User Profile

Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Member since 03/30/2011

All time highest net worth: 5,450,954.35 KtN$ (reached: 03/17/2017)

Current net worth : 1,048,183.03 KtN$

Predictions : 20,044

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   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

What Average Surface Air-Temperature will Arctic Siberia 74°N-105°E get in 2020 (Base: 1981-2010) ?
https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/global/haywood/74.0,105.0/land_ocean
The 5 warmest years, 5 coolest years, and current year are highlighted to stand out. All other years are in light gray.

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

What will be S&P next US credit rating?
Fitch takes a move and changes outlook to negative / keeps AAA:
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/rating

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Will "Solar Impulse 2" fly all the way around the earth in 2015, using solar power only?
http://commonground.ca/2015/03/solar-impulse-first-plane-fly-without-fuel/
The flight will launch from Abu Dhabi by early March, stopping in 12 locations, including Chongqing, New York City and Southern Europe. Covering approximately 35,000 kilometres at speeds between 50 and 100km/hr., humankind’s first global solar flight is expected to be complete in 25 flight days, spread over five months, returning by late July or early August.

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

When will CO2 concentrations in the north. hemisphere reach 400ppm in its annual rise?
http://bluemoon.ucsd.edu/co2_400/mlo_two_years.png
http://bluemoon.ucsd.edu/co2_400/mlo_one_year.png
chart with monthly data: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/#global
weekly data: ftp://ftp.cmdl.noaa.gov/ccg/co2/trends/co2_weekly_mlo.txt
monthly data: ftp://ftp.cmdl.noaa.gov/ccg/co2/trends/co2_mm_mlo.txt

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Will Edward Snowden travel to Germany?
bets of bitcoin:
Edward Snowden will stay in Russia until Dec 31, 2013
http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=1674

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

World Solar Challenge Race 2013: Which Continent will the winning team come from?
Cambridge University Eco Racing CUER new design:

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Global Warming: Will 2012 be warmest year on record?
The average global temperature across land and ocean surfaces for the year to date (January–November) resulted in the eighth warmest such period on record, at 0.59°C (1.06°F) above the 20th century average.

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

What will the 2012 NOAA average global CO2 level be?
Monthly average as of Oct 2012: 392,30
Forecast full year 2012 monthly average: 392,51

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Will France recognize Palestine before the end of 2012?
Recognition of Palestine as non-member state observer at the UN (November 29, 2012)
http://www.ambafrance-id.org/Recognition-of-Palestine-as-non

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Will SPICE (Stratospheric Particle Injection for Climate Engineering) project start testing in 2012?
In May 2012 this first field test was cancelled altogether in agreement of all project partners.[5] Dr. Matthew Watson, the project´s lead scientist, named two reasons for the cancellation: First, involved scientists had submitted patents for similar technology, presenting a potentially significant conflict of interest. In addition to that, concerns about the lack of government regulation of such geoengineering projects were raised.
Although the field testing was cancelled, the project panel decided to continue the lab-based elements of the project.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stratospheric_Particle_Injection_for_Climate_Engineering

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Global Warming: Will 2012 be warmest year on record?
The average combined global land and ocean surface temperature for January–October 2012 was the eighth warmest such period on record, at 0.58°C (1.04°F) above the 20th century average.

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

What will be the Global Temperature Anomaly (Average Jan-Dec) for 2012 ?
Average Anomaly Jan-Oct 2012: +0.526 °

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

CPI2012 Corruption Perception Index 2012: Will United States improve 2011rank of 24 to 23 or higher?
Transparency International, the leading civil society organisation fighting corruption worldwide, will release its 18th annual Corruption Perceptions Index on 5 December 2012 at 05.00 GMT
http://www.transparency.org/news/pressrelease/media_advisory_launch_corruption_perceptions_index_2012

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

CPI2012 Corruption Perception Index 2012: Will Germany improve 2011-rank from 14 to 13 or higher ?
Transparency International, the leading civil society organisation fighting corruption worldwide, will release its 18th annual Corruption Perceptions Index on 5 December 2012 at 05.00 GMT
http://www.transparency.org/news/pressrelease/media_advisory_launch_corruption_perceptions_index_2012

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

What will the 2012 NOAA average global CO2 level be?
Monthly average as of Sept 2012: 392,34
Forecast full year 2012 monthly average: 392,48

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

How many Zipsters (members) will car-sharing company zipcar have end of 2012 ?
otal members grew 18% from the prior year period to over 767,000 at quarter end Sept 30 2012
http://ir.zipcar.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=719904

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Will polltracker TrackingPointsMemo predict the Winner of US Presidential Election 2012 correctly ?
It is meant to be their prediction before the election night - even if they change their prediction, the latest will be the one counting.

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Will election.princeton.edu predict the Winner of US Presidential Election 2012 correctly ?
It's not meant to be October 29th prediction, it is your second case: Is the prediction before election night correct?

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

What will be the Global Temperature Anomaly (Average Jan-Dec) for 2012 ?
Average Anomaly Jan-Sep 2012: +0.5033 °

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Global Warming: Will 2012 be warmest year on record?
September 2012 kum: Land and Ocean +0.57 ± 0.10 +1.03 ± 0.18 8th Warmest
Warmest: 1998, 2010 +0.68 +1.22

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

When will US Fed increase interest over 0.25%?
Is it correct, that "Before 2015" would include "Before 2014" ?

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Which of these 4 "High-Flyer"-stocks will have best performance between June-10-12 and Oct-10-2012 ?
Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.(NASDAQ:ASPS) stock surged 14.75% to $101.04. The company, on Sept. 17, announced the launch of Hubzu(TM), an online residential real estate marketplace. Hubzu improves the online home buying and selling experience by making it easier, more efficient and transparent from start to finish. Hubzu puts the entire experience online – from searching and bidding to financing and closing.
http://meshpress.com/stocks-in-news-asps-anth-bcov-spw-chc/1212958.html

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Will Obama Job Approval Average in Qtr-3-2012 be above 47%?
as of Sep 23: Average 46.42%
-----------------------------------------------------
Sep 17, 2012 Sep 23, 2012 49%

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Will Obama Job Approval Average in Qtr-3-2012 be above 47%?
as of Sep 18: Average 46.2%
-----------------------------------------------------
Sep 10, 2012 Sep 16, 2012 50%
Sep 03, 2012 Sep 09, 2012 50%
Aug 27, 2012 Sep 02, 2012 44%
Aug 20, 2012 Aug 26, 2012 46%
Aug 13, 2012 Aug 19, 2012 45%
Aug 06, 2012 Aug 12, 2012 45%
Jul 30, 2012 Aug 05, 2012 45%
Jul 23, 2012 Jul 29, 2012 47%
Jul 16, 2012 Jul 22, 2012 45%
Jul 09, 2012 Jul 15, 2012 46%
Jul 02, 2012 Jul 08, 2012 45%

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

US Presidential Elections 2012: Which party will be in third place?
Ralph Nader (Independent) 2008 was on 3rd place,
Rob Barr (Libertarian) was on 4th place, followed by
Chuck Baldwin (Constitutional) on 5th place and
Cynthia McKinney (Green) on 6th place
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2008

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

How many countries will take part in the 2014 Winter Olympics in Russia?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winter_Olympic_Games
2014: ??? _ 2010: 82 _ 2006: 80 _ 2002: 78 _ 1998: 72 _ 1994: 67 _ 1992: 64 _ 1988: 57 _ 1984: 49 _ 1980: 37 _ 1976: 37
1972: 35 _ 1968: 37 _ 1964: 36 _ 1960: 30 _ 1956: 32 _ 1952: 30 _ 1948: 28 _ 1936: 28 _ 1932: 17 _ 1928: 25 _ 1924: 16

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

How many Zipsters (members) will car-sharing company zipcar have end of 2012 ?
Total members grew 21% from the prior year period to over 731,000 at quarter end June 30, 2012:
http://ir.zipcar.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=697741

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

What will the 2012 NOAA average global CO2 level be?
Global monthly: ftp://ftp.cmdl.noaa.gov/ccg/co2/trends/co2_mm_gl.txt

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

What will the 2012 NOAA average global CO2 level be?
ftp://ftp.cmdl.noaa.gov/ccg/co2/trends/co2_mm_mlo.txt

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

What will be the Global Temperature Anomaly (Average Jan-Dec) for 2012 ?
Average Anomaly Jan-Jul 2012: +0.4929 °

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

How many Zipsters (members) will car-sharing company zipcar have end of 2012 ?
Jul 11, 2012: Zipcar Acquires Leading Car Sharing Service in Austria, CarSharing.at
World's Leading Car Sharing Network Continues European Expansion in Top Growth Market
The company currently offers just under 200 vehicles and serves 10,000 members in Austria.

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

When will Facebook have more than 1 billion active users?
Not sure, if these stats are reliable, but nice split per country:
http://www.allfacebook.de/userdata/?period=3month

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Will the sum of passion+reach+strength for 3dprint in socialmention pass 80% at any day in 2012 ?
http://www.youtube.com/user/makerbot?feature=relchannel

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Can Apple stock hit $1,001 a share?
Usually stock-split will reduce share-price by split-factor:
Example: Split 5:1 would cut the event from $1.001 to $200,2

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

London 2012 Olympics: Swimming - who will win the men's 400m freestyle?
www.oddschecker.com/olympics/swimming/mens/400m-individual-medley

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

What will be the daily change of the DJIA on 06.07.2012?
I had the same observation the other day and asked kruis to check - the answer is pending.

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

When will the first prototype of a new Lithium Air Battery power a car on public roads ?
IBM Research Boosts Battery 500 Project with New Materials Partners:
Asahi Kasei and Central Glass to enhance electric vehicle lithium-air battery innovation
http://www-03.ibm.com/press/us/en/pressrelease/37511.wss

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Will Twitter announce an IPO before February 28th 2013 ?
No Twitter IPO Any Time Soon, But CEO Hints At ‘Pro’ Version Offering
http://www.mediabistro.com/alltwitter/twitter-ipo-pro-version_b21998

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Will Twitter announce an IPO before February 28th 2013 ?
Facebook IPO: Did Twitter Crowdsourcing Just Give Us the Closing Price?
No, because this kind of prediction-market was without money for placing predictions...
http://mashable.com/2012/05/18/facebook-ipo-closing-day-price/

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Will joint Euro-Bonds be issued before Dec 31 2012 ?
Monti, Hollande Favor Euro-Zone Bonds As Possible Solution -Source
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20120523-714544.html

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

How many Zipsters (members) will car-sharing company zipcar have end of 2012 ?
There are now 709,000 Zipsters renting cars by the hour or day with gas and insurance included, and that's 23% more users than the service had a year earlier.
http://www.dailyfinance.com/2012/05/22/somebody-likes-zipcar/