Question Details

What name will the first Hurricane category 3 and above have of the 2011 season?

What name will the first Hurricane category 3 and above have of the 2011 season?

Asked by: hfl13 in General » Weather
Settled on 08/24/2011 11:50 Settled by Super Usergotmick
Winning option:ene Irene:
http://www.foxnews.com/weather/2011/08/24/irene-strengthens-to-category-2-hurricane-as-it-closes-in-on-bahamas/

Predictions
Harvey
0.3% →
Irene
90.3% →
Jose
3.8% →
Katia
1.4% →
Lee
1.1% →
Maria
0.4% →
Nate
0.4% →
Ophelia
0.4% →
Phillipe
0.4% →
Rina
0.3% →
Sean
0.3% →
Tammy, Vince, Whitney or other or no Cat. 3/4/5 in 2011
0.0% →

Background

Inspired by flasteph´s great Hurricane Market I had to create my own. In 2010 there were 3 cat 1, 4 cat 2, 1 cat 3 and 4 cat 4 hurricanes - Karl supplies the picture as the only cat 3 of 2010.

Karl September 14 – September 18 but Danielle August 21 – August 30 would have been enough to settle.

The market asks for the first hurricane category 3 and above. There are Markets for 2+ and 4+ categories, too.

http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Portal:Tropical_cyclones
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_Atlantic_hurricane_season

From wikipedia:
'Decrease in wind shear from July to August produces a significant increase of tropical activity.[23] An average of 2.8 tropical storms develop annually in August. On average, four named systems and one hurricane occur by August 30, and by September 4, the Atlantic ocean has spawned its first major hurricane.[6]'

Find similar: Gulf, Hurricane, Atlantic Hurricane

Comments

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   cici

that should make you happy!

   hfl13

From cat 1 to 3 in one day

   hfl13

And this praise made Irene miss Florida! ;-)

   cici

Beautiful picture!!

   hfl13

Irene pic: http://www.nnvl.noaa.gov/images/high_resolution/808_20110823-Irene-1245z-1080p.jpg

   hfl13

Good luck, cici!

   cici

I want everybody to know I'm still scared even though it's veered to the east. A little more west & I've got pieces of roof, etc. all over again.

   cici

OK now that Irene has reached Cat. 2, it"s time for Cat. 3.

   bernardo

"By Sunday, Franklin had merged with a cold front and was no more." http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/hurricanes/archives/2011/h2011_Franklin.html

"by Wednesday morning, August 16, Gert will be moving over cooler waters which will help sap her strength." http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/hurricanes/archives/2011/h2011_Gert.html

   hfl13

Franklin seems to be gone. Gert on the move ...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_Atlantic_hurricane_season

   hfl13

Bye, Bye Emily.

   hfl13

Be aware: I just edited the last option to include no cat 3+ this year. You now have 3 Month left to use that option.
There was a marginal gap - follow the discussion for Cat 4. here: What name will the first Hurricane category 4 and above have of the 2011 season?

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