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Earthquake Prediction: Will California get an earthquake > 6.4 Magnitude until end of 2016?

Earthquake Prediction: Will California get an earthquake > 6.4 Magnitude until end of 2016?

Asked by: Super UserJosef Biesenberger in Science » Environment
Settled on 12/18/2016 17:34 Settled by Super UserJosef Biesenberger
Winning option:Yes, before the end of 2016, a 6.5+ M earthquake hits California Time
2016-12-08 14:49:46 (UTC)
Location
40.475°N 126.153°W
Depth
12.1 km

Predictions

Background

Map:
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/#{%22feed%22%3A%221451661241796%22%2C%22sort%22%3A%22newest%22%2C%22mapposition%22%3A[[-85%2C0]%2C[85%2C360]]%2C%22viewModes%22%3A{%22help%22%3Afalse%2C%22list%22%3Atrue%2C%22map%22%3Atrue%2C%22settings%22%3Afalse}%2C%22autoUpdate%22%3Afalse%2C%22search%22%3A{%22id%22%3A%221451661241796%22%2C%22name%22%3A%22Search%20Results%22%2C%22isSearch%22%3Atrue%2C%22params%22%3A{%22starttime%22%3A%222015-12-16%2000%3A00%3A00%22%2C%22minmagnitude%22%3A6.49%2C%22endtime%22%3A%222016-12-31%2023%3A59%3A59%22%2C%22orderby%22%3A%22time%22}}}

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_California
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_earthquake_forecast

http://www.conservation.ca.gov/index/Earthquakes/pages/qh_earthquakes_calbigones.aspx

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2014/03/31/california-earthquakes/7117899/
Two strong earthquakes have rattled Southern California in the past 10 days. Is that a sign a bigger one is coming?

It's possible but unlikely, according to CalTech seismologist Kate Hutton, who said there's a "one in 20" chance the two recent quakes would be precursors to a much larger quake.

It does raise the danger for awhile, said University of Washington seismologist John Vidale.

On average, Southern California gets about 10,000 earthquakes each year, according to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). That's more than 27 a day.

"Most of them are so small that they are not felt," the USGS says on its website. "Only several hundred are greater than magnitude 3.0, and only about 15-20 are greater than magnitude 4.0."

Southern California gets more earthquakes than any other part of the contiguous USA, Hutton said. She noted that Alaska and the big island of Hawaii see more than California.

A magnitude-5.1 earthquake was felt widely across the region Friday night. The USGS said the epicenter was 1 mile from Brea, about 20 miles southeast of downtown Los Angeles.

"It's the biggest earthquake we've had in Los Angeles in a while," Vidale said, but it's still "a typical Los Angeles earthquake."

Friday's quake hit a week after a predawn magnitude-4.4 quake centered in the San Fernando Valley rattled the region. That jolt shook buildings but did not cause significant damage. Neither quake caused any deaths.

Neither quake was on the famed San Andreas fault, which Hutton said isn't unusual: "A lot of our small quakes are not on the San Andreas fault." Some of the area's bigger quakes, she said, are on the San Andreas.

Southern California has not experienced a disastrous earthquake since the magnitude-6.7 Northridge quake killed dozens of people and caused $25 billion in damage in 1994.

Contributing: Bill Welch, USA TODAY; Associated Press

Find similar: earthquake, california

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   predicted Yes, before the end of 2016, a 6.5+ M earthquake hits California

active Pacific Rim vulcanism associated with active tectonic movement and high lunar tidal effects will combine to increase P of high magnitude slip on one of the California fault lines

   predicted Yes, before the end of 2016, a 6.5+ M earthquake hits California

increase in Pacific Rim vulcanism and high lunar tidal effects

   predicted Yes, before the end of 2016, a 6.5+ M earthquake hits California

Continuing Western Hemisphere rebound quakes in response to Asian and west Pacific quakes indicate increased probability of slippage and subductions in this hemisphere.

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

http://listverse.com/2015/05/25/10-major-natural-disasters-predicted-in-the-near-future/
Scroll down to rank #2: The “Big One” California, 2015-2045

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