Question Details
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What will the end 2020 Clinical Fatality Rate (CFR) of the COVID-19 virus be?
Settled on 04/11/2021 09:40 Settled by Josef Biesenberger
source: https://github.com/owid/covid-19-data/tree/master/public/data
Predictions
Background
The COVID 19 CFR is currently noted as 2.1 in Hubei province. However it is early on in the pandemic outbreak and information is limited. The question relates to the international CFR.
Settlement source: Latest numbers based on WHO official statistics at time of suspension.
Example:
https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/6/20-0320_article
In the period up to and including 15th March 2020, the global Case Fatality Rate for COVID-19 are as follows.
Case fatality rate globally = 3.7%
[based on 153,523 confirmed cases and 5736 deaths]
Case fatality rate in China: 3.9%
[based on 81,038 confirmed cases and 3204 deaths]
Case fatality rate for the rest of the world: 3.5%
[based on 72,475 confirmed and 2532 deaths]
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus#we-need-to-be-careful-in-interpreting-the-case-fatality-rate-of-an-ongoing-outbreak
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