When will Facebook have more than 1 billion active users? When will Facebook have more than 1 billion active users? When will Facebook have more than 1 billion active users? When will Facebook have more than 1 billion active users?

When will Facebook have more than 1 billion active users?

 
Asked by: Super Userkruijs in Technology » Internet
Settled on 10/04/2012 20:18 by Super Userkruijs
settled question on option 'September 2012'.
Facebook has reached 1 billion people who are “actively” using the social network every month, the company announced Thursday.

The social network, which started in a dorm room in 2004, reached the historic milestone at 12:45 p.m. PT on September 14.

http://newsroom.fb.com/imagelibrary/downloadmedia.ashx?MediaDetailsID=4227&SizeId=-1
August 2012
0.5% →
September 2012
1.3% →
October 2012
30.0% →
November 2012
24.0% →
December 2012
10.4% →
After 2012, or never
28.8% →
(An outcome rendered impossible and was hidden for clarity. Yet its value makes up for 5.1%.)

Background


An "active user" is defined by Facebook as a user who has visited the website in the last 30 days.

Facebook's global dominance is almost complete with just Russia, Japan, China and Japan yet to be converted and the social networking giant aiming to reach 1 billion users, founder Mark Zuckerberg has said. Facebook's global domination is almost complete, he said. "We are down to just four countries where we aren't the leading social network."

Zuckerberg added that in Russia Facebook had just 1 million users, the kind of numbers that saw AOL sell off Bebo and ITV relinquish Friends Reunited. But in Facebook's case, growth is "doubling every six months", according to Zuckerberg, and Japan and Korea have similar user bases.

http://www.facebook.com/press/info.php?statistics
http://www.facebook.com/press/info.php?timeline
http://www.zdnet.com/blog/facebook/facebook-confirms-it-now-has-800-million-users/3949

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User comments

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger
http://www.dnaindia.com/lifestyle/report_has-facebook-reached-its-climax_1729717
   Super UserJosef Biesenberger
http://www.valuewalk.com/2012/08/facebook-inc-fb-confirms-83-million-fake-accounts/
   Super UserJosef Biesenberger
Not sure, if these stats are reliable, but nice split per country:
http://www.allfacebook.de/userdata/?period=3month
   Super Userzvassil
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2012/05/09/facebook_asia_social_stats/
   Super Userkruijs
Although the giant social network is approaching 1 billion active users, the amount it makes from each of those users is still relatively small—less than $5 on average per year.
http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2012-05-03/questionable-value-of-facebook-ads-hangs-over-its-ipo
   cici
they e-mailed me 5/2 and asked me to re-activate my discontinued account. so they are really fishing. I got out of there a long time ago.
   Super Userkruijs
Facebook has just filed a fourth amendment to its S-1 to IPO that notes that it now has 500 million mobile users, 901 million monthly active users.

http://techcrunch.com/2012/04/23/facebooks-amended-s-1-500-million-mobile-users-paid-300m-cash-23-million-shares-for-instagram/
   Super UserJosef Biesenberger
845 million monthly active users at end Dec 2011: http://newsroom.fb.com/content/default.aspx?NewsAreaId=22
   Super UserJosef Biesenberger
http://www.insidefacebook.com/2011/10/14/facebook-updates-formula-for-counting-active-users/
   Super Userkruijs
ah, Sepp, I recognize the site is a Inkling prediction market.
I have thought about continuing predicting news there shortly after Hubdub closed, but then, I decided to make my own ;-)
http://home.inklingmarkets.com/
   Super UserJosef Biesenberger
See estimates on another prediction-market: http://markets.nitle.org/markets/36652
But this market is in my opinion clearly not as smart as knewthenews - @kruijs: keep up your good performance!

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