Will prediction-site Pollyvote correctly predict the winner of US president elections on Nov 3 2020?
The PollyVote is based on the principle of combining forecasts. That is, PollyVote combines forecasts from different forecasting methods, the so-called component methods, each of which relies on different data. The PollyVote forecast is calculated by following a two-step approach:
Averaging forecasts within each component method.
Averaging the resulting forecasts across component methods.
More updates: https://twitter.com/pollyvote
Meanwhile, the presidnet is dreaming a megalomaniac dream:
This is a user submitted question. Players make predictions on what they expect to be the actual outcome.
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