Question Details

How old will the Pope be on Easter Sunday 2013?

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How old will the Pope be on Easter Sunday 2013?

Asked by: Super UserStephen Tilley in Politics » Inter-/Multinational
voided voided by Super Userkruijs: Void: The initial odds indicate that there is only a 15% chance of the current incumbent being in place next year - seems way too low.

Please consider using something of an 80% chance that the current pope still is pope in one year.

Starting odds cannot be modified once a market is published, please re-submit. Thanks!

Predictions

under 50
5.0%
50 to 59
15.1%
60 to 69
40.0%
70 to 79
20.0%
80 or over
15.0%
There will be an interregnum while a new pope is elected
5.0%

Background

Benedict XVI (Benedictus PP. XVI; Benedetto XVI; Benedikt XVI) f.k.a. Joseph Aloisius Ratzinger was born in 1927. Will he still be on the papal throne next Easter or there be a successor in place, or an interregnum?

Find similar: Benedict XVI, successor, Pope

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