 29.9% To Win: 100.45 KtN$ -
In what year will Lindsay Hoyle cease to be the Speaker of the UK House of Commons? later than 2030Bought: 09/19/2025 23:50 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 13.2% Gain: -0.16 KtN$ Current: 19.84 KtN$ @ 13.1% To Win: 153.65 KtN$ -
When will Russian Ukraine war end? 2027Bought: 09/19/2025 23:10 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 13.4% Gain: 0.39 KtN$ Current: 20.39 KtN$ @ 13.6% To Win: 151.76 KtN$ -
Which of these 10 forecasts for Gold US-$ / troy ounce will be achieved closest at the end of 2025 ? 2.924 $ > https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/futures/GCZ25Bought: 09/18/2025 18:25 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 1.4% Gain: -2.73 KtN$ Current: 7.27 KtN$ @ 1.0% To Win: 783.42 KtN$ -
When will Apple deliver a self-driving car? 2025Bought: 09/18/2025 17:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 3.8% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 3.7% To Win: 272.86 KtN$ -
Will Volodymyr Zelensky be reelected as President of Ukraine and will he then complete his 2nd term? not reelected or other caseBought: 09/15/2025 20:52 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 36.3% Gain: -0.01 KtN$ Current: 9.99 KtN$ @ 36.3% To Win: 27.58 KtN$ -
Will Russian Gold Reserves as of Dec 2025 fall below 2.300 tons coming from 2.340 tons Dec 2024? YesBought: 09/14/2025 15:03 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 47.8% Gain: 0.01 KtN$ Current: 10.01 KtN$ @ 47.8% To Win: 20.95 KtN$ -
Stock market crash ahead: Is the U.S. 2Y-30Y treasury-yield-spread a valid early warning indicator ? no, no correction of Nasdaq Composite IXIC more than 18% from alltime high before end of June 2026Bought: 09/14/2025 15:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 44.4% Gain: -0.89 KtN$ Current: 9.11 KtN$ @ 40.4% To Win: 22.56 KtN$ -
Will Jan-Dec 2025 Temperature Anomaly for Berlin be above 2024 record-high of 1.68° C? NOBought: 09/13/2025 10:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 53.5% Gain: -0.18 KtN$ Current: 9.82 KtN$ @ 52.5% To Win: 18.71 KtN$ -
What's the number of documents listed in google search for language "Esperanto" as of 12/31/2024 ? 2.060.000.000 up to 2.222.000.000Bought: 09/13/2025 08:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 16.7% Gain: 0.05 KtN$ Current: 10.05 KtN$ @ 16.8% To Win: 60.03 KtN$ -
Will the deforestation in the brazilian amazon in the year ending July 2025 sink below 2024 value? yesBought: 09/11/2025 06:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 43.8% Gain: -0.22 KtN$ Current: 9.78 KtN$ @ 42.9% To Win: 22.86 KtN$ -
Will Global Military Expenditures exceed 2.999 Bill US-$ in 2025? YesBought: 09/09/2025 16:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 49.0% Gain: 0.02 KtN$ Current: 10.02 KtN$ @ 49.1% To Win: 20.41 KtN$ -
Will the Mo Ibrahim Prize for Achievement in African Leadership be awarded for 2025? YesBought: 09/09/2025 16:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 50.6% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 9.98 KtN$ @ 50.5% To Win: 19.78 KtN$ -
When will US Gross Federal Debt-to-GDP-ratio surpass 150% ? 2025Bought: 09/09/2025 09:05 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 42.1% Gain: 0.05 KtN$ Current: 10.05 KtN$ @ 42.2% To Win: 23.81 KtN$ -
Will Niger keep its bad Water-Risc-Score of 5 in Ecological Threat Report 2025 ? YESBought: 09/09/2025 08:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 53.2% Gain: 4.51 KtN$ Current: 14.51 KtN$ @ 77.2% To Win: 18.80 KtN$ -
What Australian Summer Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2025/2026 (base: 1961-1990) ? +1°C or lessBought: 09/06/2025 16:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 20.8% Gain: -0.14 KtN$ Current: 9.86 KtN$ @ 20.5% To Win: 48.36 KtN$ -
What Temperature Anomaly (basis 1961-1990) will Germany get in 2025? < +2.5°CBought: 09/06/2025 15:19 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 53.1% Gain: 0.21 KtN$ Current: 10.21 KtN$ @ 54.2% To Win: 18.86 KtN$ -
Will Emmerson Mnangagwa be President of Zimbabwe on 24th November 2032? YesBought: 09/05/2025 07:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 60.1% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 59.8% To Win: 16.65 KtN$ -
Will Wheaton Precious Metals share WPM close above US-$123 at any day until Dec-31-2025 ? NoBought: 09/04/2025 22:46 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 51.5% Gain: -5.25 KtN$ Current: 4.75 KtN$ @ 24.5% To Win: 19.44 KtN$ -
City Nature Challenge 2026: How may observations will the participants from Berlin report? 26.500 or moreBought: 09/04/2025 22:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 32.8% Gain: 0.03 KtN$ Current: 10.03 KtN$ @ 32.9% To Win: 30.55 KtN$ -
Will the Mo Ibrahim Prize for Achievement in African Leadership be awarded for 2025? YesBought: 09/04/2025 18:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 50.5% Gain: -0.01 KtN$ Current: 9.99 KtN$ @ 50.5% To Win: 19.80 KtN$ -
What time will the Doomsday-Clock (thebulletin.org) show with next update ? more than 89 seconds to midnightBought: 09/04/2025 11:56 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 38.2% Gain: 0.35 KtN$ Current: 10.35 KtN$ @ 39.5% To Win: 26.23 KtN$ -
What's the number of Crypto-Currencies on coinmarketcap.com with Market Cap > 0 by the end of 2025? < 2.700Bought: 09/04/2025 11:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 17.9% Gain: 0.05 KtN$ Current: 10.05 KtN$ @ 18.0% To Win: 56.07 KtN$ -
Will the Global Annual change in energy-related CO2 emissions be negative in 2025 ? YES - less CO2-emissions than 2024Bought: 09/04/2025 03:42 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 42.1% Gain: 0.17 KtN$ Current: 10.17 KtN$ @ 42.8% To Win: 23.80 KtN$ -
How many of the 2026 Corp.-Knights TOP 100 world's most sustainable companies will be from Denmark? more than 6Bought: 09/04/2025 03:17 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 26.1% Gain: 0.07 KtN$ Current: 10.07 KtN$ @ 26.3% To Win: 38.43 KtN$ -
When will crude oil wti cost more than 140 USD / barrel (former alltime high from June 2008)? 2024Bought: 09/03/2025 22:59 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 9.4% Gain: -6.99 KtN$ Current: 3.01 KtN$ @ 2.8% To Win: 107.24 KtN$ -
Which will be Kantar BrandZ Top 100 Most Valuable Global Brand 2026? AmazonBought: 09/03/2025 21:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 14.8% Gain: -0.19 KtN$ Current: 9.81 KtN$ @ 14.5% To Win: 68.14 KtN$ -
When will summer Arctic Sea ice coverage drop to less than 3 millions of square kilometers? Summer 2028Bought: 09/03/2025 20:09 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 15.8% Gain: -0.20 KtN$ Current: 9.80 KtN$ @ 15.5% To Win: 63.59 KtN$ -
When will the most powerful wind turbine of the wold exceed a rotor-diameter of 333 m? 2026Bought: 09/03/2025 19:54 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 28.8% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 28.8% To Win: 34.82 KtN$ -
Will Putin fire tactical nuclear weapons to Ukraine or one of the Baltic Countries? yes, in 2025Bought: 09/03/2025 17:23 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 45.8% Gain: 0.02 KtN$ Current: 10.02 KtN$ @ 45.9% To Win: 21.85 KtN$ -
City Nature Challenge 2026: How may observations will the participants from Berlin report? 21.000 to less than 26.500Bought: 09/03/2025 17:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 36.2% Gain: -0.22 KtN$ Current: 9.78 KtN$ @ 35.4% To Win: 27.71 KtN$ -
When will European Central Bank ECB cut the key-ECB-rate deposit facility to 1.75% or even lower? later or neverBought: 09/03/2025 09:23 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 26.1% Gain: 0.01 KtN$ Current: 10.01 KtN$ @ 26.2% To Win: 38.36 KtN$ -
Will Niger keep its bad Water-Risc-Score of 5 in Ecological Threat Report 2025 ? YESBought: 09/03/2025 09:22 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 53.1% Gain: 9.12 KtN$ Current: 29.12 KtN$ @ 77.2% To Win: 37.73 KtN$ -
Will 10 Year U.S. Treasury Rate climb again below 5.0 % ? later or neverBought: 09/03/2025 09:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 24.3% Gain: 0.08 KtN$ Current: 10.08 KtN$ @ 24.5% To Win: 41.31 KtN$ -
James Bond - Who will be the next? OtherBought: 09/02/2025 07:41 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 45.4% Gain: 3.63 KtN$ Current: 13.63 KtN$ @ 61.8% To Win: 22.06 KtN$ -
Climate Change Performance Index 2026: Will U.S. improve from rank 57 ? YESBought: 09/02/2025 07:24 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 48.5% Gain: 0.39 KtN$ Current: 20.39 KtN$ @ 49.5% To Win: 41.29 KtN$ -
When will US Fed decrease Fed Funds Rate to the range 4.00% - 4.25% or even lower? later or neverBought: 09/02/2025 07:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 20.2% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 20.1% To Win: 49.82 KtN$ -
What will be the age of the President of the USA on July 4th 2029? Below 50Bought: 09/01/2025 10:45 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 38.7% Gain: 3.01 KtN$ Current: 23.01 KtN$ @ 44.5% To Win: 51.84 KtN$ -
What's the number of journals listed in the Directory of Open Access Journals (DOAJ) by 31.12.2025 ? less than 21.700Bought: 08/31/2025 02:45 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 27.3% Gain: -0.11 KtN$ Current: 9.89 KtN$ @ 27.0% To Win: 36.77 KtN$ -
Will the Global Annual change in energy-related CO2 emissions be negative in 2025 ? NO - again more CO2-emissions than 2024Bought: 08/31/2025 02:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 57.9% Gain: -0.12 KtN$ Current: 9.88 KtN$ @ 57.2% To Win: 17.29 KtN$ -
Climate Change Performance Index 2026: Will U.S. improve from rank 57 ? YESBought: 08/30/2025 02:24 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 48.4% Gain: 0.22 KtN$ Current: 10.22 KtN$ @ 49.5% To Win: 20.67 KtN$ -
What Temperature Anomaly (basis 1961-1990) will Germany get in 2025? < +2.5°CBought: 08/30/2025 02:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 52.8% Gain: 0.26 KtN$ Current: 10.26 KtN$ @ 54.2% To Win: 18.94 KtN$ -
Which of these 10 forecasts for Gold US-$ / troy ounce will be achieved closest at the end of 2025 ? 3.901 $ > https://longforecast.com/gold-price-today-forecast-2017-2018-2019-2020-2021-ounce-gramBought: 08/29/2025 00:27 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 3.5% Gain: 255.27 KtN$ Current: 265.27 KtN$ @ 90.7% To Win: 292.42 KtN$ -
Will Khalid Shaikh Mohammed, self described 9/11 Mastermind, be sentenced to death? NoBought: 08/29/2025 00:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 22.6% Gain: 0.07 KtN$ Current: 10.07 KtN$ @ 22.8% To Win: 44.41 KtN$ -
Who will be the richest man out of these 7 well-stuffed people in 2026 forbes list ? Elon MuskBought: 08/27/2025 21:22 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 22.1% Gain: 28.77 KtN$ Current: 38.77 KtN$ @ 85.5% To Win: 45.37 KtN$ -
Will Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hold the post until the end of May 2026? YesBought: 08/27/2025 21:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 73.7% Gain: -0.03 KtN$ Current: 9.97 KtN$ @ 73.4% To Win: 13.58 KtN$ -
When will Apple deliver a self-driving car? later or neverBought: 08/26/2025 19:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 93.6% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 93.2% To Win: 10.68 KtN$ -
Egan Bernal has won the 2019 Tour de France. How many more 'Grand Tour' races will he win? SixBought: 08/25/2025 16:05 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 9.3% Gain: 0.11 KtN$ Current: 10.11 KtN$ @ 9.4% To Win: 108.81 KtN$ -
What Global Land & Ocean Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2025 (base: 1901-2000) ? > +1.6°CBought: 08/24/2025 04:21 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 32.5% Gain: -0.15 KtN$ Current: 9.85 KtN$ @ 32.1% To Win: 30.80 KtN$ -
Will Jeremy Corbyn ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? YesBought: 08/24/2025 04:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 37.0% Gain: -0.16 KtN$ Current: 9.84 KtN$ @ 36.4% To Win: 27.04 KtN$ -
How many satellites (operational+non-operational) will be in the orbit by end 2026 ? between 22.000 an 24.000Bought: 08/22/2025 17:37 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 34.6% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 34.5% To Win: 28.91 KtN$ -
English Premier League: Which of the ever-present clubs will be the first to leave? EvertonBought: 08/22/2025 17:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 23.4% Gain: -0.14 KtN$ Current: 9.86 KtN$ @ 23.1% To Win: 42.87 KtN$ -
When will the most powerful wind turbine of the wold exceed a rotor-diameter of 333 m? 2027Bought: 08/21/2025 17:27 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 37.7% Gain: -0.10 KtN$ Current: 9.90 KtN$ @ 37.3% To Win: 26.57 KtN$ -
Egan Bernal has won the 2019 Tour de France. How many more 'Grand Tour' races will he win? TwoBought: 08/21/2025 17:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 7.1% Gain: 0.29 KtN$ Current: 10.29 KtN$ @ 7.3% To Win: 141.89 KtN$ -
Will Emmerson Mnangagwa be President of Zimbabwe on 24th November 2027? NoBought: 08/21/2025 05:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 35.4% Gain: -0.14 KtN$ Current: 9.86 KtN$ @ 35.0% To Win: 28.28 KtN$ -
When will Gaza war between Israel and Hamas end? later or neverBought: 08/20/2025 13:21 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 27.4% Gain: 0.05 KtN$ Current: 10.05 KtN$ @ 27.5% To Win: 36.65 KtN$ -
Which is the next of these 11 countries to lose its standard & poors AAA rating ? CanadaBought: 08/19/2025 11:09 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 14.8% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 9.98 KtN$ @ 14.8% To Win: 67.81 KtN$ -
When will PFAS (Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances) be banned globally? 2026Bought: 08/19/2025 10:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 14.7% Gain: 0.02 KtN$ Current: 10.02 KtN$ @ 14.8% To Win: 68.41 KtN$ -
Will Iceland keep its first rank in Global Peace-Index (GPI) 2026 ? NOBought: 08/17/2025 20:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 50.3% Gain: -0.03 KtN$ Current: 9.97 KtN$ @ 50.2% To Win: 19.89 KtN$ -
Will Global Military Expenditures exceed 2.999 Bill US-$ in 2025? NoBought: 08/17/2025 18:52 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 50.3% Gain: 0.11 KtN$ Current: 10.11 KtN$ @ 50.9% To Win: 19.91 KtN$ -
When will US Published National Debt exceed 43.212.345.678.910 USD? 2029Bought: 08/16/2025 06:26 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 16.5% Gain: 0.06 KtN$ Current: 10.06 KtN$ @ 16.6% To Win: 60.90 KtN$ -
When will the Monocab Rail Projekt be launched? 2025/2026Bought: 08/15/2025 08:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 10.1% Gain: 0.48 KtN$ Current: 10.48 KtN$ @ 10.6% To Win: 99.70 KtN$ -
When will US Fed decrease Fed Funds Rate to the range 4.00% - 4.25% or even lower? Q1_2025Bought: 08/15/2025 01:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 4.9% Gain: 0.47 KtN$ Current: 10.47 KtN$ @ 5.1% To Win: 209.52 KtN$ -
Will Russian Gold Reserves as of Dec 2025 fall below 2.300 tons coming from 2.340 tons Dec 2024? YesBought: 08/13/2025 21:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 47.3% Gain: 0.11 KtN$ Current: 10.11 KtN$ @ 47.8% To Win: 21.19 KtN$ -
Where will Donald Trump spend mostpart (>80%) of the rest of his life? AndorraBought: 08/13/2025 05:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 2.6% Gain: 0.50 KtN$ Current: 10.50 KtN$ @ 2.8% To Win: 392.48 KtN$ -
Will Niger keep its bad Water-Risc-Score of 5 in Ecological Threat Report 2025 ? YESBought: 08/12/2025 16:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 52.9% Gain: 4.61 KtN$ Current: 14.61 KtN$ @ 77.2% To Win: 18.93 KtN$ -
US Fire danger: Will Number of fires and / or Area burned get new annual 10year-highs in 2025? only No. of fires @ new highBought: 08/11/2025 09:46 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 26.3% Gain: -0.16 KtN$ Current: 9.84 KtN$ @ 25.9% To Win: 38.07 KtN$ -
Will Jan-Dec 2025 Temperature Anomaly for Berlin be above 2024 record-high of 1.68° C? YESBought: 08/11/2025 09:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 46.8% Gain: 0.14 KtN$ Current: 10.14 KtN$ @ 47.5% To Win: 21.39 KtN$
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