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Will prediction-site Pollyvote correctly predict the winner of US president elections on Nov 3 2020?

https://twitter.com/pollyvote

Will prediction-site Pollyvote correctly predict the winner of US president elections on Nov 3 2020?

Asked by: Super UserJosef Biesenberger in Politics » United States
currently Open, suspends 11/29/2020 23:00 (in )

Predictions

Background

https://pollyvote.com/en/

The PollyVote is based on the principle of combining forecasts. That is, PollyVote combines forecasts from different forecasting methods, the so-called component methods, each of which relies on different data. The PollyVote forecast is calculated by following a two-step approach:
Averaging forecasts within each component method.
Averaging the resulting forecasts across component methods.

More updates: https://twitter.com/pollyvote

Other sources:
https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2020/winner
https://ig.ft.com/us-election-2020/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_2020_United_States_presidential_election
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/electoral-college-interactive-maps
https://www.270towin.com/2020-polls-biden-trump/
https://www.nbcnews.com/specials/road-to-270-2020/

Meanwhile, the presidnet is dreaming a megalomaniac dream:
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/08/18/politics/donald-trump-third-term-2024/index.html

Find similar: donald trump, term, president

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(1)   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

Hi KNURLED, yes, "correctly predict" is meant - and I refer to the prediction on day before the election = Nov 2 2020 end of day.

   Super UserKnurled

I'm assuming the question means "correctly predict the winner".

Also, there are daily predictions. Which day's prediction is the one in question?

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