User Profile

Super Usercharlesf

Member since 03/22/2011

All time highest net worth: 7,543,265.84 KtN$ (reached: 03/29/2024)

Current net worth : 7,543,265.84 KtN$

Predictions : 70,499

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   Super Usercharlesf

When will Tesla have 1 million autonomous “robotaxis” on the road?
If no one is driving, Why even have a steering wheel?

   Super Usercharlesf

Will Melodie Gliniewicz be found guilty of her alleged role in her husband's theft of funds?
Update - Feb. 18, 2022

Pleaded guilty but prison sentence still unknown.

The article is longer. I just copied and pasted the basic info.

https://www.cbsnews.com/chicago/news/melodie-gliniewicz-guilty-plea-deal-deceptive-practices-joe-gliniewicz-fox-lake-police-officer/

CHICAGO (CBS) -- Melodie Gliniewicz, the widow of a disgraced Fox Lake police officer, pleaded guilty Friday to one felony count connected to her late husband's financial misdeeds, avoiding a trial next week on more serious charges.

As part of a deal with Lake County prosecutors, Melodie Gliniewicz agreed to plead guilty to a felony charge of deceptive practices, in exchange for prosecutors dropping six more serious charges, including money laundering and misuse of charitable funds.

A judge will determine her sentence at a hearing scheduled for April 12. The charge carries a sentence of up to 3 years, but she could also get simple probation.

   Super Usercharlesf

Where will Donald Trump spend mostpart (>80%) of the rest of his life?
Considering his health, wealth, and age, he may be sentenced to home confinement. This could be after a conviction or as a condition for bail pre-trial. Not in prison but also not a free man. How would/should this be interpreted for this question?

   Super Usercharlesf

Will Mike Pompeo still be secretary of state on April 26, 2022?
According to the graph, Yes hasn't been above 33% at any time in the past year. Also, no matter what time frame I check the graph always starts at 67% No and 33% Yes.

   Super Usercharlesf

The impeachment of Donald Trump. What will happen?
I agree with Knurled. Still a long way to go. Looks like the top option can be eliminated as well as the bottom 2 regarding the second term only. 3 options remaining. If trial is successful the question settles unless he runs in 2020 to get back in office. Not sure if that is allowed. If unsuccessful and he remains in office, Successful is eliminated leaving 2 options left. If he loses in November the question can settle. If he wins reelection this question will have to wait until his second term ends.

I believe there is 1 other possibility that wasn't included in the original question. He could survive impeachment this time and then be impeached and successfully removed from office in his second term.

Instead of removing the last option, is it possible to change it to During first term - unsuccessful - During second term - successful?

He could also be impeached multiple times in a second term if he survives this time and gets reelected. Too much for now but could make a good question if he gets a second term.

   Super Usercharlesf

What will be the outcome of the "Nazi Gold Train" story?
The train could contain both Gold and Non-Gold treasures.

An article from last summer says "The train, believed to be laden with precious metals, including gold, as well as jewels and valuable art..."

https://sputniknews.com/europe/201608171044343046-nazi-gold-train-poland/

   Super Usercharlesf

English FA Cup: Who will win in 2017?
Previous 2 comments were accidental and not intended.

   Super Usercharlesf

Quick: Euro 2016: What will happen in the final?
Sorry for posting twice. I think it is time to clean or replace my mouse.

   Super Usercharlesf

Quick: Euro 2016: What will happen in the final?
Is it possible for the team that scores first to lose in the penalty shootout? If so, I don't think it is there for either team.

   Super Usercharlesf

Quick: Euro 2016: What will happen in the final?
Is it possible for the team that scores first to lose in the penalty shootout? If so, I don't think it is there for either team.

   Super Usercharlesf

Who will succeed David Cameron as Prime Minister of the UK?
Thank you. That explains it very well. Only one other thing. Does the Queen usually agree with the person that Parliament selects?

   Super Usercharlesf

Who will succeed David Cameron as Prime Minister of the UK?
Thank you. That explains it very well. Only one other thing. Does the Queen usually agree with the person that Parliament selects?

   Super Usercharlesf

Who will succeed David Cameron as Prime Minister of the UK?
Did the UK recently change the way a new person becomes Prime Minister? If not 2 of the comments below seem to provide 2 different methods. A comment 2 years ago says that the monarch appoints the Prime Minister. Another comment from 5 days ago says that "The process to elect his successor is now under way". I don't see how a person can be both appointed and elected at the same time.

   Super Usercharlesf

Who will perform at the 2015 Super Bowl XLIX half time show?
Now maybe someone should create a question for who will perform at the Super Bowl halftime show in 2016.

   Super Usercharlesf

US 2016 Presidential election. How far will Jim Webb get?
I think he dropped out of the race as a Democrat but may still run for President as an independent or as a member of a different party. Does the question end if he is out as a Democrat or continue because he may still be a candidate for President?

   Super Usercharlesf

English FA Cup 2014/5 Final: What will happen?
What if Aston Villa scores 1 in the first half and Arsenal scores 2 in the second half and wins?

   Super Usercharlesf

Will Hillary Clinton run for president in 2016?
000000000000000000000000000000000

   Super Usercharlesf

FIFA World Cup 2014, Semi-Finals - Argentina vs. Netherlands. Position at half-time?
What, No option for 5 - 0 at half time?

It could happen.

   Super Usercharlesf

Soccer - Spanish La Liga Primera: Granada vs. Rayo Vallecano - Who will win?
Don't worry, this has happened before and kruijs has fixed it.

   Super Usercharlesf

Who will be the winning horse in the 2014 Kentucky Derby?
What happened!

The favorite never wins the Kentucky Derby.

   Super Usercharlesf

When will the next Russian manned Moon mission put someone on the moon?
How about putting Putin on the moon and leaving him there?

   Super Usercharlesf

Basketball - NBA: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Indiana Pacers - Who will win?
They just lost their 22nd game in a row so the comment isn't totally out of line.

   Super Usercharlesf

Basketball - NBA: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Indiana Pacers - Who will win?
If you are playing the 6'ers it is about the same as a walkover.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will it be decided to drop the penny in 2015?
If they did I wouldn't be able to add my 2 cents worth.

   Super Usercharlesf

Soccer - English Premier League: West Ham vs. Hull - Who will win?
Wednesday 26 March 2014
19:45 West Ham v Hull Boleyn Ground
This fixture was previously scheduled on Saturday 8 March 2014 at 10:00 but was rescheduled due to Hull City's participation in the FA Cup 6th Round

   Super Usercharlesf

Will the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider (RHIC), Long Island, generate a 'strangelet'?
It will probably affect my part of the planet. I am less than 150 miles from Brookhaven National Laboratory. Poor me.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider (RHIC), Long Island, generate a 'strangelet'?
@kruijs: If I predict Yes, and I am right, how do you plan to settle this question?

   Super Usercharlesf

Monty Python coming to New York?
If you send them to New York, we'll send them back home after the shows.

   Super Usercharlesf

What will be the daily change of the DJIA on 02.09.2013?
The U.S. markets will be closed Monday for Labor Day.

   Super Usercharlesf

When will the NATO Patriot missiles be completely removed from the Turkey/Syrian border?
If we shoot them all into Syria does that count as being completely removed?

   Super Usercharlesf

What will be the daily change of the DJIA on 04.07.2013?
Save your money today.

U.S. markets will be closed Thursday in observance of Independence Day.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will Hillary Clinton admit to being a lesbian in her upcoming memoir?
Maybe this explains why Bill had to spend time with Monica.

   Super Usercharlesf

Air Guitar World Championships 2013: From which artist will be the winning song?
I think I need some help.

After making a few predictions I was sure that a few of the options in this market were listed twice but after checking them 3 times I only found each one listed once. After making a few more predictions I am convinced that after I make a prediction the option moves.

Is this a late April Fools prank?
Did I find an Easter Egg?
Is this a new feature that kruijs added and I missed the memo?
Is my computer in worse shape than I thought?
Have I been staring at the screen for too long?

No drugs or alcohol were involved. At least not on my end.

What should I do?

Go back to sleep.
Make an appointment with a psychiatrist.
Make an appointment with my eye doctor.
Make an appointment with a witch doctor.
Call in an exorcist.
All of the above.

PS
Also, I can't make a prediction on Guns 'n Roses.

   Super Usercharlesf

Soccer - English Premier League: Under 2.5 vs. Draw 2.5 - Who will win?
@kruijs - Thanks for the void. Now I feel better. I thought I was missing something I should have known. Now I can wonder about what the rest of the predictors were thinking.

   Super Usercharlesf

Soccer - English Premier League: Under 2.5 vs. Draw 2.5 - Who will win?
It seems that everyone else understands what this question is asking but me. Though not a big soccer fan I think I know the basics like win, lose or draw and over and under but not this. Could anyone offer a brief explanation or a helpful link?

   Super Usercharlesf

Will any other professional sports franchise add Urinal Video Games to their rest room in the USA?
Will any women demand equal rights?
Will they have to put them in the ladies rooms so the women can play too?

   Super Usercharlesf

How many of these 5 Tech Predictions for 2013 will be true ?
What is required for each of these to be true?

#1. What constitutes a 2 horse race? All competition eliminated or just the top 2 with a certain percentage of the market?
#2. What constitutes the death of RIMM? Out of business, bankruptcy, take over but still in production?
#3. This one seems to already be satisfied according to the article.
#4. This one is easy. Is a day 8 hours, 12 hours or 24 hours?
#5. How do you quantify or define "a run for its money" ?

   Super Usercharlesf

Basketball - NCAAB: North Carolina A and T vs. Louisville Cardinals - Who will win?
I think we are missing 1 team but it shouldn't make much of a difference.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will Joshua Thompson win his class action lawsuit against AMC theater over theater snacks prices?
I can do without the candy but I have to have popcorn, and the salty popcorn requires a large coke.

   Super Usercharlesf

What will be the closing value of the DJIA on Friday, February 22?
That little bit extra cost me a lot.

   Super Usercharlesf

What's the Papal Name Of Next Pope ?
They have had Popes named John and Paul so how about George or maybe Ringo.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will Lego decide to make a Android set?
Looks like a miniature Dalek with a bad paint job.

   Super Usercharlesf

Football - NFL: Baltimore Ravens vs. San Francisco 49ers - Who will win?
There were 3 similar questions.

I ended the other 2 and plan to end this one at the end of the 3rd quarter unless anyone else has any other suggestions.

   Super Usercharlesf

What will be the daily change of the DJIA on 22.01.2013?
I think this one settled about 3 hours early. Stock market still open.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will the US mint a platinum coin to avoid hitting the $16.4 trillion debt ceiling?
I nominate Alfred E. Neuman with the motto What, me worry?

   Super Usercharlesf

When will the FTSE 100 (London Stock Exchange Index) next close with a value over 6,060?
It is over 6060 but has 2 1/2 hours to go.

   Super Usercharlesf

When will the FTSE 100 (London Stock Exchange Index) next close with a value over 6,060?
@Steven. You are right. Too close, I sold Feb. and beyond.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will the New York Jets be put up for sale in 2013?
@ Mark Cuban:

Please buy the Jets, We need you.

Jets Fan

   Super Usercharlesf

Will former Bosnian Serb General Mladić be found guilty of all 11 counts he is charged with?
CRIME & WAR CRIMES | DECEMBER 6, 2012 | 12:43

NEW YORK -- Hague Tribunal President Theodor Meron has assessed before the UN Security Council that the trial of Ratko Mladić will be finished by the end of July 2016.

http://www.b92.net/eng/news/crimes-article.php?yyyy=2012&mm=12&dd=06&nav_id=83515

   Super Usercharlesf

Basketball - NCAAB: Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Syracuse Orange - Who will win?
I'm a Syracuse Orange fan but these odds are just too high.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will Jodi Ann Arias get a life sentence or death penalty?
I just extended this question another 5 months until April 30, 2013.

She killed the man in June of 2008 and now the trial has been delayed again. Now jury selection is scheduled to start on Dec. 10. With the Christmas Holiday approaching and the chance that the jury may be sequestered the trial probably won't start until next year.

   Super Usercharlesf

How many people will board UFOs during the apocalypse on Dec. 21st, in Bugarach (FR)?
I hope the aliens have learned from their mistakes at Roswell and have improved their landing techniques.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will President Barack Obama Pardon Undefeated Ohio State Football Team?
Maybe he could pardon the New Orleans Saints also.

   Super Usercharlesf

English FA Cup 2012-3: First Round: What will be the most goals scored by any team?
I think I have almosts every option except for 6. Guess I have to hope that some teams goalie has a really bad day.

   Super Usercharlesf

Norway: No jail for Anders Behring Breivik?
Tom - Be kind to the dog. Having rabies isn't the dogs fault. This person had a choice.

   Super Usercharlesf

What will be the daily change of the DJIA on 03.07.2012?
Suspend time changed to 12:30 because the stock market closes at 1:00 today so everyone can leave early for the holiday.

American Stock Markets are closed tomorrow July 4 for Independence Day.

   Super Usercharlesf

What will be the strongest Earthquake recorded on July 3, 2012?
Seeing Red. 6.2 magnatude quake near New Zealand.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will former Bosnian Serb General Mladić be found guilty of all 11 counts he is charged with?
Market extended from June 30, 2012 to Dec. 30, 2012.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will former Bosnian Serb General Mladić be found guilty of all 11 counts he is charged with?
Mladic’s Trial Postponed Again
June 2012
The genocide and war crimes trial of former Bosnian Serb army commander Ratko Mladic, has been postponed until further notice.

   Super Usercharlesf

What will be the strongest Earthquake recorded on June 29, 2012?
There was a 5.8 magnatude earthquake in the South Atlantic Ocean.

   Super Usercharlesf

What will be the strongest Earthquake recorded on June 29, 2012?
There was a magnitude 5.2 earthquake near Mexico.

   Super Usercharlesf

How will the Supreme Court rule about the Constitutionality of "Obamacare"?
2000+ pages, haven't read it but happy with the outcome. Should allow me to get much needed health insurance in 2014.

As Cici stated, they eliminated 1 part so technically should be "keep the mandate, get rid of other parts".

On the other hand, if the eliminated part was very minor the spirit of the question could allow an argument for "keep entire law in place".

I don't like voids so might it be possible to settle this market with 2 correct options?

PS I do have a number of positions in this market.

   Super Usercharlesf

What will be the strongest Earthquake recorded on June 28, 2012?
There was a 5.2 Quake near Japan.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will Paul Ceglia get 50% of Facebook?
Which will happen first? This case is settled or facebook stock is worthless?

   Super Usercharlesf

American presidential election: How close will the result be?
Electoral votes:

1800 Jefferson 73 - Burr 73
1876 Hayes 185 - Tilden 184
1916 Wilson 277 - Hughes 254
2000 Bush 271 - Gore 266
2004 Bush 286 - Kerry 251

Some are ancient history but 2 of the last 3 fall within the range of this question.

   Super Usercharlesf

American presidential election: How close will the result be?
Is this refering to the electoral vote or the popular vote?

   Super Usercharlesf

Will "Fantasy Maid Service" be fined for running a sexually oriented business by 5-1-12?
My home isn't exactly tidy so they would be FINE with me!

   Super Usercharlesf

Who going 1st in the 2012 NFL Draft?
If you want to win real big go for "any other person not listed". There is always the chance that Bret Favre comes out of retirement and signs with Indy. He has unretired before. Or maybe the Colts trade with the NY Jets for Mark Sanchez. You probably wouldn't want to risk a lot but how about just a little. It is hard to resist 1%, isn't it?

   Super Usercharlesf

Quick: Will the Mega Millions 500+M US$ Jackpot be won on Friday, 30 March?
I plan to buy 10 tickets for Fridays drawing but don't let it influence your predictions. I had 5 for each of the last 3 drawings and didn't even come close.

   Super Usercharlesf

What will be deemed the cause of death for singer Whitney Houston?
Depends on the amount of cocaine in her blood. Was it enough to cause a fatal overdose or was it just her regular everyday amount?

   Super Usercharlesf

2012 NCAA Tournament: Who will win the Midwest region?
California lost also. 3 for you, but Vermont did beat Lamar.

   Super Usercharlesf

2012 NCAA Tournament: Who will win the West region?
@uspais: Iona lost too. 2 for you.

   Super Usercharlesf

2012 NCAA Tournament: Who will win the South region?
@Tom: MVS lost to Western Kentucky last night in one of the play in games. BYU beat Iona in the other one. 2 more tonight.

   Super Usercharlesf

2012 NCAA Tournament: Who will win the South region?
They lost. 1 for you.

   Super Usercharlesf

2012 NCAA Tournament: Who will win the Midwest region?
What about California?

   Super Usercharlesf

2012 NCAA Tournament: Who will win the South region?
Not likely but what about Mississippi Valley St.?

   Super Usercharlesf

Will this Inkling market be made available for predicting before it reaches settlement?
Do you think it has anything to do with the fact that we are slowly gaining visitors and they are losing them?

   Super Usercharlesf

Who's final point total will be highest in the English Premier League?
That is the way I saw it but since I created the question I have to be able to account for all of the possible outcomes no matter how unlikely. Also these comments may make it easier for others to understand.

   Super Usercharlesf

Who's final point total will be highest in the English Premier League?
@ PitchedOutsideLeg:
I had to think about the possibilities you suggested for a few minutes and I think they are answered best as:
Yes, Yes and Yes.

   Super Usercharlesf

Basketball - NBA: New York Knicks vs. Dallas Mavericks - Who will win?
@kroeger98: I sense that you haven't caught "Lin-sanity" yet.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will a Rush Limbaugh sex tape be published (or leaked) before July, 2012?
If his sex movie is released some one else is going to have to flag this market for settlement because I don't watch Horror movies.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will Gabriela Cortez be found guilty of unlawful sexual intercourse with a minor?
He's probably planning to file a law suit.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will Alberto Contador be found guilty of doping?
USA TODAY‎ - 2 days ago
LAUSANNE, Switzerland (AP) – The Court of Arbitration for Sport says it plans to publish its verdict in Alberto Contador's doping case on Feb. 6.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will Time Travel be possible before 2022?
My sources from the future told me to put my money on Yes.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will someone already born live to reach 1,000 years of age?
I may be a pessimist but it think it will settle in about 120 years.

   Super Usercharlesf

Why will Gingrich not have a permanent moon base at the end of his presidency?
@ kroeger98:
I think your position on Not elected president is the right one but just in case I think I will start a list of people that I would like to have sent to a moon base, permanently.

   Super Usercharlesf

The 38th annual People's Choice Awards: Favorite Sci-Fi/Fantasy Show
I am a people and my choice is to submit a write in vote for Doctor Who.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will the death sentence of Murugan, one of the Rajiv Gandhi murder plotters, be commuted?
New Delhi: The hearing of the petition to commute the death sentences of Rajiv Gandhi's assassins has been adjourned. The Madras High Court will now hear the case on January 31.

http://ibnlive.in.com/news/hearing-on-rajiv-gandhis-killers-plea-adjourned/206882-37-64.html

   Super Usercharlesf

What will be the daily change of the DJIA on 26.12.2011?
Save your money. DOW closed today in observence of the Christmas Holiday.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will Time Travel be possible before 2022?
The Doctor does it all the time in his TARDIS. Does that count, or does it only pertain to this professors method?

   Super Usercharlesf

How many pages for search "Crowd Intelligence" will be indexed by Google as of Dec 20, 2011?

Still getting 71,400,000 but I only have 1 location to check from. I have an interest in this market but no objections to voiding it. Do whatever you think best.

   Super Usercharlesf

Which number will be chosen the least?
If I bet a lot on every number, I will win even more, right?

   Super Usercharlesf

Will it be concluded to be feasible to build the Dutch Mountain?
Why don't they just buy one of the mountains that Austria is trying to sell, build a theme park resort on it and visit it on Holiday?

   Super Usercharlesf

Whooops - sorry, my mistake - the rapture is coming in october!!1!!one!!1

I'm still here.
If his calculations are wrong, maybe he forgot to carry a 1.

   Super Usercharlesf

NBA Lockout: Will the complete 2011-2012 season be cancelled?

Billionaires on one side fighting with millionaires on the other side for every penny that they can get. They ought to broadcast the negotions live on TV. It would probably be TVs' top rated comedy.

   Super Usercharlesf

What will be the daily change of the DAX on 15.09.2011?
Something wrong with the odds for this question. I already flagged it.

   Super Usercharlesf

Quick: How harmful will hurricane Irene be in New York State?
New York: 9
— Stephen Terleckey, 72, died after being swept into Schoharie Creek.
Plus the 8 already listed below.

   Super Usercharlesf

Quick: How harmful will hurricane Irene be in New York State?
New York: 8
— Rozalia Gluck, 82, of Brooklyn, drowned in a cottage in the Catskills community of Fleischmanns that was swamped by floodwaters from a nearby creek.

— A man in his 50s was electrocuted in Spring Valley when he tried to help a child who had gone into a flooded street with downed wires. The child was in very serious condition at Westchester Medical Center's burn unit, said a spokesman for the Rockland County Emergency Operations Center.

— Sharon Stein, 68, drowned in a creek as she and her husband were evacuating their New Scotland home Sunday afternoon, state police said.

— Police in Suffolk County say 68-year-old Joseph Rocco of East Islip drowned while windsurfing in Bellport Bay.

— One man died after his inflatable boat capsized on the Croton River, police said.

— The body of 68-year-old Jose Sierra, of the Bronx, was pulled out of the water at a marina Sunday afternoon. He accidentally drowned, authorities said.

— The bodies of 23-year-old Mikita Fox and Danine Swamp were pulled from a river in Altona after their vehicle plunged into the water while crossing a storm-damaged bridge.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/44314551

   Super Usercharlesf

Quick: How harmful will hurricane Irene be in New York State?
@cici - Got lucky this time. Rain let up and then stopped before it was forecast to so we didn't have to evacuate. Some of the little tomatoes and peppers fell off but the plants survived. I grow them in 5 gallon plastic pails and just had to stand them back up. The piece of siding was a small corner piece that I found on the ground and put back in place. Parts of the Thruway are still closed but the parts I needed were open today so I made my trip.

Others weren't so lucky. I drove by some huge farm fields. Some are probably half a mile long. In one every stalk of corn was lying down flat on the ground. Another field still had water in it and I was trying to figure out what was sticking out of the water. It was the tassles on the corn stalks. The rest of the stalk was still under water, and this was a full day the day after the rain stopped. In the far end of the field the entire stalks were under water.

Thanks for the offer of the siding.

   Super Usercharlesf

Quick: How harmful will hurricane Irene be in New York State?
2 So far for New York State.

NEW YORK

— A man in his 50s was electrocuted in Spring Valley when he tried to help a child who had gone into a flooded street with downed wires. The child was in very serious condition at Westchester Medical Center's burn unit, said a spokesman for the Rockland County Emergency Operations Center.

— State police said they recovered the body of a woman who apparently drowned after she fell into Onesquethaw Creek in New Scotland, near Albany.

http://news.yahoo.com/hurricane-irene-leads-least-21-deaths-234223346.html

   Super Usercharlesf

Quick: How harmful will hurricane Irene be in New York State?
@ cici
I live in the Catskill Mountains in New York state about 100 miles NW of NYC. The rain started Sat AM and ended Sun. evening. The wind blew over half of my tomato, bean and pepper plants. It also blew off a small piece of siding from my mobile home. The fire department knocked on the door this afternoon to tell my mom and me to prepare to evacuate because the river at the other end of the park was starting to overflow its bank. About 200 miles of the New York Thruway is closed because of flooding. I need to use about 65 miles of it Mon. to make a trip that I planned to make on Sat. but couldn't because of Irene.

I wasn't around in 1938 so I was wondering: Which parts of this are supposed to be fun?

I think I missed it.

   Super Usercharlesf

English Premier League: who will be top after 3 games?
Didn't Arsenal used to be good?

   Super Usercharlesf

Will NASA successfully launch its new Mars rover "Curiosity" in November?
Good Market but I have 2 questions.

Isn't the 6 day window for the question to be open a bit short since the event isn't scheduled to occur for over 3 months?

Second. If the intent of the question is to be taken as written, November only, the starting odds seem to be backwards. The potential launch window is 24 days of which only 6 are in November. If it goes up as scheduled and all dates as of now are equally likely 25% of the possible days are in November and 75% are in December.

If the intent was to include the whole launch window, which your starting odds seem to favor, please clarify.

   Super Usercharlesf

Who will win the Ames Straw Poll on August 13th?
@ken I didn't mean to interfere with your scientific study. I was just going through the new markets, found this one and made a few wagers. Didn't even see the comments until I noticed that someone else was buying at the same time I was. Hope you were able to complete your work on another market.

   Super Usercharlesf

How will Charlie Harper be killed off?
Maybe we can do better than the shows writers? Top these.

He sells the beach house and moves to the Bunny Ranch. This way, if the new version bombs he can be brought back for the next season.

or

He dies of a heart attack from an overdose of Viagra during an orgy at the Playboy mansion with ALL of the Playboy swimsuit models.

   Super Usercharlesf

When will the US Congress agree to raise the debt limit?
What do you mean I am overdrawn? I can't be overdrawn. I still have some checks left!

   Super Usercharlesf

Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees is nearing 3000 hits for his career. What will his 3000th hit be?
Friday nights game was rained out. No change. Still 2 hits to go.

   Super Usercharlesf

Derek Jeter is back. Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees is nearing 3000 hits for his career. When will he get it?
Friday nights game was rained out. No change. Still 2 hits to go.

   Super Usercharlesf

Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees is nearing 3000 hits for his career. What will his 3000th hit be?
Wednesday night Jeter hit a double in 3 atbats. 3 hits to go.

   Super Usercharlesf

Derek Jeter is back. Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees is nearing 3000 hits for his career. When will he get it?
Wednesday night Jeter hit a double in 3 atbats. 3 hits to go.

   Super Usercharlesf

Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees is nearing 3000 hits for his career. What will his 3000th hit be?
Tuesday night Jeter had 2 hits in 6 atbats. 4 hits to go.

   Super Usercharlesf

Derek Jeter is back. Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees is nearing 3000 hits for his career. When will he get it?
Jeter is back. He played Monday and had no hits in 4 atbats.

   Super Usercharlesf

Dow Jones Poker: Best poker hand at close Tue 5 July ?
I thought that I had it but after checking my positions it seems that I forgot to put anything on it. Only have losses.

   Super Usercharlesf

Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees is nearing 3000 hits for his career. What will his 3000th hit be?
Jeter is back. He played Monday and had no hits in 4 atbats.

   Super Usercharlesf

Dow Jones Poker: Best poker hand at close Mon 4 July ?
At least I won't lose on this one today.

Happy Independence Day!

   Super Usercharlesf

What will be the Gallup Presidential Job Approval rate change for Barack Obama in the week ending 03.07.2011?
According to the Gallup poll for last week his approval rating was 43%.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx
Probably too late to help because I am too late to fine tune my predictions for this one too.

   Super Usercharlesf

Dow Jones Poker: Best poker hand at close Thu 23 June ?
Three of a kind? Looks more like Two pair of 10s.

One day I didn't have time to play and see what happens.

How about 5 of a kind tomorrow?

   Super Usercharlesf

Will Anthony Weiner accept Larry Flynt's job offer?
If he doesn't want the job, I'll take it, as long as I get frequent Knew the News breaks.

   Super Usercharlesf

Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees is nearing 3000 hits for his career. What will his 3000th hit be?
Derek Jeter's run at 3,000 hits is on hold.

The Yankees captain is stalled at 2,994 hits after going on the disabled list for the first time in eight years, sidelined by a strained right calf that he suffered in Monday night's game against the Indians. Jeter tried to make a case for staying on the active roster, saying that he could be ready to play within a week, but the Yankees made a move shortly before Tuesday's game against the Rangers, calling up infielder Ramiro Pena to take Jeter's place.

Eduardo Nunez will be the Yankees' regular shortstop in Jeter's absence.

And the run at 3,000 hits will continue . . . eventually.

If Jeter returns from the DL on the first day he's eligible (and that certainly seems possible), his next game would be on June 29, at home against the Brewers. Jeter would then need six hits in two games in order to reach the milestone at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees then go back on the road, for three games against the Mets at Citi Field and three against the Indians in Cleveland.

   Super Usercharlesf

Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees is nearing 3000 hits for his career. When will he get it?
Derek Jeter's run at 3,000 hits is on hold.

The Yankees captain is stalled at 2,994 hits after going on the disabled list for the first time in eight years, sidelined by a strained right calf that he suffered in Monday night's game against the Indians. Jeter tried to make a case for staying on the active roster, saying that he could be ready to play within a week, but the Yankees made a move shortly before Tuesday's game against the Rangers, calling up infielder Ramiro Pena to take Jeter's place.

Eduardo Nunez will be the Yankees' regular shortstop in Jeter's absence.

And the run at 3,000 hits will continue . . . eventually.

If Jeter returns from the DL on the first day he's eligible (and that certainly seems possible), his next game would be on June 29, at home against the Brewers. Jeter would then need six hits in two games in order to reach the milestone at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees then go back on the road, for three games against the Mets at Citi Field and three against the Indians in Cleveland.

   Super Usercharlesf

The Knew The News Mug Contest: How many players will reach a 40+ market creation score during June?
Every time I get to the top of a list to win a mug I end up going backwards. I don't even drink coffee or tea but I still want a mug. Gotta keep on trying. Have a few good ideas but have to get then into words.

   Super Usercharlesf

Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees is nearing 3000 hits for his career. What will his 3000th hit be?
Derek Jeter limped off the field with a sore right calf four innings after getting his 2,994th hit Monday night.
Jeter went to the hospital for an MRI exam. There was no immediate word on the severity of his injury. "I'm worried about him," Yankees manager Joe Girardi said. "Just keep our fingers crossed and hopefully it's not too serious."
Jeter was noticeably hurt as he jogged toward first base during a flyout in the fifth and left the game, stalling his pursuit to become the 28th big leaguer to reach 3,000 career hits. "He just walked off the field and you could tell he was done," Girardi said.
Girardi said he expected to get the MRI results within an hour or so. No matter, he said he didn't think Jeter would be able to play Tuesday night against Texas.

http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/gametracker/recap/MLB_20110613_CLE@NYY

   Super Usercharlesf

Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees is nearing 3000 hits for his career. When will he get it?
Derek Jeter limped off the field with a sore right calf four innings after getting his 2,994th hit Monday night.
Jeter went to the hospital for an MRI exam. There was no immediate word on the severity of his injury. "I'm worried about him," Yankees manager Joe Girardi said. "Just keep our fingers crossed and hopefully it's not too serious."
Jeter was noticeably hurt as he jogged toward first base during a flyout in the fifth and left the game, stalling his pursuit to become the 28th big leaguer to reach 3,000 career hits. "He just walked off the field and you could tell he was done," Girardi said.
Girardi said he expected to get the MRI results within an hour or so. No matter, he said he didn't think Jeter would be able to play Tuesday night against Texas.

http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/gametracker/recap/MLB_20110613_CLE@NYY

   Super Usercharlesf

Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees is nearing 3000 hits for his career. When will he get it?
Jeter had 2 singles Sunday. Up to 2993. 7 to go.

   Super Usercharlesf

Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees is nearing 3000 hits for his career. When will he get it?
Jeter was 0 for 4 on Saturday, failing to collect a hit for the first time since June 3.

   Super Usercharlesf

Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees is nearing 3000 hits for his career. What will his 3000th hit be?
Jeter hit a double tonight for his 2991st hit. 9 to go.

   Super Usercharlesf

Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees is nearing 3000 hits for his career. When will he get it?
Jeter hit a double tonight for his 2991st hit. 9 to go.

   Super Usercharlesf

Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees is nearing 3000 hits for his career. What will his 3000th hit be?
Jeter singled for his 2,990th career hit. 10 to go.

   Super Usercharlesf

Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees is nearing 3000 hits for his career. When will he get it?
Jeter singled for his 2,990th career hit. 10 to go.

   Super Usercharlesf

Lets Go Streaking! Will any Major League Baseball team win or lose 10 games in a row this season?
No more predictions please. Market can be settled.
Oakland Athletics just lost their 10th game in a row last night.
After it settles I will bring it back. Still more than half of the season to go.

   Super Usercharlesf

Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees is nearing 3000 hits for his career. What will his 3000th hit be?
@ Ken - No. A walk used to count as a hit but not any more.

   Super Usercharlesf

Quick: Scripps National Spelling Bee, will the 2011 Champion be a boy or a girl?
I don't spell well enough for this. Wheel of Fortune is more suited for my abilities.

   Super Usercharlesf

The Knew The News Mug Contest: How many players will reach a 40+ market creation score during June?
Seems like this question could be gamed but even if you want to try, I won't mind at all. The more questions the better. Just make them interesting. I just checked the list and found my name at the top. Must be that I picked just the right time to create my first market early this morning. Feel free to pass me.

   Super Usercharlesf

The Knew The News Mug Contest: Who will win?
@ rdeggau: Congratulations on your big win. About a week ago I had a slight lead, then you end up with triple my gain. Great finish. Hope we can all do it again.

   Super Usercharlesf

Which country's representative will win the 2011 World Amateur Go Championship?
@ Ken: No Go for me. I never played it but I followed the link above to learn a bit about it. What they say about chess would probably apply here too. Easy to learn but a lifetime to master.

   Super Usercharlesf

The Knew The News Mug Contest: How many players will reach +500% net worth during May?
@ kenneth1 You got me thinking and I read through the fine print for the 4 main end of the month markets. (The colored and gray players and the Mug markets.) The colored and gray player markets state: "This settles 31th May 23:59 CET."

The mug markets don't give a specific time but I believe the weekly and monthly leader boards reset to zero at midnight the end of the week and the end of the month. All of the other markets will probably be analyzed and settled after midnight as usual and count toward June.

As for the main 4: Because they would be using the screen snap shots of the 2 leader boards taken at 1 minute before midnight the order of settlement wouldn't matter because the results of one market would no longer have any effect on the others.

The monthly percentage gain markets will probably always have to be settled at 1 minute before midnight but in the future the colored and gray markets could have the settlement time pushed back a few hours to allow all of the other end of the month questions to be settled first. This could prove difficult because there are at least 8 people that settle questions and they may be in a number of different time zones around the world. At midnight some may be sleeping because they have to work in the morning while in other parts of the world some may already be at work. But on the other hand it may only be a matter of 1 or 2 hours once a month. Hopefully the Category Editors will get together and figure out what will be the best system for the future and let us know.

If any of my thoughts on how the system works is wrong please let me know.

   Super Usercharlesf

The Knew The News Mug Contest: How many players will reach +500% net worth during May?
Honk Honk here too.

I have been at a standstill so far this week while the other contenders continue to gain. Today I will be going backwards a bit from the European stock markets.

I miss the NASDAQ questions this week. There just aren't a lot of questions where a player can make a lot of money quickly. Big wagers just ruin the odds.

We need more players.

Please try to get 1 new player each for the month of June and then July and then August etc.

   Super Usercharlesf

The Knew The News Mug Contest: Who will win?
No, that was me, I just happen to like tomatoes. And that's the story I am sticking with.

   Super Usercharlesf

How many points will Fulham get in the 2011 English Premier League?
Flagged for settlement. Can settle at 44 points or over. They already have 45 points with 3 games left to play.

   Super Usercharlesf

Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 season 2011?
Flagged for settlement. Can settle as Yes. They can finish no worse than 4th. 15 points ahead of the 5th place teams with 3 or 4 games remaining.

   Super Usercharlesf

How many points will West Brom get in the 2011 English Premier League?
Settlement requested. They already have 43 points.

   Super Usercharlesf

On how many shows will Charlie Sheen perform during his "My Violent Torpedo of Truth/Defeat is Not an Option" tour?
I flagged this for settlement.

Can be settled at 16 to all 20 scheduled shows.

With the first 2 shows not counting, last nights show in Denver, CO, was number 17 of the additional 20 with 3 shows remaining. The Washington show started 1 hour late but I don't remember hearing about any that were canceled or postponed.

Does anyone else know if any were canceled or postponed?

   Super Usercharlesf

The Knew The News Mug Contest: How many players will reach +500% net worth during May?
This market is 2 months too late for me.

   Super Usercharlesf

Dow Poker: Best poker hand at close Fri 22 April ?
U.S. MARKETS CLOSED FOR GOOD FRIDAY HOLIDAY

   Super Usercharlesf

NASDAQ Percentage Change at close Fri 22 April ?
And I was wondering why the updates didn't change. Now I can move on to something else. Thanks for the info.

   Super Usercharlesf

Basketball - NBA: Los Angeles Lakers vs. New Orleans Hornets - Who will win?
Flagged. Identical to:

Basketball - NBA: New Orleans Hornets vs. Los Angeles Lakers - Who will win?

Which was created 1 day earlier and has activity on it. This one should be voided.

   Super Usercharlesf

How many pages of Knewthenews.com will be indexed by Google as of July 31, 2011?
I just got 6,480 using the English version of Google and 6760 using the German version. Does anyone know why?

   Super Usercharlesf

Firefox 4: How many downloads in the first three days?
If one of the positions wins by 1 person, it was me. I downloaded the new version last night.