Question Details

When will one of the other 4 rating agencies lower Russia's credit rating to 'junk' ?

http://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/456559--standard-amp-poor-lowers-russias-credit-rating-to-junk

When will one of the other 4 rating agencies lower Russia's credit rating to 'junk' ?

Asked by: Super UserJosef Biesenberger in Business » Economics
Settled on 01/01/2019 20:28 Settled by Super UserJosef Biesenberger
Winning option:later or nevernever'.

Predictions

first 6 months 2017
2.9%
second 6 months 2017
6.3%
first 6 months 2018
10.0%
second 6 months 2018
9.4%
later or never
71.4%

Background

latest ratings for Russia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_credit_rating

S&P:___________ BB+_Negative 2015-01-26 Junk
Fitch:__________ BBB- Negative 2015-01-09 Invest
Moody's:_______ Ba1 Stable 2015-12-03 Junk
Dagong:________ A___ Stable 2013-11 Invest
JCR:____________ BBB- Negative 2014-12-26 Invest
China Chengxin:_ Ag___ Stable 2012-08 Invest


http://www.globalcapital.com/article/qf6t5ht3lpxw/moodys-cuts-russia-to-junk

http://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/456559--standard-amp-poor-lowers-russias-credit-rating-to-junk

Standard & Poor lowers Russia's credit rating to 'junk'

27 January 2015 11:40 (Last updated 27 January 2015 12:05)
Credit rating agency, Standard & Poor, has lowered Russia's rating to the "highest speculative" level BB+.

MOSCOW

Credit rating agency, Standard & Poor, announced Monday that it downgraded Russia's credit rating from BBB- to BB+ "negative."

This is the first time in over a decade that Russia's rating has been reduced to the level of "junk."

According to the service's announcement published on its website, "the Russian Federation's monetary policy flexibility has weakened, as have its economic growth prospects."

"The outlook is negative, reflecting our view that Russia's monetary policy flexibility could diminish further. We could lower the ratings if external and fiscal buffers deteriorate over the next 12 months faster than we currently expect," the statement read.

The news was met with a significant reaction in the foreign exchange market, with the ruble falling to 68.75 against the dollar, correcting itself Tuesday morning to 67.98.

Reacting to the news, Russia's Minister for Economic Development Alexei Ulyukaev called the downgrade "unjustified" in an interview with Russia's Rossiya 24 TV network.

"They have added risks which I consider unjustified, but nevertheless, this is a significant downgrade of the Russian Federation's rating," Ulyukaev said.

Standard & Poor's recent downgrade comes after similar downgrades from Fitch Ratings and Moody's earlier this month. The last time Russia's rating had been downgraded to "junk level" was in 1998, when the Russian government experienced a default on its debt obligations.

Find similar: debt; credit, rating

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   bgrigore predicted later or never

rising oil prices and a good management of sanctions constraints

   bgrigore predicted later or never

less chance with Trump

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